Since Israel's July 2006 war on Lebanon,
and up to the current deadlock over electing Lebanon's next
president, the Bush administration has gone out of its way
to express its commitment to Lebanese "democracy"
and to building a strong and sovereign country that can "stand
up" to Syria's and Iran's allies within Lebanon's borders.
Inside those borders, prime minister
Fouad Siniora's March 14 government and the Hizballah-led
opposition are sharply split over Washington's intentions.
The March 14 movement has feverishly called on the capital
of the "free world" for help and the movement's
civil-war seasoned leaders reassure the Lebanese that the
superpower won't abandon their "cedar revolution."
In response, opposition leaders reiterate their distrust of
Israel's closest ally and accuse its March 14 supporters of
holding Lebanon hostage to its enemy's best friend. In the
fog of these accusations and counter-accusations, is it possible
to evaluate Washington's support to Lebanon without resorting
to the polemics of either camp?
The true measure of the alliance of any
two states or political groups rests on an accurate and fair
reading of two forms of support: military aid and economic
assistance, and reaching a verdict about these two forms of
support is based on the examination of three properties of
such aid: the monetary value (size or quantity) of this aid,
the declared and hidden objectives of the aid and the conditions
attached to it (the quality of the aid). Based on these criteria,
what is the truth behind the US support for Lebanon, in numbers
and according to Washington's own sources?
Military Support
One of the main bones of contention between
the government and the opposition in Lebanon is the disarming
of Hizballah. The March 14 movement does not miss an opportunity
to proclaim its intention to build a strong state capable
of protecting the country's borders (particularly the south).
And the disarming of Hizballah, the Hariri-led movement claims,
is a major step in that direction. So does American military
aid provide a realistic alternative to Hizballah's battle-proven
power of deterrence?
From 1946 to June 2006, Lebanon did not
receive any significant US military aid except in the years
1981 to 1984. This was the period when the Lebanese army's
official leadership was aligned with forces sympathetic to
or allied with Israel, and more importantly it was a period
of direct American military intervention in Lebanon. During
this period, Lebanon received $148 million in military aid,
an average of $37 million per year. This aid surpassed what
the country had received in the entire 34 years that preceded;
around $128 million (95 percent of this aid was in the form
of loans not grants). After 1984 and the partial withdrawal
of Israeli troops from Lebanon, US military aid declined to
its lowest levels (around half a million annually earmarked
for training purposes).
The assassination of former prime minister
Rafiq Hariri, contrary to what some might think, did not lead
to a fundamental change in this aid policy. The Bush administration's
request was for just one million dollars in 2006 and around
$4 million for 2007. The gigantic increase came on the heels
of the summer 2006 Israeli war on Lebanon. In the wake of
the war, the Bush administration filed an emergency request
to congress to provide Lebanon with additional military support
valued at $220 million for the single year of 2007.
What we learn from this is that any significant
increase in US military aid to Lebanon is temporary and linked
to the existence of internal divisions in Lebanon or the outbreak
of regional wars or conflicts. And as such, this support is
not the product of a strategic alliance akin to that forged
between Hizballah and Iran. More importantly though, even
when this aid is boosted, the objectives and conditions of
its release are far from geared toward building a Lebanese
military force capable of defending the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of this tiny country.
One wonders about the nature of promises
General Sulieman is referring to, but the only binding promises
of the US are those stated in the legislative bills tabled
by the administration and passed by Congress. And the purpose
of budgeting the huge sum of $220 million requested by the
Bush administration for this year is very clear in that regard.
The State Department has unequivocally declared that the purpose
of this aid is to "promote Lebanese control over southern
Lebanon and Palestinian refugee camps to prevent them from
being used as bases to attack Israel." (US officials
lobbied to spread the fight in Nahr al-Bared to other camps.)
Protecting Lebanon according to the Bush
administration is achieved by undermining its ability to fight
Israel, the biggest source of threat to Lebanon's security,
and the entity which attempted to invade it in the same year
those aid packages were pledged.
Some might argue that America's above-stated
goal is meant to prevent any non-state organization (Hizballah)
from monopolizing the duty of defending Lebanon. But the conditions
attached to the aid leaves no doubt that building any force,
legitimate or otherwise, is impossible under constraints placed
by the US. According to these conditions, any support to Lebanon's
army should be intended for "expanded personal training
by private US contractors or provision of spare parts and
ammunition for Lebanese forces," as well as vehicles
employed for logistical or patrol purposes. As for equipment
and weapons normally used to defend any country's territory,
such as anti-aircraft missiles or tanks or even technologically
primitive missiles such as Katyushas, such weapons are out
of bounds according to the aid provisions. The administration
calls it "non-lethal" assistance. In contrast, permitting
Israel to invest a portion of US aid in domestic military
research since 1977 was instrumental in the development of
the Merkava tank, the primary weapon used for Israel's land
invasion of Lebanon last summer.
Counting on US military aid means transforming
the Lebanese army at best to a peacekeeping or patrolling
force and at worst an internally oppressive security force.
This suggests that the only way to disarm Hizballah without
stripping the people of southern Lebanon of the only effective
defense force on their land is for the Lebanese government
to seek assistance from US adversaries, the same ones possibly
with whom Hizballah is allied.
Economic Aid
The history and present trend of US economic
aid to Lebanon mirrors to a great degree that of its military
aid. Again, the turning point for an astronomical increase
of the aid (much of it remains a pledge) was the 2006 Israeli
war on Lebanon and not the assassination of Hariri.
Prior to the 2006 war, American economic
aid to Lebanon reached its zenith in the first half of the
'80s (around $53 million in 1983). Between 1986 and 2006,
it ranged between $8 and $15 million. The annual aid package
then jumped to about $35 million between 2000 and 2006 (the
increase was partly an incentive for the Lebanese army to
deploy in the south following the withdrawal of Israeli troops
in 2000). In the wake of the 2006 war, Washington allocated
about $180 million in emergency aid and later requested $300
million in supplemental aid. (Most of this aid was in the
form of grants.)
The aid is ostensibly earmarked for post-war
reconstruction, declared Washington. But the release of the
funds is conditional on the the Siniora government successfully
implementing a bundle of economic "reforms." Indeed,
even before Congress approved the aid package, Siniora declared
his government's intention to cut social security programs,
privatize the electricity and telecommunications sectors,
increase value added tax by two percent, and implement other
measures he claimed were aimed to reduce Lebanon's $40 billion
national debt. Siniora's effort to push through these measures
however were met with strong popular resistance inside Lebanon
that led him to reconsider the timing and strategy of implementing
the "reforms."
American economic aid to Lebanon was
and remains part of neoliberal American policies across the
globe that aim to construct an unregulated market-based economy
by weakening the economic role of the very governments it
purports to support.
US aid: Causes and consequences
How can one explain the US policy toward
Lebanon?
First, Lebanon may be a "piece of
the sky" according to its famous crooner Wadih Assafi,
but in the eyes of US policy makers, it is a bargaining chip
used to settle other regional conflicts. In fact, Lebanon
does not possess any of the properties that constitute vital
national interests to a superpower such as oil fields, international
waterways or military bases. Hizballah may be the only serious
threat.
In recorded history, only two US presidents
described Lebanon using the rhetoric of the "national
interest" - (Eisenhower in 1958 and Reagan in 1983).
And both references coincided with direct US military intervention
in Lebanon and not in the vein of drawing up a strategic vision
of Lebanon's place in foreign policy.
Secondly, The US does not trust two of
three types of allies in the Middle East, the Siniora government
among them.
The first type is that of political forces
or governments that represent elites or particular religious
or political communities and who exercise limited authority
within countries or territories that suffer from partial or
total instability. These countries include Iraq, Palestine,
Afghanistan and Lebanon. US military and economic aid to their
allies in these countries is mostly symbolic, tactical or
directed toward internal security and against the interest
of the peoples or these countries.
The second category of allies is composed
of governments or dictatorial regimes that represent their
own interests over and above that of their people and rule
in countries that are partially or totally stable. These countries
include Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia. US aid to this countries
is more than symbolic, but often limited and subject to serious
constraints.
The last category of US allies in the
Middle East is that of governments that speak in the name
of the interest of its own people (at least the majority)
and rule in internally stable countries. These countries include
Turkey and Israel. US aid to these countries makes a significant
contribution to the military and economic performance of these
countries.
Understanding US aid to Lebanon, and
comparing it to similar patterns in Palestine and Iraq in
light of this overall map of US aid to the region, leaves
little doubt that Lebanese (and by extension Palestinian and
Iraqi) politicians betting on the goodwill and unmatched power
of Washington to build their country's defenses, are doing
so out of either unintentional or willful ignorance, and both
are a recipe for further instability and a disregard for the
safety and security of their people.
Hicham Safieddine is a Lebanese Canadian
journalist. This is an edited version of an article that appeared
recently in Arabic in the Lebanese newspaper Al-Akhbar
and is republished with permission.
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