On
August 8 or 9 I walked into Cynthia McKinney's campaign office and
offered to help after work and on weekends for the last ten days.
I've served as volunteer in and consultant to a couple dozen political
campaigns and voter registration drives in the Chicago area in the
70's, 80's and 90's. Been a community organizer in the projects. Been
a Chicago precinct captain. I've run field operations and election
day operations across hundreds of precincts at a time. In '92 I was
one of three Project VOTE! Illinois field organizers who, under our
director Barack Obama, now an Illinois State Senator, put 120,000
new voters, mostly minorities on the rolls in one summer. I live near
Atlanta now, and make my living as a network systems administrator.
I came
out to help Cynthia because she spoke truth to power. She was a correct,
courageous and principled voice for women, consumers and minorities,
for education, human rights and civil liberties, for a sane, accountable
and even-handed foreign policy. Cynthia was unbought, unbossed, and
unbowed. Although the nearest edge of her district was 35 miles from
my home north of the city, this was just plain important. The Right
had declared its intention to oust her, had raised and bankrolled
a black puppet candidate.
As
a five-term incumbent, the race was McKinney's to lose. Despite the
avalanche of outside money, despite the universally hostile media,
despite a large white Republican crossover vote that was being openly
organized and abetted by the media, the conventional wisdom was that
if Cynthia could get her base vote out in heavily black south Dekalb
County, she was favored to win, if narrowly. A look at Dekalb County's
publicly released totals from previous elections confirmed this as
fact. So I was there to help.
The
campaign operation I walked in on was heartbreakingly inept. There-was
no field operation whatsoever. The McKinney campaign had failed to
conduct a voter registration drive in her district. They hadn't performed
a pre-election voter canvass in any parts of heavily black south Dekalb,
which should have been her base areas. These are the organizing basics,
the ABCs of electoral success for black progressive candidates against
opponents with more money and media. Her campaign ignored the basics
and it cost her. And all of us.
Courage
is not enough
,
in the last issue, called the outcome of the McKinney campaign an
"honorable defeat". I don't doubt Cynthia McKinney's personal
honor and integrity, not in the least, and not for a moment. But a
defeat is only "honorable" if you fought the hardest and
smartest fight you could before you got whipped. A defeat is only
honorable if you subject your own efforts afterward to an unsparingly
critical assessment, looking for what you could have done better.
Cynthia McKinney's unsuccessful re-election campaign failed that first
test, and isn't doing so well on the second.
Congresswoman
Maxine Waters, questioned on the McKinney outcome by former Atlanta
Mayor Bill Campbell on his morning radio show September 12, set it
out like this: "It's not enough," Congresswoman Waters said,
"to take principled and courageous stands on the issues. Black
and progressive elected officials have to know that when you speak
truth to power... powerful interests will target you, will mobilize
their resources... and come after you. We have to defend those correct
and principled positions by hitting the street and organizing our
own communities.... " This isn't new news. It's old boilerplate,
organizing lore. Maxine didn't invent it; it's way older than she
is. She learned it just like the rest of us. But since she said it
so nicely let's call it "Maxine's Rule". You fight the Right
by hitting the streets and organizing your base.
Cynthia's
campaign ignored Maxine's Rule and it cost her. She lost by a whopping
19,000 votes. Nobody doubts, either, that there are far more than
10,000 unregistered voters in south Dekalb
County. If the McKinney campaign had concentrated some resources on
a 90-day registration drive preceding the July 22 registration deadline,
8,000 to 10,000 friendly new voters could have been added to the rolls
in her base areas. But the effort was never made, so the votes were
not there. It's that simple.
McKinney's
campaign also failed to conduct a canvass, either by phone or door
to door in her core areas of support. A pre-election canvass is the
operation of identifying individual voters, making one-on-one contact
with them, either in person or via the phone and directly asking for
their support, and entering the visits, calls and responses into a
database. McKinney's opponents, on the other hand, publicly boast
that they conducted an aggressive door-to-door and phone canvass of
voters in heavily white and Republican areas of north DeKalb. The
election results bear them out.
If we arrange all of Dekalb County's precincts by
percentage turnout from highest to lowest, we can see that Cynthia's
opponent carried 20 of the top 21. The turnout levels are amazing
for a primary election, ranging from 57 to 66%.
Table 1: Top 21 4th
CD Dekalb County precincts by percentage turnout
|
precinct number
|
precinct name
|
registered voters
|
ballots cast
|
Denise Majette
|
Cynthia McKinney
|
turnout %
|
Majette margin of victory
|
13
|
BRIARLAKE BD237
|
1,276
|
843
|
779
|
54
|
66.07%
|
725
|
6
|
AVONDALE AE239
|
1,807
|
1,193
|
1,071
|
115
|
66.02%
|
956
|
58
|
ELAM ROAD EH273
|
412
|
271
|
91
|
177
|
65.78%
|
-86
|
92
|
LAKESIDE LA223
|
1,704
|
1,115
|
1,038
|
66
|
65.43%
|
972
|
34
|
CORALWOOD CM210
|
1,742
|
1,124
|
1,043
|
78
|
64.52%
|
965
|
63
|
FERNBANK FB260
|
1,769
|
1,137
|
1,020
|
110
|
64.27%
|
910
|
81
|
HUGH HOWELL HG231
|
1,396
|
890
|
777
|
111
|
63.75%
|
666
|
168
|
SMOKE RISE ELEM SCH
|
565
|
354
|
328
|
23
|
62.65%
|
305
|
106
|
MIDVALE MH220
|
1,465
|
917
|
866
|
42
|
62.59%
|
824
|
126
|
NORTHLAKE ND236
|
1,058
|
656
|
616
|
33
|
62.00%
|
583
|
56
|
EVANSDALE EF220
|
1,030
|
636
|
603
|
30
|
61.75%
|
573
|
193
|
VANDERLYN VA252
|
1,495
|
922
|
896
|
23
|
61.67%
|
873
|
160
|
SAGAMORE SA210
|
1,562
|
958
|
914
|
39
|
61.33%
|
875
|
76
|
HENDERSON MILL HC2
|
1,595
|
971
|
922
|
46
|
60.88%
|
876
|
117
|
MOUNT VERNON WEST
|
983
|
594
|
573
|
20
|
60.43%
|
553
|
43
|
CLAIREMONT EAST CV
|
1,459
|
881
|
818
|
50
|
60.38%
|
768
|
135
|
PINE LAKE PE294
|
375
|
225
|
161
|
61
|
60.00%
|
100
|
96
|
LIVSEY LE220
|
1,951
|
1,167
|
1,116
|
42
|
59.82%
|
1074
|
129
|
OAK GROVE OA218
|
1,637
|
978
|
897
|
79
|
59.74%
|
818
|
169
|
SMOKE RISE ELEM SCH
|
1,533
|
906
|
818
|
85
|
59.10%
|
733
|
114
|
MOUNT VERNON EAST
|
2,024
|
1,160
|
1,123
|
32
|
57.31%
|
1091
|
source:
Dekalb County Board of Registration and Elections
These
20 precincts produced an average margin of victory of 762 votes, and
a deficit for McKinney of more than 15,000 of her 19,000-vote margin.
Make no mistake, Cynthia would have lost these precincts anyway. They
were part of the opposition's base, and an electoral campaign is supposed
to turn out its base in big numbers. But when high turnouts exclusively
occur in our opponent's base areas, and never in ours, it can only
mean we just ignored Maxine's rule. We did not organize our base.
The
next table shows the top 20 Dekalb county precincts ranked by the
margin of votes they produced for Cynthia McKinney. It is therefore
a representative slice of her campaign's biggest vote-producing base
areas.
able
2: Top 21 4th CD Dekalb County precincts by McKinney Margin
|
precinct
number
|
precTinct
name
|
registered
voters
|
ballots
cast
|
Denise
Majette
|
Cynthia
McKinney
|
turnout
%
|
McKinney
margin of victory
|
146
|
RAINBOW
RA208
|
2,214
|
1,154
|
243
|
898
|
52.12%
|
655
|
195
|
WESLEY
CHAPEL SOUTH
|
1,914
|
1,028
|
187
|
828
|
53.71%
|
641
|
87
|
KELLEY
LAKE KA205
|
2,139
|
895
|
120
|
761
|
41.84%
|
641
|
28
|
CHAPEL
HILL CG265
|
2,123
|
1,115
|
235
|
866
|
52.52%
|
631
|
110
|
MEADOWVIEW
ELEM SCH
|
2,122
|
924
|
149
|
758
|
43.54%
|
609
|
10
|
BOB
MATHIS BA263
|
2,096
|
1,160
|
297
|
853
|
55.34%
|
556
|
66
|
FLAT
SHOALS PARKWAY
|
1,909
|
1,055
|
252
|
792
|
55.26%
|
540
|
194
|
WADSWORTH
WA228
|
1,898
|
871
|
170
|
684
|
45.89%
|
514
|
72
|
GRESHAM
PARK ELEM S
|
1,783
|
716
|
103
|
598
|
40.16%
|
495
|
139
|
PANOLA
WAY PI269
|
2,290
|
974
|
237
|
727
|
42.53%
|
490
|
67
|
FLAT
SHOALS FJ205
|
1,592
|
668
|
91
|
572
|
41.96%
|
481
|
62
|
FAIRINGTON
FA267
|
2,106
|
810
|
161
|
641
|
38.46%
|
480
|
20
|
BROWNS
MILL BJ265
|
1,810
|
974
|
232
|
706
|
53.81%
|
474
|
100
|
MARBUT
MC266
|
2,124
|
798
|
160
|
623
|
37.57%
|
463
|
200
|
WOODRIDGE
WG281
|
2,338
|
1,061
|
299
|
750
|
45.38%
|
451
|
37
|
CROSSROADS
CP284
|
2,418
|
1,132
|
341
|
785
|
46.82%
|
444
|
120
|
MILLER
GROVE ROAD M
|
1,521
|
790
|
170
|
607
|
51.94%
|
437
|
64
|
FLAT
SHOALS ELEM SC
|
1,432
|
626
|
91
|
524
|
43.72%
|
433
|
201
|
WESLEY
CHAPEL NORTH
|
1,826
|
826
|
188
|
618
|
45.24%
|
430
|
107
|
MILLER
GROVE MI267
|
1,800
|
697
|
126
|
555
|
38.72%
|
429
|
152
|
ROCK
CHAPEL ELEM SC
|
2,487
|
960
|
265
|
684
|
38.60%
|
419
|
source:
Dekalb County Board of Registration and Elections
Both
the McKinney margin of victory and the turnout in these, her very
best precincts are far smaller than those achieved by her opponent.
The highest turnout in Cynthia's best 20 precincts is several points
lower than the bottom of her opponent's top 20.
In
fact, Cynthia's district-wide vote in this election, 49,000 votes,
was only 15% higher than the 2000 primary election in which she ran
unopposed, with far less attention, and no national media noise, but
also with no canvass.
There
can be absolutely no doubt that a voter-contact canvass following
a successful voter registration drive would have raised the turnout
in south Dekalb County areas enough to offset the big margins her
opponent got in white north Dekalb, making this an extremely close
election or winning it outright for McKinney.
Assessing
the Loss
If
Cynthia McKinney's defeat has national significance, then so does
the effort to take stock of its root causes. After all, labor unions
endorsed her, contributing bodies, cash and phone canvasses of their
membership in the district. Volunteers for the final weekend and election
day came from New York, from DC, from Chicago. Hundreds of local citizens
pitched in to help. Locally and nationally, the progressive movement
is entitled to an honest exploration, not of just why Cynthia McKinney
lost, but of the large margin of the defeat.
Some
campaign volunteers pressed for an assessment meeting the Saturday
after election day, and more than a hundred people crowded into McKinney's
office on Rainbow Way. But rather than conduct an honest self-examination
of the campaign, those running the meeting preferred to point at outside
causes. This has been the public stance of all the campaign spokespeople
since the election.
For
them, the causes are entirely external. It was the Republican crossover
vote. It was the outside money. It was white Democrats unfolding nefarious
schemes from the governor's office. It was the alliance of the hard
Right and Zionists. It was a universally hostile media. In truth all
these were important factors. But none of them were surprises and
all of them come with the turf. Remember Maxine's Rule...
[When]
you speak truth to power... powerful interests will target you,
will mobilize their resources... and come after you. We have to
defend those correct and principled positions by hitting the street
and organizing our own communities."
It
was the job of the McKinney campaign to hit the street, hit the phone
lines and out-organize the enemy. It was their job to register that
vote and bring it out election day. Despite the opposition's money,
despite their clout, McKinney had the Black Consensus on her side.
But real, live voters are only activated by the hard, meticulous work
of day-to-day organizing. "If organizing and people power can't
beat the big money," said one union volunteer for McKinney, "then
we might as well all go home now."
In
the last few days, we have been treated to leaks and rumors of a "black
voter boycott" in November to retaliate against white Democrats
who did not support McKinney, a run for the US Senate, and a run for
president or vice president on the Green Party ticket. On September
10 McKinney's dad Billy, a 30 year Georgia state representative prominently
involved in his daughter's campaign, faced off against a white opponent,
a member of the Sons of the Confederacy. It was a 60% black district.
The elder McKinney lost too. He blames black people who "just
didn't come out" for him and his daughter.
As
analysis, this is unacceptable. It's way time for organizers and activists
to stop hiding behind the lame excuse that our people just don't come
out to vote. They come out when we organize ourselves to register
them and to turn them out. It ain't rocket science, and we should
not blame the people when we do not do our own jobs.
The
fact is that progressive political campaigns have to take the responsibility
for registering their vote and getting it out. It's not enough to
call meetings. It's not enough to vent on black talk radio. It's not
enough to make the rounds of the churches. Electoral organizing is
about numbers, not noise. Skip the registration drive and large numbers
of the core constituencies for your progressive candidates won't even
be able to vote. Omit or skimp on the canvass and you will be unable
to bring out the voters who are registered. It's that simple.
Hard
work, done right, wins
In
1982 another progressive member of the Congressional Black Caucus,
Rep. Harold Washington, was being asked to run for mayor of Chicago.
What would it take? he was asked? Harold's reply was, "Give me
50,000 new registered voters." He got those and more besides.
Canvassing and appealing to the Black Consensus after the registration
drive produced over 90% turnouts in African American areas across
the city. Harold was elected Chicago's first black and only progressive
mayor early in 1983.
The
same forces in Chicago conducted two registration drives in 1992.
The first, concentrated in several black and Latino areas of the city,
put about 12,000 new voters on the rolls and brought them to the polls
to defend progressive Latino candidates for the Illinois State Senate
against well-funded right-wing Latino surrogates in a Democratic primary.
A whopping percentage of those newly registered and canvassed Latino
voters cast ballots for Carol Moseley Braun, providing her narrow
margin of statewide victory in that primary election. A second voter
registration drive over the summer put well over 100,000 new voters
on the rolls and made Braun the first black woman ever to sit in the
US Senate and the only African American US Senator in the 20th century.
It's
not a mystery. It's all doable, and it's all been done many times
before.
Bruce
A. Dixon can be contacted at [email protected].
Mr. Dixon has compiled additional, important information on the contest
in Georgia's 4th congressional district. Visit his web site. http://www.bdixon.net/mckinney-analysis.html
Below
is Bruce Dixon's prescription for a winning voter canvas and registration
operation.
CONDUCTING
A CANVASS AND VOTER REGISTRATION DRIVE
In
Chicago, independent progressive candidates frequently face black
and Latino opponents funded and sponsored by what we fondly call “the
Machine”. Sometimes the progressives lose and some other times they
win. When they do win it’s by sticking to a set of steps much like
the following for the registration drive phase of their campaigns:
A.
Set a numeric registration goal for your drive and appoint someone
to be responsible for doing whatever it takes to accomplish this goal.
B.
A modest amount of radio advertising pushing arguably nonpartisan
voter registration during the 2 weeks before the registration deadline
is necessary. Set some funds aside in your budget for this. Registration
being a legally nonpartisan activity in most places, it
is possible to hit up donors who may have already reached their hard
money contribution limits. It may be advisable to maintain a separate
nonpartisan entity to collect and administer funds for
your voter registration drive.
C.
Recruit and train a core of volunteers who will conduct registration
activities either directly through the campaign or indirectly as members
of their unions, church, community or other groups. Offer technical
assistance advice on areas, sites and techniques. Set aside
some funds in your budget as volunteers or their organizations may
have to be compensated.
D.
In the several weeks before the cutoff of voter registration, concentrate
forces to conduct a door-to-door registration drive in population-rich
but registration-poor areas of the district.
E.
Have volunteers carry the candidates propaganda along at the
same time you are conducting the registration drive. While the person
doing registration is not permitted to advocate on behalf of the candidate,
someone else tagging along on the same encounter, is. On some high
visibility occasions have the candidate out there doing registrations
in person. That always sends a nice "nonpartisan" message.
F.
Record each door-to-door contact, along with phone numbers, absent
neighbors and family members who may need to be registered, and possible
absentee ballot or other such needs.
G.
Photocopy all registration forms before turning them in and add them
to your contact database. Use the campaigns bulk mail permit
to send a thank you for registering postcard signed by
the candidate and informing them of the polling place location, election
day and registration deadline and giving them a phone number to contact
with any registration or voting related questions. Your campaign
or civic organization doesnt have a bulk mail permit?
Think about getting one, perhaps in combination with some other progressive
campaigns in neighboring districts.
H.
Follow up area visits/phone calls to catch absent family members,
and put out door hangers telling those you miss where to go before
the registration deadline hits.
I.
There should be 2 follow-up mailings to the newly registered in the
weeks before the primary election.
J.
Phone calls and visits to the specific people you registered asking
for their commitment to vote for your candidate.
K.
If local laws allow you to hand carry registration forms to the authorities,
the candidate or some other newsworthy figure should try to show up
at the registration office with a hand truck or wheelbarrow of completed
forms for a photo opportunity. Alert your local media contacts.
L.
On the weekend before the close of registration conduct a field operation
to get registration volunteers on the ground in as many precincts
as possible, along with telephone support to direct some of them to
visit the homes or businesses where unregistered people are, and to
place and publicize the placement of registration forms in as many
locations as possible. This is the time for low-budget media buys
reminding folks that its their last chance to register for the
election. Make the candidate visible in this effort too.
M.
Use this registration drive to expand your volunteer database and
ties with organizations that provide occasional manpower for street
activities such as student and womens groups, church groups,
unions and the like. Ideally, a single group of people should adopt
a single precinct or precincts throughout the drive, but week-by-week
accountability to a registration goal is a must.
Before
Election Day operations, the canvass is the central activity of a
campaign field operation. Without a canvass to measure the results
of its activity more reliably than polling and among demographic sectors
in which poll results have been less than dependable, campaign management
has little or no accountability for results until election day.
A.
Designate a person to be not just in charge of but also
accountable for the conduct and results of the canvass. The canvass
manager has to be able to command the resources to get the job done,
and must report accurate numbers (voter contacts and dispositions,
along with current and next-day volunteer activity) daily to the campaign
manager and other responsible parties.
B.
Obtain poll sheets or lists of registered voters, make several copies
and designate one as the office master copy. Better yet, get the list
on disk and rig up your database program to spit out walk or phone
sheets or mailing labels based upon various criteria such as precinct,
even or odd numbered addresses, senior citizens, etc.
C.
Obtain updated phone numbers for as many voters as possible in areas
targeted for phone canvass, and reconcile these with your voter list.
D.
Carefully train your canvassers. They are your contact with thousands
of voters.
E.
Set aside an area in the campaign office where noise levels from other
activities will not interfere with the phone canvass, and where phone
canvassers can work. Set aside several phone lines for this purpose
and make it a top priority to keep trained volunteers working these
lines each and every evening from 6 to 9, and all day Saturday and
Sunday. Since many people have lots of unused cell phone minutes after
7 or 8 PM and on weekends think about distributing scripts and log
forms to some to use off the premises, though it is vastly preferable
to have people working together.
F.
Develop scripts for canvassers to use that ask the question you want
without leading the voter, and train canvassers in their use. Train
canvassers to record their contacts and to fish for relevant information
such as the names of other registered voters, and whether any of these
need absentee ballots, transportation to the polls, or have specific
issue concerns. Canvassers for incumbents are certain to encounter
constituent service issues which should be referred to the incumbents
service office and handled there. Constituent problems encountered
in this manner should be given a fast track to solution, as these
are the same folks whose votes your representatives are personally
asking for.
G.
Both door to door and phone canvassers must record each voter contact
immediately on the appropriate forms so that it can be reported in
a meaningful way to the canvass manager and the campaign.
H.
Develop special issue-oriented scripts for certain groups such as
senior citizens or other identifiable groups as dictated by the needs
of the campaign. Follow-up special interest mailings may be directed
at voters contacted by the canvass.
I.
Use the canvass as a tool to recruit more volunteers from among those
most interested in the campaigns objectives.
J.
The primary use for volunteers in a well-run campaign is to staff
the canvass and election day operation.
Your comments are welcome. Visit the Contact
Us page for E-mail or Feedback.
www.blackcommentator.com
|
|