The good news: Consumers and homeowners should
not feel ashamed because they were misled by Wall Street. Some of the
most brilliant financial minds in the world were also sold some risky
products by Wall Street.
Auction rate securities (ARS) have been around since 1984 but at the turn
of this century, Wall Street began aggressively to push auction rate securities
to bond issuers (Municipalities, States, Counties, Universities, Housing
Finance Agencies, quasi-governmental agencies and others). Auction rate
bonds are similar to Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARM) in that they can
finance long-term debt with an adjustable product pegged to some index.
Another similarity is the introductory or teaser rate at the beginning
which makes the ARM attractive to homeowners and the ARS appealing to
municipal borrowers.
A fairly large number of homeowners in the subprime industry were sold
what is referred to as the 2/28 ARM. After the first 2 years, the mortgage
rate will adjust at a certain interval (6 mos., l, 2, 3, 5 yrs. etc) for
the next 28 years. Unlike an ARM, auction rate securities adjust every
7, 28 or 35 days. Depending on the interval (7,28,35) the bonds will be
offered at an auction held by an intermediary such as Goldman Sachs, Citigroup
or UBS. In the past, bond dealers have stepped in with their capital when
an auction failed, which was rare.
The bad news: Your roads will not get repaired, student loan options have
decreased, there will be no new wing at the hospital and City/County services
will be drastically reduced.
The Port Authority of NY/NJ, Georgetown University
and Palm Beach County Schools
represent a few of those entities which issued bonds for long-term projects.
These bonds were insured by one of the bond insurers (Ambac, MBIA, FGIC,
etc., see last
week's article for a brief description on bond insurers). The bond
insurers gave a guarantee to investors that principal on these bonds would
be paid. The bond insurers were backed with an AAA rating from Fitch,
Standard & Poors and Moody's. The bond insurers also guaranteed corporate
bonds that were collateralized with subprime mortgages. The insurers took
a beating on the corporate bonds similar to what Ali gave Quarry. The
insurers became undercapitalized and made several attempts to raise capital
to prevent a rating downgrade. The three rating agencies have them under
review today and alternatives are being explored by NY State, Berkshire
Hathaway and federal agencies.
Meanwhile those municipal borrowers (schools, cities, counties etc.) discovered
in January, 2008, there were few investors willing to purchase their bonds.
When there are not enough orders for the bonds, it is called a failed
auction. Since 1984 through December, 2007, there were only 44 failed
auctions. On February 20, 2008, there were 395 or 62% failed auctions.
On February 13, 2008 over 80% of the auctions failed. Investors are skittish
about the capitalization of the bond insurers. In the past, on that rare
occasion when an auction failed, the bond dealer would commit to buying
the bonds. The exposure to the subprime market, concern about the rating
of the insurers, and recent writedowns, has made dealers cautious about
participating in a buy-back or secondary-market position.
The municipal borrowers have few takers for their auction rate securities
and now the rate will reset to the maximum in their contract, an alarming
position when one considers the amount of money involved in the issues.
Many of the borrowers are attempting to convert to a fixed rate to stop
the bleeding. Palm Beach County Schools' bond issue of $116 million failed
and the weekly payment went from $107,000 in December when the rate was
approximately 4% to $220,000 recently when converted to the fix rate of
9.75%. The penalty rate in their contract is 15% so the conversion was
timely. The City University of NY (CUNY) saw its weekly payment on $980
million in auction rate securities increase from $683,000 to nearly $1.1
million. There are probably thousands more that are similarly situated.
Last week many cities, hospitals, schools and other issuers scrambled
to convert their auction rate to a fix rate. In the absence of the conversion
or the bond insurers becoming well capitalized, the municipal borrowers
will, more likely than not, have their credit rating downgraded or default
on their obligation. The best case scenario is the borrower will sell
off the auction rate bonds, convert to a fixed rate and increase your
water, sewer, utility, taxes and any other bill they can collect from
you so they can pay the debt Wall Street put on them. And you think homeowners
were the only ones hoodwinked. Next, we will discuss the subprime debacle.
BlackCommentator.com Guest Commentator, Lloyd Wynn was a consultant in
the secondary market. Lloyd is the author
of Residential Real Estate Finance: From Application
Through Settlement.
Click here to contact Lloyd Wynn.
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