The
turnout of the emerging The New American Majority of voters of color
will determine whether Democrats continue to control three branches
of the federal government—House, Senate, and the
Presidency--after the upcoming 2022 midterms. With razor-thin
margins in the three entities, Democrats have yet to take the
organizational steps to remain in charge.
Rep.
Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY 18th
District), Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
(DCCC), and Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI), Chair of the Democratic
Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), have assembled staffs that are
not reflective of the New American Majority, Black, Latinx, Asian and
Pacific Islander, and Indigenous Americans, who make up more than 50
percent of the Democratic voting base.
Unexpectedly
and contrary to robust predictions, the Democrats lost 13 House seats
in the 2020 election. Republicans need to flip five seats to regain
control of the House in the 2022 midterms, while only needing a net
gain of one seat to return the Senate, which is tied 50 to 50, to a
Republican majority.
Biden’s
appointment of Jamie Harrison, an African American, to chair the
Democratic National Committee (DNC) is a positive step, but the DNC
does not have direct authority over its DCCC and DSCC counterparts.
Although supposedly operating as a team, these three groups are only
united in their desire to elect Democrats to office.
Democratic
victories in 2020 resulted from deep and systematic, on-the-ground
organizing by local-and state-level political workers who delivered a
victory for the Biden-Harris Presidential ticket. They began coming
together after Biden’s resounding victory in South Carolina’s
Democratic presidential primary in February 2020.
Using
the victory as a springboard, coupled with the demand that Biden
select an African American woman to be his vice-presidential running
mate (which he did in choosing Sen. Kamala Harris after earlier
promising to appoint a female), the organizers were off and running,
and all hands were on deck in the 50 states to ensure a Biden-Harris
win.
Multiracial
organizers developed meaningful relationships with Democratic base
voters by asking them about their priorities for their communities
and infusing those priorities into the Biden-Harris campaign. It is
no accident that Biden and Harris addressed the rising tide of White
police officers shooting and killing unarmed Black citizens during
their battle for the presidency.
The
House and Senate candidates in the same states were not as attuned to
Democratic base concerns as was the national campaign. This lack of
connectivity to the citizens who elect Democrats resulted in the loss
of 13 House seats, and Senate races in Maine, Iowa, and North
Carolina, where Democrats were anticipated to win.
In
the House, the 2020 DCCC Chair Cheri Bustos (D-IL 17th
District), was so busy fending off her Republican opponent that she
directed her energies and the resources she controlled toward
squeezing out a narrow victory in her reelection bid. The 2020 DSCC
Chair, Catherine Cortez Masto, fared no better than her DCCC
equivalent, Cherie Bustos, she also failed to deliver expected wins.
The
U.S. Senate triumphs in Georgia, which provided Democrats the
majority, were primarily independent of efforts by national
Democrats. The leadership of Stacey Abrams, Lauren Groh Wargo,
LaTosha Brown, and Nse’ Ufot working through The New Georgia
Project, Fair Fight, Black Voters Matter, and a host of other
organizations and activists are responsible for the Georgia
successes.
They
established a comprehensive and detailed registration and
get-out-the-vote (GOTV) strategy that mobilized the state's New
American Majority for the November 3, 2020, presidential and U.S.
Senate races. After their preferred Senate candidates reached the
two January 4, 2021 runoffs, Abrams and her cohorts got out an
overwhelming New Majority vote for a second time and elected
Georgia's first Black and Jewish Senators to Congress.
These
unprecedented, Democratic political achievements sent shock waves
across the country but had little impact on the national Democratic
leadership who persist in appointing White Democrats to energize a
base of voters with whom they have an inadequate political connection
and/or understanding. They maintain a political posture that proved
ineffective in 2020 and firmly believes that it will lead to a
different result in 2022 and 2024. It will not!
This
is the peril Democrats are heading into as they attempt to hold on to
their majorities in the House and Senate. If they fail, they will
relegate the Biden-Harris administration to lame-duck status as it
heads into its 2024 reelection bid. Democrats have a brief window to
make corrections to an approach that has been futile in the recent
past.
Unfortunately
for them, there are few effective replicas of Stacey Abrams and her
political organizing partners in other states and Congressional
districts where they are urgently needed. Republicans’ chief
Senate targets in 2022 are Arizona and Georgia where Democrats
surprisingly won seats in2020 which had been long held by
Republicans.
So
far, the open Senate seats in Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina are
trending Republican for 2022, with the possibility of a Democratic
pick-up in Pennsylvania. Republican control over upcoming
redistricting decisions will also place many Democratic House members
in jeopardy as they will be running in redrawn districts that favor
Republicans.
Nonetheless,
Democrats should be mindful of the following:
Political
leanings and attitudes vary widely among Latinx, AAPI, Indigenous,
and some Black voters (African American males) by states and regions
and are often pro-Republican;
Thus,
it is imperative that Democrats carefully reflect on the
aforementioned issues and aggressively activate all elements of their
voting base, if they hope to remain in power.
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