This may be the last great opportunity for the United States to avoid permanently falling behind China.
Much has
been made during the past couple of months over the fact that critical top
leadership decisions were being made in the United
States and China at about the same time as
clues were sought as to what the changes in our climate would mean for major
issues facing the international community. How the question of climate change
has been dealt with in the two countries since the U.S. Presidential election
and the changing of the guard in the Communist Party of China has offered an
intriguing contrast, one that bears examination on the eve of this week’s UN
climate change conference (November 26 - December 7) in Doha, Qatar, known as
COP 18.
The
question of ecology and climate change received scant attention during the U.S.
Presidential campaign. As it unfolded, incumbent President Obama continued his
reticence to say much of anything in public on the subject and the opposition
Republicans did their best to avoid the subject entirely. “A presidential
campaign offers an opportunity to educate and engage the American people in the
decisions that climate change will force us to make,” Washington Post columnist, Eugene Robinson, observed during the
Presidential campaign. “Unfortunately, Obama and Romney have chosen to see this
more as an opportunity to pretend that the light at the end of the tunnel is
not an approaching train.”
The
message out of Beijing
has been quite different. In his report to the 18th Communist Congress,
outgoing party General Secretary, President Hu Jintao, devoted over 1,000 words to “Making Great Efforts
to Promote Ecological Progress.”
“We
should remain committed to the basic state policy of conserving resources and
protecting the environment as well as the principle of giving high priority to
conserving resources, protecting the environment and promoting its natural
restoration, and strive for green, circular and low-carbon development,” Hu told the party congress. “We should preserve our
geographical space and improve our industrial structure, way of production and
way of life in the interest of conserving resources and protecting the
environment. We should address the root cause of deterioration of the
ecological environment so as to reverse this trend, create a sound working and
living environment for the people, and contribute our share to global
ecological security.”
Without a national policy on climate change, there is little for him to pledge.
“We
should strengthen conservation efforts all the way, drastically reduce energy,
water and land consumption per unit of GDP, and use such resources in a better
and more efficient way,” said Hu. “We should launch a
revolution in energy production and consumption, impose a ceiling on total
energy consumption, save energy and reduce its consumption. We should support
the development of energy-efficient and low-carbon industries, new energy
sources and renewable energy sources and ensure China’s energy security. We should
better protect water sources, impose a cap on total water consumption, promote
water recycling, and build a water-conserving society. We should ensure that
the red line for protecting farmland is not crossed and strictly control land
uses. We should strengthen exploration, protection and proper exploitation of
mineral resources. We should develop a circular economy to reduce waste and
resource consumption, reuse resources and recycle waste in the process of
production, distribution and consumption.”
Hu Jintao continued, “We should strengthen
conservation efforts all the way, drastically reduce energy, water and land
consumption per unit of GDP, and use such resources in a better and more
efficient way. We should launch a revolution in energy production and
consumption, impose a ceiling on total energy consumption, save energy and
reduce its consumption. We should support the development of energy-efficient
and low-carbon industries, new energy sources and renewable energy sources and
ensure China’s
energy security. We should better protect water sources, impose a cap on total
water consumption, promote water recycling, and build a water-conserving
society. We should ensure that the red line for protecting farmland is not
crossed and strictly control land uses. We should strengthen exploration,
protection and proper exploitation of mineral resources. We should develop a
circular economy to reduce waste and resource consumption, reuse resources and
recycle waste in the process of production, distribution and consumption.”
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“We will
work with the international community to actively respond to global climate
change on the basis of equity and in accordance with the common but
differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities of all countries,” Hu concluded.
It
is hard to imagine legislation that is even close to adequate coming
from bartering with a GOP leadership that won’t even agree that climate
change is rea
It was
not the first time the Chinese leader had addressed the question of climate
change. Before the United Nations General Assembly in 2009, he declared that “out
of a sense of responsibility to its own people and people across the world, China
has taken and will continue to take determined and practical steps to tackle
this challenge. China
has adopted and is implementing its national climate change program.”
Of
course, words alone will not halt global warning ecological damage and China’s rapid
industrialization and economic expansion has engendered severe environmental
threats that are far from being overcome. Still, the fact that climate change
now receives so much official attention in Beijing is significant. Whether the threat of
climate change even exists remains a subject of debate here in the U.S.
Somewhat
unexpectedly, President Obama has recently taken up the subject of climate
change. Speaking in the first White House press conference since his
re-election, he said he intends to take an initiative to forge a political
agreement on steps to address the problem.
“So what
I am going to be doing over the next several weeks, the next several months, is
having a conversation – a wide-ranging conversation – with scientists,
engineers and elected officials to find out what more we can do to make short
term progress,” Obama said. “You can expect that you will hear more from me in
the coming months and years about how we can shape an agenda that garners
bipartisan support and help moves this agenda forward.”
“The
comments were Obama’s most expansive in years on the dangers of climate change
and his strategy for addressing the problem,” wrote Suzanne Goldenberg US
environment correspondent for the British Guardian
last week.” It was also the first time Obama said he would take personal charge
of climate change.
“The approach
offers a marked difference from Obama’s largely hands-off policy during his
first term, when he left Democrats in Congress in charge of crafting a climate
change bill. That effort ultimately collapsed in the Senate.”
The GOP retained ability to sabotage any international agreement not to the liking of the oil and energy industrial barons
However,
the President’s remarks made it clear that the country is without a
comprehensive policy of any kind to deal with climate change and he remains
hesitant and politically cautious about what such a policy should be. “If the
message is somehow that we are going to ignore jobs and growth simply to
address climate change I don’t think anyone is going to go for that. I won’t go
for that,” he said. “If on the other hand we can shape an agenda that says we
can create jobs, advance growth and make a serious dent in climate change and
be an international leader I think that is something the American people would
support.”
“Even
with those limitations, however, Obama’s comments on climate change represent a
break with past efforts by the White House to limit his exposure to what is
viewed as one of the most bitterly divisive issues of the day,” wrote
Goldenberg.
Others
aren’t so sure. An indication that Washington “has faith in the international
process would go a long way,” wrote Carl Ritter of the Associated Press last week, citing analysts as saying that many
people “were disappointed that Obama didn’t put more emphasis on climate change
during his first term...He took some steps to rein in emissions of
heat-trapping gases, such as sharply increasing fuel efficiency standards for
cars and trucks. But a climate bill that would have capped U.S. emissions stalled in the
Senate.”
“The
perception of many negotiators and countries is that the U.S. is not really interested in increasing
action on climate change in general,” Bill Hare, senior scientist at Climate
Analytics, a non-profit organization based in Berlin, told the AP.
“Part of
the reason America
still lacks a comprehensive, long-term global warming strategy is that Obama
put climate policy lower on his first-term priority list than health care and
financial reform,” Stephen Stromberg wrote in the Washington Post November 18. “Will the issue get the attention it
requires in his second term? In the end, the president on Wednesday was not
very encouraging. He had many more details and a far more urgent tone answering
questions on budget and immigration reforms. About long-term climate policy,
the best he could manage was this: ‘You can expect that you’ll hear more from
me in the coming months and years about how we can shape an agenda that garners
bipartisan support.’ That hardly signals an ambition in proportion to the size
of the problem.”
Obama put climate policy lower on his first-term priority list than health care and financial reform
As for
the Republicans, as economist Paul Krugman noted in
the New York Times last week, “As the
evidence for a warming planet becomes ever stronger - and ever scarier - the
G.O.P. has buried deeper into denial, into assertions that the whole thing is a
hoax concocted by a vast conspiracy of scientists. And this denial has been
accompanied by frantic efforts to silence and punish anyone reporting the
inconvenient facts.” The problem is, however, the GOP retained ability to
sabotage any international agreement not to the liking of the oil and energy
industrial barons. It is this that prompts the president to cite an actually
non-existent contradiction between “growth” and control of carbon emissions.
Some
observers have suggested that the message behind the President’s caution and
emphasis on find a consensus is acknowledgement that Congressional Republicans
will never agree to a carbon tax (Grover Norquist
wouldn’t permit it) and an indication the Administration will not even propose
one. That would be consistent with the effort to “reach across the aisle” and
find compromise that has been the hallmark of the Obama administration’s
approach to a lot of things from the beginning. Still it is hard to imagine
legislation that is even close to adequate coming from bartering with a GOP
leadership that won’t even agree that climate change is real. Furthermore, it
is a rejection of the plea by many in his own party for the President to take
the lead and use his status to inform the public and mobilize forces for
meaningful action.
One
thing is certain. Obama’s announced approach will severely limit his ability to
engage other nations in formulating a truly global response. Without a national
policy on climate change, there is little for him to pledge. Still. climate change campaigners are said to be cautiously
optimistic about the chance of a change in the U.S.
stance, especially following the reaction to the Sandy
storm and New York City
mayor Michael Bloomberg’s citing climate change as a reason for his last minute
endorsement of Obama’s reelection.” At Doha,
negotiators will be looking for signs of how Obama plans to put his climate
mission in action,” wrote Goldenberg.
“As the
planet warms, it’s the poor around the world who will suffer the most,”
observed progressive radio host Thom Hartmann last week. “That’s the warning
coming from a new World Bank report that projects global temperatures increasing
4-degrees Celsius by the end of the century. The temperature increase will be
felt the most along the equator in the Mediterranean, North Africa, the Middle
East, and parts of the United
States. This temperature increase will lead
to scarcity in water and food resources and disruptions in biodiversity – which
could force mass migrations of people out of affected areas. Rising
temperatures will also lead to rising sea levels which threaten cities located
in India, Mexico, and Vietnam – as well as several African
nations. The World Bank also warns that several small islands around the planet
will likely be unable to sustain their populations by 2100. This is the threat
that the entire planet faces if global climate change is left unchecked.”
Whether the threat of climate change even exists remains a subject of debate here in the U.S
Last
week, the governments of China,
India and South Africa issued a joint position statement
calling on the governments of the planet’s richer countries to do more to cut
greenhouse gas emissions, asserting that as a prerequisite for progress in the
latest round of UN climate talks in Doha.
“Ministers reaffirmed that the Kyoto protocol
remains a key component of the international climate regime and that its second
commitment period is the key deliverable for Doha, and the essential basis for ambition
within the regime,” they said. The Kyoto
protocol, which set binding targets on cutting greenhouse emissions, expires at
the end of the year.
Commenting
on President Obama’s recent statements on the subject, the New York Times said editorially November 8, “Children should live
in a world that is not burdened by debt or weakened by inequality, he said, but
also one ‘that isn’t threatened by the destructive power of a warming planet.’
That suggests he knows he has an opportunity to address climate change with
more vigor, going beyond auto-mileage standards and renewable-energy jobs to
possibly advocating tougher carbon emissions standards.”
“Predictions
from models tell us that we can’t wait even a few more years to address climate
change, if we are to minimize warming that will decimate our agriculture with
droughts, and eviscerate our economy with storms and fires,” wrote Peter Kalmus of California in a Letter the Editor response to the
Times. “We’ve had a preview this
year. That it will get worse is unavoidable; we need to prevent it from getting
much, much worse.”
“A Green
New Deal would be America’s
ticket to jobs, security, economic recovery and renewing our position of global
leadership. This may be the last great opportunity for the United States to avoid permanently falling
behind China.
Here’s hoping that Mr. Obama finally finds the courage to stand firm against
the oil and coal barons and lead us, our children and future generations away
from the brink of climate disaster.”
BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member
and Columnist, Carl Bloice, is a writer in San Francisco, a member of the National Coordinating Committee of the Committees
of Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism and formerly worked for a
healthcare union. Click here to contact Mr. Bloice.
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