Here�s
something you probably didn�t read in your local newspaper.
It wasn�t in the New York Times or the Washington Post.
Blogging from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee
(Aipac) conference in Washington,
Chris McGreal of the British Guardian wrote: �Ahead of
the speeches there has been a foreign policy discussion
panel. Among the speakers was Liz Cheney, a former State
Department official and daughter of George W. Bush's vice
president. There was widespread applause for her attacks
on Barack Obama including when she said the president
is more interested in �containing Israel� by discouraging
it from attacking Iran than blocking Tehran from developing
a nuclear bomb. There was also applause when she said
there was no president who had done more to �undermine
and delegitimize� Israel. There were loud cheers
when she predicted that the next Aipac conference will
be held under a new US president.�
In the end, the weekend turned out
to be a disappointment for Cheney and the other homegrown
U.S. political opportunists and reckless supporters
of Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu and his rightwing
Likud party. While a big effort has been made to put a
positive face on the weekend confab, they didn�t get what
they really wanted.
�Basically, Obama has refused to
have the Greater Israel Lobby move the red lines to rendering
Iran incapable of producing a nuclear weapon, rather than
deciding to make one or actually making one,� Andrew Sullivan
wrote on the Daily Beast. �And this will be where
the Greater Israel lobby shifts its support to the Christianist
GOP, already committed to the Netanyahu-Lieberman position
on Iran
and the settlements, and now financed by Greater Israel
fanatics, like Sheldon Adelson... So no surprise to hear
Liz Cheney was on a panel with this kind of reception.�
Right before Cheney spoke, McGreal
blogged, �Then came a statement from one of Aipac's members
that sets the tone of the conference of Israel as besieged
by threats and enemies: �Iran is marching towards the
bomb, the Palestinians seem more interested in bringing
the terrorist group Hamas in to power and the Arab Spring
has turned to a cold winter.��
�Tellingly, Obama made only a brief
reference to the Palestinian issue and Netanyahu said
nothing about it at all, demonstrating how much it has
been sidelined by the Iran crisis, to the Israeli leadership's
gratification,� McGreal reported.
But alas, the Palestinian issue is
hardly going to go away. In an opinion piece in Monday�s
Financial Times, John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt,
professors at the University
of Chicago and Harvard
Kennedy School
respectively, wrote that the Aipac confab offered Netanyahu
and the U.S. President �a chance to appeal to some of
Israel�s most ardent American
supporters. We can therefore expect to hear repeated references
to the �common interests, �unshakeable bonds� and �shared
values� of the two countries.�
�This familiar rhetoric is misleading
at best and at worst simply wrong,� Mearsheimer and Walt
wrote. �No states have identical interests, and Israel and America
are at odds on two vital issues: Iran and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Mr.
Obama should continue to rebuff Israel�s
efforts to push him into military confrontation with Tehran,
while reminding Mr. Netanyahu the true danger to Israel lies in its refusal to allow a viable Palestinian
state.�
�On Iran,
Mr. Netanyahu is convinced it wants nuclear weapons, and
that this goal threatens Israel�s
existence. He does not think diplomacy can stop Iran,
and wants the US
to destroy its nuclear facilities. If Mr. Obama refuses
to order an attack, the Israeli leader would like a green
light to do so.�
�Mr. Obama and his advisers � including
the military � see things differently,� The two wrote.
�They do not want Iran
to obtain nuclear weapons, but they do not believe a nuclear-armed
Iran
would pose an existential threat to Israel. After all, Israel has its own nuclear arsenal, and could obliterate
Iran
if attacked. US
intelligence is also confidant Tehran
has not yet decided to build nuclear weapons. Indeed,
US leaders worry that, no matter who does it, an
attack would convince Iran
it needs its own nuclear deterrent. They are correct.�
�The gulf between Washington and Jerusalem is
just as wide on the Palestinian issue,� Mearsheimer and
Walt wrote. �Mr. Netanyahu opposed the 1993 Oslo accords, which sought to resolve the conflict and establish Palestinian
self-rule. The only �state� he would countenance today
is a set of disconnected and disarmed enclaves under de
facto Israeli control. He was elected in 2009 on a platform
rejecting Palestinian statehood, and his cabinet is populated
with politicians who want to control the West Bank forever. His government continues to expel Palestinians from
their homes in Jerusalem and the West
Bank, and to expand Israeli settlements there.�
�By contrast, Mr. Obama is committed
to helping create a viable Palestinian state living alongside
Israel in peace. As he said
in Cairo in June 2009, a two-state
solution is �in Israel�s
interest, Palestine�s interest, America�s interest, and the
world�s interest�. He knows the combination of US support for Israel
and Israel�s
treatment of the Palestinians fuels anti-Americanism throughout
the Arab and Islamic world, and contributes to the global
terrorism problem.�
�In fact, the Palestinian issue is
the real existential threat to Israel,�
the two academics continued. �More than 500,000 Israeli
Jews now live in the occupied territories, and continued
settlement building will lead to a single state between
the Jordan River and the Mediterranean
Sea. Given demographic trends, this �Greater Israel� could
not be both a Jewish state and a full democracy. Instead,
it would be an apartheid state, th reatening Israel�s
legitimacy and long-term survival. As Ehud Olmert, former
prime minister, said in 2007, if the two-state solution
fails, Israel �will face a South
African-like struggle for equal voting rights�. And if
that happens, he warned, �the state of Israel is finished�.�
�Mr. Netanyahu and Mr. Obama have
clashed repeatedly on the Palestinian issue, and each
time Mr. Obama has backed down. He is unlikely to press
the issue between now and November�s election. Instead,
he will act as if the US
and Israel
remain the closest of allies.�
�If only this were true. In fact,
this situation highlights the dysfunctional nature of
the �special relationship�� the two wrote. �If the US
and Israel had a normal relationship, Mr. Obama could
make his disagreements with Mr. Netanyahu plain, and use
the bully pulpit and America�s substantial leverage to
help Israel rethink its course. But Aipac and other groups
in the formidable Israel lobby insist politicians admit no daylight
between what Israel
wants and what Washington
says and does. For Mr. Obama, acknowledging these obvious
strategic differences would alienate crucial political
allies, leading Democratic Party fundraisers and Israel�s
supporters in the media, imperiling his re-election prospects.�
�Because war entails significant
costs and risks, and brings no lasting benefits, the best
hope is that Mr. Obama will continue to deflect pressure
for military action, no matter what he says in public.
Meanwhile, the greatest danger to Israel � the occupation � continues unchecked.�
�For the worldview of Cheney and
Netanyahu to prevail, Obama must be defeated,� wrote Sullivan
(http://tinyurl.com/6rzlea2). �That is clearly the agenda
of the current Israeli government, and what the NYT delicately
but accurately calls ��Israel's backers� in the US.��
�My worry is that once the Likudniks
begin to realize Obama may not be defeated by the GOP
at home, the current Israeli government would launch a
war without warning to create a crisis to humiliate the
president, rally end-times evangelicals to vote, send
oil prices soaring, and force the US president to co-opt
a war he does not want and does not yet believe is necessary,�
wrote Sullivan March 4. �If that helps the GOP nominee,
so much the better. Every GOP candidate is now committed
to the most extreme positions of the Likudniks Israeli
right - and are to the bellicose right of most Israelis.
�I hope that the Israeli government
is not that reckless or extreme. But ask yourself when
thinking about Netanyahu: what would Cheney do? These
individuals are radicals. They turned the US
into a torturing nation and regarded that decision as
a �no-brainer.� A �wag-the-dog� scenario in which Netanyahu
creates a war to wound and weaken a US president before an election
is, sadly, not unthinkable. And he will have the GOP as
his critical back-up.�
On Tuesday, the Financial Times
put the challenge before the Obama Administration in rather
sharp terms. The disagreements between the President and
the Israeli prime Minister, the paper said editorially,
�go deeper than Iran.�
�For both the US and Israel, theirs
is a critical relationship that has gone sour over the
past two and a half years,� paper�s editors wrote, � Mr.
Obama came to power promising to bring a new approach
to US dealings with the Muslim world, most notably in
his Cairo speech in 2009. Implicit was the idea that the
US
would act more even-handedly in the Israeli-Palestinian
imbroglio � requiring Mr. Obama to play the part of Israel�s
candid friend.
�To say that he has underwhelmed
in this role is to be kind. Twice, for instance, Mr. Obama
has called on Israel to freeze settlement-building
in the occupied territories. Twice he has capitulated
after being rebuffed.�
�While preserving an amicable working
relationship is important, Mr. Obama should take a robust
line, stressing what the US believes to be its own interests
regarding Iran and Palestine,� the paper continued. �Echoing
the US
military, he should make it plain to Mr. Netanyahu that
an attack on Iran at this stage would be a grave error, and
that Israel�s
own future is bound up with the need to find a settlement
with the Palestinians. Mr. Obama promised candor on the
Middle East. He must now deliver.�
BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member
Carl Bloice is a writer in San Francisco, a member of the National Coordinating Committee of
the Committees of Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism and formerly worked for
a healthcare union. Click here to contact Mr. Bloice.