As
President Barack Obama heads abroad he also heads into a difficult
role as President of the United States in critical arenas.
At
the G20, he will be in an arena where the financial responsibilities
of those countries for their former colonial territories (many of
them in Africa) is at issue and where outlying pledges for economic
assistance are critical to the viability of countries that are suffering.
Meanwhile, these countries and their former colonial subjects as
well are now suffering from the global economic crisis and there
are new questions as to whether they are able to meet their pledges
- considering that they formerly did not. This means that it may
be difficult for Obama to leverage his out-sized popularity among
Europeans to achieve concrete results at the G20 meeting.
In
this arena, there are rumors that some of the key countries are
not prone to follow the lead of the U. S. in putting into place
stimulus packages, as was done in the U. S. In fact, there is considerable
resentment against the U. S. for creating this mess in the first
place, because part of the cause is seen to reside in the deregulation
of the financial institutions contributing to runaway capitalism.
However,
Americans should also understand that part of the resentment relates
to the weakening of the safety net by politicians of both parties,
such that citizens don’t have the income to spend the economy out
of the slump. Europe has kept strong welfare, unemployment and worker
support systems, but we have just emerged from an era when the weakening
safety net means that Americans are now on their own. So, President
Obama will have a tough time giving advice to Europeans about how
to fix their economies.
This
reluctance to follow the American lead will doubtless flow over
to the NATO meeting because of the fact that so many countries were
burned by George Bush’s actions. President Obama has recently announced
a new Afghanistan-Pakistan policy that is narrower than the Bush
policy, related to engaging Al Qaeda in Afghanistan, not “building
democracy” there as the primary aim. He punctuated that by sending
17,000 troops to Afghanistan as the request of his generals and
4,000 trainers to work with the Pakistani military, key to confronting
the Taliban on the critical border, especially in the Khyber Pass
region.
The
President said on a recent interview with Bob Schaefer of CBS that
he is aware of the difficulty other countries have had engaging
the Taliban in Afghanistan and that he want to use both military
and diplomatic and economic assistance tools to achieve the goal
of finding Osama bin Ladin and weakening the ability of his organization
to strike at the U. S. That said, he could still be vulnerable to
the neocons. I am suspicious when Bill Kristol agrees with the President
and suggests that one of his aims is to “pacify the country” of
Afghanistan.
Part
of the delusion of the Bush strategy was to pacify, stabilize -
and Americanize - Iraq to such an extent that it joined the Israeli
side of the Middle East ledger. So, one hopes that American foreign
policy in Afghanistan is even narrower, given the possibility that
it will take a long war to “bring democracy” to that country as
an indirect way of converting the Taliban to the war against Al
Qaeda.
Part
of the caution here is vested in putting too many eggs into the
Pakistani basket, such that if the basket burst, we will be holding
a rotten set of options. Pakistan is key to that struggle, but it
is also an unstable ally with a weak government, and probably parts
of it are aligned
with the Taliban. So, it is logical for President Obama to say that
we will assist Pakistan, but ask for greater accountability - the
question is whether they can provide it, and if they can’t what
are our options. President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan is no better
bet because of the extent of corruption, drug commerce and lack
of an effective offense against the Taliban.
Given
his set of circumstances, the Obama administration should not give
in to the generals’ future undoubted requests for more troops and
a wider war in Afghanistan, setting us right back where we were
in Iraq. Do we have an alternative? Yes. But then, he might have
to use some his popularity at home to keep in perspective the primacy
of the domestic political economy for now and into the foreseeable
future.
BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member Dr. Ron Walters is the Distinguished Leadership Scholar,
Director of the African American Leadership Center and Professor
of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland College
Park. His latest book is: The Price of Racial Reconciliation (The Politics of Race and Ethnicity)
(Rowman and Littlefield). Click here
to contact Dr. Walters. |