The
breathtaking Arab democratic revolt has been moving at such a pace that
it is difficult to stop at any one juncture and analyze what is unfolding.
At the same time, simply broadcasting the facts is not enough since, among
other things, the facts never speak for themselves: people speak and,
indeed, the facts can be interpreted in a number of ways. With that in
mind I want to offer a few observations for your consideration.
First,
it is worth repeating time and again that the revolt did not appear out
of nowhere. While it is absolutely the case that few, if anyone, expected
the revolt to erupt now, this was not an uprising that appeared out of
a vacuum. What has been largely unreported, and in some cases (particularly
from Western sources) misreported, is the fact of the long-term organizing
that has been taking place in each of the countries where these democratic
movements have appeared. This organizing, however, must be distinguished
from nationally-coordinated efforts. If you look at Egypt,
for instance, the Western media would lead you to believe that the only
opposition that faced ousted President Mubarak was from the conservative
Muslim Brotherhood. This is very far from the truth. An independent labor
union movement has been operating beneath the surface of Egyptian society
for years. In the final days of the anti-Mubarak uprising, the impact
of their organizing could be seen in the strikes that spread across Egypt. Yet, with the exception of noting the strikes,
little else was said. It is also worth mentioning that the labor movement
in Tunisia
also played a key role in the uprising in that country.
By
way of summation, while these revolts, and especially the Egyptian revolt,
may be revolutions without leaders, we should be clear that they are NOT
revolutions without organization. Whether one is talking about the Egyptian
youth movement (April 6th Movement), the unions, or for that matter Islamist
groupings, organization has been very much part of making these revolts
happen.
Second,
while the Internet has been essential, the revolt in Egypt demonstrated that action could progress
when it was shut down. The use of the Internet, particularly social media,
has made these revolts possible on the scale that they have been operating.
The ability for social forces to follow developments in other countries
and to quickly learn certain lessons cannot be overstated. At the same
time, it is striking that when the Internet was shut down in Egypt, the movement
continued to gather steam. The people did not miss a beat but continued
to organize. This should be a very important lesson to us in the USA who have come
to rely on the Internet, often to the exclusion of face-to-face organizing.
Third,
the USA remains at a
loss as to what to do. The Arab democratic revolt challenges the rhetoric
of the USA
in its fundamentals. At the beginning of the revolt in Egypt, the Obama administration was quite prepared
to assert the strength of Mubarak. Events quickly overtook this stand.
But now the USA
finds itself in the position of having to renegotiate its relationship
with the Arab World. The terms of such a renegotiation remain unclear
because the political character of the post-tyranny regimes remains up
in the air. It is quite possible that non-authoritarian but nevertheless
pro-Western regimes could solidify, but other outcomes are also possible.
A
final point. While it is correct to speak of an Arab democratic revolt,
in each country, there are specifics that observers must better understand.
Algeria is not Egypt
and Egypt was not Tunisia
and none of them are Yemen.
While there were and are similarities, everything from the demographics
to the political forces differs dramatically. While Tunisia,
and now Egypt, have
inspired the Arab World (and quite possibly inspired the non-Arab World,
such as Iran), the revolutions
cannot succeed based solely on inspiration. The questions of organization,
history of struggle, popular support and, yes, cracks in the respective
regimes will all be critical in how, when and where events will unfold.
That
said…damn this is inspiring!
BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member, Bill Fletcher, Jr., is a Senior Scholar with
the Institute for
Policy Studies, the immediate past president ofTransAfricaForum and co-author of, Solidarity Divided: The Crisis in Organized Labor and a New Path
toward Social Justice(University of California Press), which examines
the crisis of organized labor in the USA. Click here to contact Mr. Fletcher.
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