When
General George Joulwan appeared on BBC America the other day, he
danced around the question of the future of the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization. But the former NATO supreme allied commander in Europe did
have a couple of interesting things to say about the war in Libya.
It is true, Joulwan
said, that the allied forces fighting there to overthrow the regime of
Col. Muammar Gaddafi are running out of weapons and ammunition; in fact,
they are short of the kinds of precision weaponry that limits collateral
damage to civilian non-combatants. They just might end up having to “buy
them from the United
States,” said Joulwan, a director at General Dynamics.
(The company makes fighter-bombers and radar disablers) When asked directly
about NATO’s future he cautioned, “it’s not Club Med” and said the problem
the alliance has is an absence of U.S.
leadership and lack of “mission clarity.” But he evaded the question of
why NATO continues to exist at all.
These days, politicians
and establishment pundits alike are widely commenting on the question:
NATO, what is it good for?
If you accept
the notion that in the years following World War II, Western Europe faced
a threat of a Soviet invasion, then the military alliance had a raison
d’être. Actually, that idea was as a problematic as the “dominos” that
were supposedly going to fall in Asia. The concern
about a Soviet invasion was widely accepted and the division on the continent
between the “East” and the “West” was real. With the fall of Soviet communism
and the end of the Cold War, political support for NATO began to decline
- as naturally it would.
The alliance did
get involved in a European military conflict, a messy one that resulted
in the dismemberment of the Republic
of Yugoslavia and leading to various simmering
ethnic conflicts that have yet to be resolved. When the U.S. decided to invade Iraq it proved impossible to bring NATO along and
the U.S.
was forced to rely on a “coalition of the willing.” Following 911, the
Western Europeans did commit forces to Afghanistan
but the NATO involvement was not whole-hearted, and is now on the wane.
Back in December
2009, when President Obama announced that he was sending 30,000 additional
troops to Afghanistan
and that the U.S. would
begin winding down its military operation there sometime this year, General
Joulwan said he expected other countries to respond to an appeal from
Washington. "I truly believe, if approached
right, you're going to see several NATO nations, more than just Great
Britain, join us. What has been missing here is a
decision. There is now a decision. And once the president makes a decision,
in my experience, the military turns to. They will generate this force
and get it there as quickly as they can to meet the mission on the ground
and I hope our NATO allies act with equal decisiveness to get there because
it's extremely important, because this cannot drag on forever."
Now, 18 months
later, the NATO member governments involved are, one after the other,
pulling their countries out of combat roles in Afghanistan, and the U.S.
finds itself in the position of pleading with them not use the anticipated
drawn down of some U.S. forces as an excuse speed up their own withdrawals.
Meanwhile, here at home, military chiefs are speaking out on Afghan policy
with a candor that probably would have earned them censure or dismissal
in the time of President Harry Truman, arguing against any substantial
withdrawal this summer as promised.
“With the Cold
War and the Soviet threat a distant memory, there is little political
willingness, on a country-by-country basis, to provide adequate public
funds to the military. (Britain and France, which each spend more than
2 percent of their gross domestic products on defense, are two of the
exceptions here.),” Richard N. Haass president of the Council on Foreign
Relations wrote in the Washington Post June 17. “Even where a willingness
to intervene with military force exists, such as in Afghanistan, where upward
of 35,000 European troops are deployed, there are severe constraints.
Some governments, such as Germany, have historically limited their participation
in combat operations, while the cultural acceptance of casualties is fading
in many European nations.”
Haass wrote that
“it would be wrong, not to mention fruitless, to blame the Europeans and
their choices alone. There are larger historical forces contributing to
the continent’s increasing irrelevance to world affairs.”
Outgoing Defense
Secretary Robert Gates used his recent final policy speech to blast NATO
and the Europeans for not adequately sharing responsibility for policing
the world. He warned of “the real possibility for a dim if not dismal
future for the transatlantic alliance.” Haass commented that Gates “may
not have been pessimistic enough.”
“The U.S.-European
partnership that proved so central to managing and winning the Cold War
will inevitably play a far diminished role in the years to come,” wrote
Haass. “To some extent, we’re already there: If NATO didn’t exist today,
would anyone feel compelled to create it? The honest, if awkward, answer
is no.”
Haass’ commentary
was titled, “Why Europe no longer matters.” However, Europe does matter – a great deal. It’s just that in the absence of
a perceived common threat and with the rapidly changing pattern of global
economic and political power, the glue that held the individual nations
together in military alliance no longer holds.
“Last month, this
column noted that NATO was created in 1949 to protect Western Europe from
the Soviet army; it could long ago have unfurled the ‘Mission Accomplished’
banner; it has now become an instrument of mischief, and when the Libyan
misadventure is finished, America should debate whether NATO also should
be finished,” wrote conservative columnist George Will in the Post
June 17. He went on to speak of NATO as “a Potemkin alliance whose
primary use these days is perverse: It provides a patina of multilateralism
to U.S. military interventions
on which Europe is essentially a free rider.”
Will’s comment
points to the crux of the matter. While Washington now views the alliance as an instrument for action in parts
of the world away from the European continent, the Europeans are reluctant
to go along with that mission statement. A good example is the r efusal
of Germany’s conservative
government to join in the attack on Libya. Reflected here is the question of Europe’s
place in the world.
Geographically,
NATO has been defined as Western Europe, plus the UK’s
two former English-speaking colonies in North America, and with the U.S. as the linchpin. Today,
it is an alliance of 28 nations made up primarily of white people who
are being drawn into conflicts within countries of the “third world,”
primarily in Central Asia, the Middle East and Africa.
However, in the wake of the end of the Cold war and the rise of China, India
and the BRIC (Brazil,
Russia, India
and China)
countries, tectonic shifts are underway in international relations. Axiomatically,
the movement flows from changes in economic relations. Germany, for instance, is expanding its relations
with Russia, and China is Germany's
second largest trading partner outside of the European Union, after the
United States.
With regard to
the conflict in Libya,
mention is frequently made of the Europeans’ “special interest” in what
happens in that country, interests that the U.S. does not share. (You thought the war is being
fought to protect Libyans from attack by the undemocratic and brutal Gaddafi
regime?) Actually, in this case, it is the special interest of the UK
and France. They have “special
interests” in what happens in their former colonies, dependencies and
with their client governments in North Africa. And
they are hardly humanitarian.
The Fourth International
Libyan Oil and Gas exhibition was scheduled for Tripoli this October. In announcing the event,
the organizers reported, “Libya
has the largest proven oil reserves in Africa with
42 billion barrels of oil and over 1.3 trillion cubic metres of gas. With
only 25 percent of Libya’s
surface territory explored to date there is every chance that actual reserves
could see this figure dwarfed in coming years.”
“As Europe’s single
largest oil supplier, the second largest oil producer in Africa and the
continent’s fourth largest gas supplier, Libya
dominates the petroleum sector in the Southern Mediterranean
area and has ambitious plans for the future.”
London
and Paris initiated the Libyan war and lured Washington
into the conflict with appeals to NATO “solidarity.” The Obama Administration
took the bait and when it sought to transfer responsibility for the war
onto the Europeans, it found that in addition to the European public’s
aversion to such missions, the European governments interested in the
fighting lacked the wherewithal for a sustain engagement. Thus, Gates’
lament about the Europeans not doing their part.
Actually, the
only surprising aspect of this situation is that all involved so badly
miscalculated the cost of the aggression. Europe
is in crisis. With Greece
nearing an economic meltdown and Spain,
Ireland, Portugal and Italy waiting in the wings, the governments on
the continent are in no position to bear any significant additional military
expenditures and it’s unlikely the European public would put up with it.
Likewise, in the
U.S., public opinion
is increasingly opposed to such foreign military campaigns, especially
in a place like Libya
where there is no Al-Qaida and where we are told the U.S. has “no national interest.”
The White House
cannot argue that we are in Libya to meet any international treaty obligations.
This most likely explains President Obama’s bonehead decision to ignore
the U.S, Constitution and argue that the Administration doesn’t need Congressional
approval for engaging in war in Libya. The U.S. is currently involved in military conflicts
in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya,
and now regularly launches drone attacks on areas of Yemen
from a base in Djibouti.
The latter “secret” operation is also being conducted without authorization
from Congress, and will no doubt be defended on the ridiculous grounds
that no ground troops are involved.
Once again last
week, General Joulwan complained about the supposed absence of “mission
clarity,” this time around Libya. He made it clear he believes that if it
becomes clear that the aim of the war is to bring about regime change
and the Obama Administration just says so, the rest of NATO will turn
to. He’s whistling in the dark. An alliance that has lost its relevancy
and faces economic calamities on both sides of the Atlantic
can’t, and won’t, turn things around. What we should hope for is that
White House leadership will be employed to unite the governments involved
in giving full support to the efforts of the African Union to find a negotiated
path out of the deepening and costly quagmire.
BlackCommentator.com
Editorial Board member Carl Bloice is a writer in
San
Francisco, a member of the
National
Coordinating Committee of the Committees of Correspondence for Democracy
and Socialism and formerly worked for a healthcare union. Click
here
to contact Mr. Bloice.
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