The good news: Consumers and homeowners should
not feel ashamed because they were misled by Wall Street. Some
of the most brilliant financial minds in the world were also
sold some risky products by Wall Street.
Auction rate securities (ARS) have been around since 1984 but
at the turn of this century, Wall Street began aggressively
to push auction rate securities to bond issuers (Municipalities,
States, Counties, Universities, Housing Finance Agencies, quasi-governmental
agencies and others). Auction rate bonds are similar to Adjustable
Rate Mortgages (ARM) in that they can finance long-term debt
with an adjustable product pegged to some index. Another similarity
is the introductory or teaser rate at the beginning which makes
the ARM attractive to homeowners and the ARS appealing to municipal
borrowers.
A fairly large number of homeowners in the subprime
industry were sold what is referred to as the 2/28 ARM. After
the first 2 years, the mortgage rate will adjust at a certain
interval (6 mos., l, 2, 3, 5 yrs. etc) for the next 28 years.
Unlike an ARM, auction rate securities adjust every 7, 28 or
35 days. Depending on the interval (7,28,35) the bonds will
be offered at an auction held by an intermediary such as Goldman
Sachs, Citigroup or UBS. In the past, bond dealers have stepped
in with their capital when an auction failed, which was rare.
The bad news: Your roads will not get repaired, student loan
options have decreased, there will be no new wing at the hospital
and City/County services will be drastically reduced.
The
Port Authority of NY/NJ, Georgetown
University and Palm Beach County Schools
represent a few of those entities which issued bonds for long-term
projects. These bonds were insured by one of the bond insurers
(Ambac, MBIA, FGIC, etc., see last
week's article for a brief description on bond insurers).
The bond insurers gave a guarantee to investors that principal
on these bonds would be paid. The bond insurers were backed
with an AAA rating from Fitch, Standard & Poors and Moody's.
The bond insurers also guaranteed corporate bonds that were
collateralized with subprime mortgages. The insurers took a
beating on the corporate bonds similar to what Ali gave Quarry.
The insurers became undercapitalized and made several attempts
to raise capital to prevent a rating downgrade. The three rating
agencies have them under review today and alternatives are being
explored by NY State, Berkshire Hathaway and federal agencies.
Meanwhile those municipal borrowers (schools, cities, counties
etc.) discovered in January, 2008, there were few investors
willing to purchase their bonds. When there are not enough orders
for the bonds, it is called a failed auction. Since 1984 through
December, 2007, there were only 44 failed auctions. On February
20, 2008, there were 395 or 62% failed auctions. On February
13, 2008 over 80% of the auctions failed. Investors are skittish
about the capitalization of the bond insurers. In the past,
on that rare occasion when an auction failed, the bond dealer
would commit to buying the bonds. The exposure to the subprime
market, concern about the rating of the insurers, and recent
writedowns, has made dealers cautious about participating in
a buy-back or secondary-market position.
The municipal borrowers have few takers for their
auction rate securities and now the rate will reset to the maximum
in their contract, an alarming position when one considers the
amount of money involved in the issues. Many of the borrowers
are attempting to convert to a fixed rate to stop the bleeding.
Palm Beach County Schools' bond issue of $116 million failed
and the weekly payment went from $107,000 in December when the
rate was approximately 4% to $220,000 recently when converted
to the fix rate of 9.75%. The penalty rate in their contract
is 15% so the conversion was timely. The City University of
NY (CUNY) saw its weekly payment on $980 million in auction
rate securities increase from $683,000 to nearly $1.1 million.
There are probably thousands more that are similarly situated.
Last week many cities, hospitals, schools and other issuers
scrambled to convert their auction rate to a fix rate. In the
absence of the conversion or the bond insurers becoming well
capitalized, the municipal borrowers will, more likely than
not, have their credit rating downgraded or default on their
obligation. The best case scenario is the borrower will sell
off the auction rate bonds, convert to a fixed rate and increase
your water, sewer, utility, taxes and any other bill they can
collect from you so they can pay the debt Wall Street put on
them. And you think homeowners were the only ones hoodwinked.
Next, we will discuss the subprime debacle.
BlackCommentator.com Guest Commentator, Lloyd Wynn was a consultant in
the secondary market. Lloyd is the
author of Residential Real Estate Finance: From Application
Through Settlement.
Click here to contact Lloyd Wynn.