Permit
me an observation about life. It is sometimes, perhaps even
frequently, the case, when an unusual but reasonably complex situation
arises, that people ignore the immediately obvious but rather simple
solution in favor of complex possibilities that ultimately are recognized
as either unlikely of success or overly difficult of accomplishment.
Something like that may have happened in the financial disaster
caused by subprime mortgages. The immediately obvious but simple
solution would have been to provide the debtors with the money to
pay the arrears on their mortgages, coupled with revamping the mortgages
so that they reflected only reasonable interest rates instead
of the insane rates which obtained after adjustable rates were reset
far higher.
But
this simple solution, which would have nipped the crisis early on
if not totally in the bud, was rejected for myriad reasons. There
are those who think, and I am one of them, that this rejection,
and the myriad reasons underlying it, were the work of what has
been called the financial oligarchy (which is described brilliantly
in an article by Simon Johnson in the April issue of the Atlantic).
It is this oligarchy, including its minions in government, which
first caused the meltdown and then engineered trillions in bailouts,
plus obscene bonuses, almost all across Wall Street. In the
end, even the oligarchy, and its highest ranking but financially-naïve
aide, President Obama, has been driven to assist those who were
victimized by the insane mortgages which the oligarchy perpetrated
for its own vast enrichment for about a decade or
more. But the assistance came way too late to avoid
meltdown and is probably far too little as well.
I
think a similar early phenomenon -- rejecting the simple and obvious
in favor of the complex but ultimately difficult of accomplishment
-- has been at work in the Madoff matter. Early on a gentleman named
Eliot Kaye came up with a solution that involved providing government
bonds to victims. But his solution was tossed on the scrap heap
because it was afflicted with the dread word “bailout.” Americans
being up in arms over the bailout of trillions given to the financial
oligarchy that culpably, sometimes even criminally, caused
the general economic disaster, it was claimed impossible to even
consider what might possibly even be considered a bailout
of the innocent victims of a fraudster -- a member of the
financial oligarchy, no less -- whose empire crashed because of
the meltdown caused by the guilty. In the words of a famous
Harvard constitutional law professor of the mid 20th Century, Paul
Freund, Americans were confusing the lightning with the lightning
rod.
So
instead of following Eliot Kaye’s idea, people began talking and
arguing bitterly about how to calculate and/or obtain theft deductions,
tax refunds, and SIPC recoveries. Persons who had IRAs or
invested through pensions, feeder funds, or partnerships are angry
because they feel their needs are being ignored. Some persons,
intent on seeing their own views prevail no matter what, have engaged
in public character assassination of intentionally named others.
Groups and people who should have been working for the same end
split apart. The entire matter is about to become -- to some
extent has already become -- a lawyer’s relief act, as some of us
warned early-on would happen if something on the order of Eliot
Kaye’s proposal was not adopted.
People
may have to wait years to get monies, or they may instead be coerced
by financial pressure -- they are having to sell homes to live,
after all -- into accepting shortchanging amounts from the government
in order to be able to live. It at least seems a certainty
that lobbyists for the obscenely wealthy are feasting on actions
taken behind the scenes. The whole thing is now something
of a gigantic miasma, as some of us warned early-on would occur.
So
I would like to go back to the simple and obvious solution advanced
by Eliot Kaye, but which I have altered a bit to make even simpler.
And I would also like to suggest that every victim -- whether
he or she is a leader or part of the Madoff Survivors web group,
the Madoff Victims web group, some other web group, or no group
at all, get behind this idea. I would like to suggest
every victim write to Senators and Congressmen or their staffs to
request implementation of the idea, that lobbying be heavily focused
on this simple idea, and that nobody quit until Congress implements
it.
Here
is the simple idea which, even though it is simplicity itself, will
greatly assist direct investors, feeder fund investors, IRA investors,
pension fund investors, charities -- everyone. Forget
about tax refunds. Forget about tax deductions. Forget about SIPC.
Waive them all. Instead, the government should give all victims
– at least all American victims and I would frankly think
all victims, regardless of nationality -- government bonds
whose principal is payable at the end of ten years, and whose interest
rate, payable annually, is either approximately seven percent tax
free or approximately ten percent taxable. The bonds’ principal
would be for the amount shown in an investor’s November 30th statement
(minus amounts already obtained in tax refunds or from SIPC).
All litigation rights against the culpable will be transferred to
the government, which is best situated to and can pursue them in
court if it wishes and may be able to recover immense amounts by
doing so. The victims, however, will simply get, as said,
bonds whose principal will come due in ten years, with interest
payable annually.
This
is simple, clean, direct and would achieve crucial goals.
Let us start with victims. Whether they were direct investors or
investors through feeder funds, many of them, who are now wiped
out, were literally living off of their Madoff earnings, which they
would take out every year for living expenses. In recent years
Madoff claimed to be earning, roughly speaking, about ten to twelve
percent taxable, about eight or nine percent after taxes. Victims,
whether direct investors or feeder fund investors, will continue
to get roughly similar amounts (probably a bit less actually) under
the bond proposal.
People
with IRAs will not have to pay taxes except to the extent that they
get interest from the government every year. Although even
that income could remain tax free if they were allowed to
roll over the money into another IRA.
Pension
funds and charities will be able to continue to obtain money tax
free, just as before. Partnerships and trusts will likewise
receive the same treatment as before.
For
those who do not want to hold on to their government bonds for ten
years, there is likely to develop -- there almost surely will develop
-- a secondary market, an over the counter market, on which the
bonds can be sold, depending on the situation, for their appropriately
discounted value or their appropriately higher-than-face-value value.
As
for the government, it makes out pretty much like a bandit in comparison
with the situation otherwise. The government has estimated
the amount of loss shown in statements from Madoff at being $65
billion. It was also estimated early on that the government
might have to pay out a total of 20 billion or more in tax refunds
and SIPC recovery, though this estimate may now be far different
and, if the government itself has made knowledgeable estimates,
it is not telling anyone what they are -- although it should
and Congress should demand to know. Under the bond
proposal, at 7 percent tax free, the government, for ten years,
will pay out only $4.55 billion a year (seven percent of $65 billion).
It will not pay out a total of the previously estimated $20
billion for over five years -- not until the sixth year will the
total reach $20 billion. Each year it will pay out, very
roughly only about one-tenth of one percent of the total
of nearly ten trillion dollars it is now estimated the government
will provide, as an investor, lender, and/or insurer to the financial
oligarchy who caused the meltdown. (It is not widely known
that the total bailout is estimated to be nearly ten trillion
dollars, but it is.)
In
addition, the present value of annually receiving for 10 years either
7 percent ($70,000) or ten percent ($100,000) each year to someone
who had an account of one million dollars is $430,120 at ten percent
and $491,651 at seven percent. At the end of the ten years,
the government will pay the 65 billion dollars in principal, but
the present value of 65 billion dollars to be received ten years
later is $33 billion and
change at seven percent (or just half the amounts in investors’
accounts), or $25 billion and change at ten percent (or not much
more than one-third of what was in the accounts). Those present
values of the income and of the principal to be paid in ten years
contrast rather dramatically, do they not, with the nearly $10 trillion
or more to be paid in a very brief total time to the financial oligarchs
who caused the current disaster and are bagging the trillions.
To
me, the bond proposal, first suggested by Eliot Kaye and tweaked
here, is by far the simplest, easiest, cleanest, quickest,
most reasonable way of resolving the whole Madoff mess. It
is also applicable, of course, to the far smaller Ponzi schemes
that have more recently been unearthed and that, like Madoff’s,
flourished because of governmental incompetence and irresponsibility.
Not to mention that it will help restore confidence in markets by
showing that the government will not allow innocent victims to suffer
permanently and to a truly huge extent because of governmental ineptitude
that was beyond description. I would urge everyone to get
behind the bond idea and focus extensive efforts on it. I
personally will try to focus on it, and I hope all Google groups,
their leaders, their members, and others will likewise focus on
it, will write and visit their legislators, etc. It is the
clean, simple, restitutionary way to go. It is the way that
will most quickly aid the innocent and help restore investors’ confidence
in the market. And it will not require the trillion(s)
being paid to the guilty architects of the meltdown.
BlackCommentator.com Columnist, Lawrence R. Velvel, JD, is the Dean of
Massachusetts School of Law.
He is the author of
Blogs From the Liberal Standpoint: 2004-2005
(Doukathsan Press, 2006). Click here
to contact Dean Velvel, or you may, post your comment on his website,
VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com. |