Oct 6, 2011 - Issue 444 |
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The Euro Zone Crisis
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When President Obama dispatched Treasury
Secretary Geithner to “Obama’s lecture on the Euro crisis
… is overbearing, arrogant and absurd,” editorialized
the German newspaper Bild. “In a nutshell,
he is claiming that “The American president seems to have forgotten a few details,” the paper said. “The most important trigger of the
financial and economic crisis was “The president’s scolding is a pathetic attempt to distract attention from his own failures. How embarrassing.” “I found it peculiar that, even though the Americans have significantly worse fundamental data than the euro zone, that they tell us what we should do,” said Austrian Foreign Minister Maria Fekter. “I had expected that, when he tells us how he sees the world, that he would listen to what we have to say.” Was Geithner overbearing in his admonition to the Europeans? Perhaps. He is said to be that way sometimes. Was President Obama undiplomatic in publicly rebuking the Atlantic allies for moving to slow to confront the crisis? Could be. He has become a lot more outspoken recently. “In normal circumstances comity would
require deference by others to European authorities on the resolution
of European problem,” The tone of the Obama Administration’s remarks on the European economic crisis reflects what Financial Times Martin Wolf recently referred to as “the panic.” “This is code red,” New York Times
columnist Thomas Friedman wrote September 25. “We are facing a possible
global financial contagion triggered by European banks choking with sovereign
debt spreading their woes to an already weakened “I have never see Europe’s policymakers
as scared as I saw them in Then in a September 29 article titled,
“How to stop a second Great Depression,” financier George Soros wrote,
“Financial markets are driving the world towards another Great Depression
with incalculable political consequences. The authorities, particularly
in Albeit slowly and miserly, the Europeans
appeared to be moving last week to come to grips with the crisis. The
consensus amongst knowledgeable observers appears to be that a default
on its debt is inevitable and we can expect action to try to prevent “contagion”
– that is similar collapses in Most of the current prognosis as dire, but there are those who think it is not dire enough, that what the chief economist for the International Monetary Fund called “dangerous new phase” in the world economy is more perilous than is being publicly admitted. Prominent British economist Will Hutton, writing in the Observer September 17, suggests that the situation is even worse than, Geithner, Summers, and Obama describe – or are prepared to admit. The ailing euro is part of a wider crisis he wrote, “Our capitalist system is near meltdown.” “A 1930s-style crash threatens us
and our financial partners. Collective action is the only solution,” wrote
Hutton, a governor of the London School of Economics and visiting professor
at “Eighty years ago, faced with today’s economic events, nobody would have been in any doubt: we would obviously be living through a crisis in capitalism, wrote Hutton. “Instead, there is a collective unwillingness to call a spade a spade. This is variously a crisis of the European Union, a crisis of the euro, a debt crisis or a crisis of political will. It is all those things, but they are subplots of a much bigger story: the way capitalism has been conceived and practiced for the last 30 years has hit the buffers. Unless and until that is recognized, western economies will be locked in stagnation which could even transmute into a major economic disaster.” Hutton went on: “Simply put, the world has trillions upon trillions of excessive private debt financed by too many different currencies whose risk is allegedly mitigated by even more trillions of financial bets which in aggregate do not minimize the systemic risk one iota. This entire financial edifice, underwritten by tiny amounts of capital, has been created over three decades backed by the theory that markets do not make mistakes. Capitalism is best conceived and practiced, runs the theory, by hunter-gatherer bankers and entrepreneurs owing no allegiance to the state or society.” “This is nonsense. Business and the state co-generate wealth in a system of complex mutual dependence. Markets are beset by mood swings and uncertainty which, if not offset by government action, lead to violent oscillations. Capitalism without responsibility or proportionality degrades into racketeering and exploitation. The prospect of limitless pay is an open invitation to bad, or even criminal, behavior. Good capitalism cannot happen without referees to blow the whistle or robust frameworks in which markets can function; neither is reliably created by capitalism itself, hence the role of democratic government. Yet the world is trying to solve the legacy of the last 30 years as if none of this were true and, instead, that the practice and theories that created the mess are still valid.” “US treasury secretary Tim Geithner, joining EU finance ministers in Poland as again they pondered how best to end the ongoing euro crisis, was at least recognizing today’s interdependencies between countries when he urged his fellow ministers to stop bickering because the markets were terrified by the threat of a catastrophic event – with all the risk that posed the US.” Hutton went on to say that British
Finance Minister George Osborne “was also right to declare that a strong
euro was in “But worrying about how a failed euro might impact on yourself is old speak,” he continued. “What the markets need to hear is that western politicians – whether in the eurozone or not – see the euro as part of the potential solution to capitalism’s current crisis, not its cause, and that they are prepared to do all in their power to support the reforms necessary to make the euro survive and take other measures vital to make the world financial system functional again. Geithner and Osborne must put some money where their mouths are.” “If the euro breaks up, the cascade
of subsequent bank failures and debt write-downs will be no less threatening
and “An entire continent is to be blighted
by lack of demand in the midst of a capitalist crisis, compounded by Noting the promises by major national
banks in other capitalist powers to lend money is “easing the crisis for
a while” he suggests “the outside world needs to go much further.” “Europe’s
stabilization facility must become a fund with a capacity to lend and
intervene to see off speculators: “We are living through the most dangerous confluence of economic circumstances in modern times,” wrote Hutton. “Trying to pretend the interdependencies do not exist or that the collapse of the euro is the answer can only make matters worse. It is a straight choice: we do all we can to help each other or risk going down in what could be the worst economic contraction for a century.” Economist Paul Krugman
wrote in the New York Times September 26 that he sees “no sign
at all that European policy elites are ready to rethink their hard-money-and-austerity
dogma.” The same could be seen here at home. “Mr. Geithner
asked for a more financially powerful bailout fund along with short-term
stimulus from But don’t just think of Democrats
versus Republicans .There is an unpartisan “One of the main problems today is too much debt in the global financial system – among sovereigns, banks, and households, and especially among the advanced economies,” says IMF chief Lagarde, “This is denting confidence and holding back spending, investment, and job creation. These countries face a weak and bumpy recovery, with unacceptably high unemployment. The eurozone debt crisis has worsened, and financial strains are rising. Political indecision in some quarters is making matters worse. Social tensions bubbling beneath the surface could well add fuel to the crisis of confidence.” Lagarde said recently that “Everyone - including markets - realize that commitments to cut spending cannot survive a lengthy stagnation with prolonged high unemployment and social dissatisfaction.” BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member
Carl Bloice is a writer in |
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