All of the tortured debate in the
world’s political life and all of the desperate vying for
attention on social media will be as nothing, compared with the
predicted collapse of Earth’s systems, which will inevitably
result in the collapse of human society that’s imminent,
according to a 1972 MIT prediction.
That
study, done by a team of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
researchers about a half-century ago, itself has been studied and
found to be most accurate. And, one doesn’t have to be a
scientist or researcher to know that collapse in major sectors of
modern life is happening now: Unrelenting wildfires, killing
droughts, floods that wipe out whole villages, hunger on an unknown
scale, wars (mostly for resources and domination) that never end,
vastly diminished food production, the sixth extinction not seen in
millions of years, and climate devastation caused by human activity.
Humanity
is a very destructive species and it’s done that work well.
According to various recent press accounts of the MIT study, a world
simulation model was used to try to predict what would happen to
humankind from the time of the study, 1972, to 2060. So far, the
forecast is quite accurate, as it surveyed industrial production,
pollution of all earthly systems, population growth, and such things
as the mania in modern times of never-ending economic growth. The
latter, in the modern era, has become something of an article of
faith, usually believed most fervently by those in power and who
stand to make the most money and profits from doing everything
exactly as they are being done now.
For
those who have the ability to see (and are willing to see and
comprehend), they know that something is profoundly wrong. That’s
most of us, at least those of us who think rationally but have little
power as individuals to do anything about what we see before us. The
power that we do have comes from unity, from solidarity, that is, if
sectarianism, racism, and fear can be overcome to see that, in the
aggregate, there is power to do great and good things through
solidarity.
Some
experts and others who have studied the plight of Earth and humanity
are not giving us much time to turn things around. Most recently,
it’s been speculated that we have days (maybe 160), not weeks
or months to begin deep changes that might help us survive. We’ve
all heard that before, but personal interest and other factors have
resulted in inaction. In the U.S., after all, much of the riches of
the world are found in our systems and our daily lives (think oil,
and the precious metals that make our cell phones work). We have gone
to the ends of the earth to bring those myriad things home, and here
they are. Woe be to the nation and its government and its people, if
those resources are not given up to us. The evening news is filled
with disasters, both “natural” and human-made. Most are
of the latter variety, although the airwaves are also filled with
politicians who are willing to stand before the television cameras
and say that “it’s just a cycle,” because their
corporate keepers have given them the script to put out there for
public consumption.
On
top of the natural disasters, humanity is dealing with a pandemic
that is quite preventable if a few simple steps are followed. But
those simple steps and the vaccine that would prevent the worst of
Covid-19 have become politicized: liberals have taken the shot and
followed the protocols, but right-wingers have convinced their
followers by the millions that the whole thing is a hoax, or that the
shot will sicken or kill them, so millions are contracting the new
Delta variant of the virus and being hospitalized and dying at
alarming rates. The past year has seen great disruption of the
society of humans, with quarantines, stay-at-home orders, and the
closing of most schools, restaurants, and other places where people
congregate in large numbers and, thus, are able to pass on the virus
with ease.
The
warnings of ecological disaster have been around for a long time. It
is often said that awareness of the negative human effects on the
world started around 1960, with the publication of Rachel Carson’s
book, “Silent Spring.” In it, she warned about the abuse
of chemicals that were created and dispersed into the environment of
the world, to the extent that song birds would be wiped out and,
thus, we would see the silence of spring. The first Earth Day was 10
years later and there was great hope that humans would start changing
their ways and start living more sustainably. Her book was a great
success and sold millions of copies. It still sells, but its message
is not honored in the real world.
Twelve
years before “Silent Springs,” William Vogt, an ecologist
and ornithologist, wrote “The Road to Survival,” said to
be a primary inspiration for the environmental movement beginning in
1970, including Rachel Carson and many others. He was one in a long
line of writers and thinkers who warned of the condition of Earth.
His book was not listed in some obscure corner of the world. It was,
in fact, a Book-of-the-Month-Club selection. It was available to most
readers, but the powers that be were not having any of it. To them,
if it threatened profits, it might as well not have been published.
One of the better-known organizations warning of coming disasters if
life continued as usual, was the Worldwatch Institute, which produced
research papers on various issues pertaining to sustainability,
including its annual “State of the World” book. It too
warned of such things as the coming search for potable water, the
liquid of life that has been treated as if it is in endless supply.
We have found it isn’t.
We
have been warned for a long time. Eventually, lots of the people
began to listen and then they began to act. But they were up against
those who rule the world and those people are not interested in what
is happening to Earth, because they believe that, when the
catastrophe comes, they can escape it. In that, they are like the
billionaires who have flung themselves into space for a few minutes
this summer. For them, it’s like a trial run and the first step
to colonizing other celestial bodies, when Earth becomes inhabitable.
They had a good time and they came back safely. Their little
adventures might seem harmless and they certainly don’t see
themselves as the cause of the threat to life on the Earth, but they
are of the class that goes about their daily business as if the rest
of humanity just doesn’t matter. It shows in how they conduct
their businesses. For them, it’s a dog-eat-dog world, but they
are far above it. The dogs in their lives are those in the working
class, they’re minorities, they’re marginalized people of
all kinds. It’s nothing personal. It’s just business. And
they’re in charge of the nation and the world.
Those
who suffer the most in the increasingly frequent “natural”
catastrophes are the poor and the oppressed. They have no choice but
to suffer and try to live for another day. Band-aids like food drops
and water tankers can do very little. They help, but they have
virtually no long-term positive effects. What’s needed are
massive changes to restore the many balances of Earth’s
systems, systems that we are just beginning to understand. Humans
will never understand completely the intricate systems that allow all
of creation to thrive as a living thing, but humanity must try. The
alternative is what has been predicted for generations: Collapse of
all of the systems on which we depend to live.
There
are many issues that take the attention of all, including the
struggle for equality and equity and fairness, and against white
supremacy, structural racism, corrupt politics, and perpetual war.
But underneath it all is the issue of ecocide, the crime that is
being committed every day that modern life is lived. In Native
American tradition, life should be lived in consideration of the good
life of seven generations to come. We are living in such a way that
the survival of even one more generation, our children, is in
question.
BlackCommentator.com Columnist, John
Funiciello, is a former newspaper reporter and labor organizer, who
lives in the Mohawk Valley of New York State. In addition to labor
work, he is organizing family farmers as they struggle to stay on the
land under enormous pressure from factory food producers and land
developers. Contact
Mr. Funiciello and BC.
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