Shortly after the start of the New
Year, Reuters reported that �Millions of Pakistanis
are growing frustrated at widespread corruption, power cuts,
poverty and rising inflation - problems that risk pushing
more young men to join militants groups in the South Asian
country of 170 million.� In
that atmosphere, the country�s government decided last year,
as part of an economic �reform� drive to raise the price
of gas and other fuels. In the words of the New York
Times, the regime chose to raise fuel prices nine percent
effective January 1 �as the fastest and easiest way to increase
revenues, before it struggled with more difficult tax reforms.�
The result was predictable; there were protests. The newspaper
Dawn reported on the �resentment shown by political
parties, civil society organizations and people across the
country.�
�The increase in fuel prices was
deeply unpopular, hitting the poor hardest, and fraught
with political risks of its own,� Salman
Masood and J. David Goodman reported
in the Times from Islamabad.
A major party withdrew from the governing
coalition and the government collapsed. On January 7, the
government rescinded the price hike.
Into this mess stepped the U.S. State
Department.
Turns out U.S. Secretary of State
Hilary Clinton tried to convince the Pakistanis to retain
the unpopular policy decision. She says three days before
the government dropped the price hike she met with Pakistan�s
ambassador, Hussain Haqqani,
at the State Department in Washington
and told him it would be a �mistake� to do so. �We believe
that the government of Pakistan
must reform its economic laws and regulations, including
those that affect fuel and its cost,� Clinton later told reporters. �We have made it clear�
that we think it is a mistake to reverse the progress that
was being made to provide a stronger economic base for Pakistan and we will
continue to express that opinion.�
It was a pretty heavy handed intrusion
into Pakistani affairs but the U.S.
is the country�s main source of aid and much of it is funneled
through the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and both are
unhappy about Islamabad�s refusal to adopt their prescriptions. The IMF has refused
to release the second half of an already granted loan pending
the government agreeing to the �reform.� Then again, Pakistan is paying dearly in blood and resources
for its involvement in Washington�s
�war on terrorism� and is being pressured to contribute
even more to the senseless war in neighboring Afghanistan.
However,
leaving aside what business it was for Clinton to be so
publicly interfering in Pakistani politics and economic
policy, the episode and what followed in places many miles
away from Pakistan speak volumes about the international
situation in 2011.
Skip ahead to January 13 to the Sudan where police
brutally tied to crush student protests against proposed
cuts in subsidies in petroleum products and sugar.
The Sudanese protests came against
the background of the secession referendum then underway
in the south of the country that is expected to split the
country in to. �It is not about the referendum - there is
almost no referendum in the north, it is for their protection
against social protests after increasing the prices,� opposition
politician Yasir Arman
told Reuters. �The north is feeling that the government
has betrayed all the dreams of having a new society, of
a different route that could have kept the unity of Sudan.�
The Sudanese student protests came
as the world�s attention was focused on Algeria
and Tunisia
with the president of the latter being literally driven
from the country by the upheaval, ending his 23 years of
dictatorial rule. Ironically, two days before Tunisian President
Zine El Abidine
fled Tunis (probably with a big sack of gold), the Christian
Science Monitor said, �While the protests are unlikely
to bring down any governments in the near future, they portend
trouble ahead if leaders who have ruled with a strong fist
for decades try to keep a tighter lid on discontent instead
of creating a vent for anger.�
In Algeria, protestors took the streets after the
prices for essential food items such as flour, cooking oil
and sugar doubled over the previous two weeks.
�First it was Morocco, then Tunisia,
and now it is Algeria�s
turn,� said Aljereeza last week.
�Hundreds of Algerians have taken to the streets of the
capital Algiers, some of them shouting �Bring us sugar.�
And then it was the Sudan and then Ma�an,
Jordan and then the capital, Amman.
According to AFP, almost 3,000 people
staged a sit-in in front of the Jordanian parliament building
Sunday protesting the government�s economic policy and that
trade unionists, members of left-wing parties and Islamists
took part in the demonstration.
The riots that erupted in the small
Jordanian city of Ma�an are reported to have come in response of a local ethnic
conflict in which two people were killed. Angry young men
are reported to have attacked governmental buildings and
offices and cars and stores and burned tires. A witness
told the Jordanian Times, �The angry youths were
shouting that they do not believe
in the system and that was why they were destroying public
properties.�
�They are unhappy with the rising
cost of food and, what they say is a lack of opportunity
in the country,� said Al Jazeera
as the protests spread through the region. �They are directing
their anger at the government - they do not understand why
an oil rich country is unable to offer a decent life to
its people.�
One problem is that the prices of
many basic commodities are rising across the globe. But
the effect is uneven because in the poorer countries in
Asia, Africa and Latin America, people
spend a greater portion of their already meager incomes
on food and fuel than those of us in developed world.
The
United Nations� world food price index rose 32 percent from
June to December. Much of it can be traced to poor grain
harvests � particularly grain � and weather-related problems.
These factors and an increase in market speculation have
pushed prices close to the crisis levels that have previously
provoked shortages and riots in poor countries. �We are
at a very high level,� said Abdolreza
Abbassian, an economist for the
United Nations� Food and Agriculture Organization. �These
levels in the previous episode led to problems and riots
across the world.�
Another factor contributing to the
upheavals is that the economic crisis that was spawned in
the U.S. and today convulses Europe, has had a spillover effect. On January 11, the Times
observed that �the economic malaise that has gripped southern
Europe has spread here, sending unemployment
and public resentment skyrocketing.�
Observers point to another, perhaps
most significant, factor driving the protests: the stubborn
and increasing economic inequality in these countries. While
most attention has been directed at the very real problem
of unemployed college educated youths, President Ben Ali�s
departure came after the students were joined in the streets
by workers and young professionals. A general strike was
called the day Ben Ali fled.
In a January 6 statement, the leadership
of the Algerian Workers Party (PT) called for urgent measures
to overcome the crisis and �would also put a brake on all
who seek to ride the wave of legitimate anger provoked among
the Algerian citizens - who are worn out having endured
constant increases in the prices of basic commodities -
to direct this anger toward nefarious political ends.�
�Because the situation is serious
and because the interests of the nation must come first,
the secretariat of the Political Bureau considers that the
anger of young people raises the urgent need for real solutions
to the unemployment problem by creating good full-time jobs,
in order to combat the despair that is generated by social
precariousness,� the Party�s statement read.
�These four events hitting at roughly
the same time, for all their differences, seem to crystallize
a long-developing sense that these regimes have failed to
meaningfully address this relentlessly building wave of
troubles.� Marc Lynch, George Washington University
associate professor of Political Science and International
Affairs. �For years, both Arab and Western analysts and
many political activists have warned of the urgent need
for reform as such problems built and spread. Most of the
Arab governments have learned to talk a good game about
the need for such reform, while ruthlessly stripping democratic
forms of any actual ability to challenge their grip on power.
Economic reforms, no matter how impressive on paper, have
increased inequality, undermined social protections, enabled
corruption, and failed to create anything near the needed
numbers of jobs. Western governments have tried through
a wide variety of means to help promote reform, but not
really democracy since that would risk having their allied
regimes voted out of power - the core hypocrisy at the heart
of American democracy promotion efforts of which every Arab
is keenly aware. Obama talking more about democracy in public,
which seems to be the main concern of many of his critics,
isn�t really going to help.�
That hasn�t kept Washington from trying.
In a speech last week at the Forum
for the Future conference in Doha,
Qatar,
Hilary Clinton addressed the problem of young people in
the region, noting that �people have grown tired of corrupt
institutions and a stagnant political order.� She called
for �political reforms that will create the space young
people are demanding, to participate
in public affairs and have a meaningful role in the decisions
that shape their lives.� What
she didn�t address was the U.S.
policy in the region up until now.
It should be noted that, with the
exception of the Sudan
recently, the dramatic protests have occurred in what U.S. political figures and the mass media refer
to as �moderate� countries. Each has received generous U.S. aid and military and
security coordination. During the Cold War this meant all-too-often
successful effort to physically crush the left, trade union
and progressive forces and this preserve the unequal economic
relations that serve the interests of multinational corporations
and the governing elites. Recently they have been placated
in the interest of the �war on terror.�
Last Saturday, after offering a litany
of deprivation and repression visited upon the country,
the Financial Times noted, �Despite all this, Tunisia
under Mr. Ben Ali has often been touted as a model of stability
and prudent economic management. The country opened up to
foreign investment and Mr. Ben Ali encouraged the development
of a diversified industrial base supplying European markets.�
�The most imminent threat to U.S.
interests in the Middle East, however, is not war; it is
revolution,� a Washington Post editor Jackson Diehl
wrote last week.
Diehl went on: �The violence has
already migrated to Algeria,
and Arab media are full of speculation of where the �Tunisia
scenario� will appear next: Egypt?
Jordan?
Libya?
All those countries are threatened by rapidly rising global
prices for food and fuel; the United Nations warned last
week of a �food price shock.� All have large numbers of
restless, unemployed youth. And all are governed by repressive
regimes that not only have refused to embrace political
reforms in the past decade but have cracked down harder
on domestic opponents since Obama took office. It�s
hard not to attribute that trend at least in part to the
administration�s relaxed attitude toward reform and its
reluctance to defend human rights and democracy.�
The question before the Obama Administration
is how to respond to the �Jasmine Revolution� and how to
move forward with the President�s promised �new beginning�
in relations with that part of the world. To do something
meaningful it must go beyond lecturing the local establishment
leaders about human rights and political plurality. It must
be to move to respond positively to the aspiration of the
kids with the rocks in the streets. It should not involve
telling the Pakistanis how to price gas.
BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member
Carl Bloice is a writer in San Francisco, a member of the National Coordinating Committee of
the Committees of Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism and formerly worked for
a healthcare union. Click here to contact Mr. Bloice.
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