2020
compares to 1968 as among the most tumultuous in American history.
True, in ’68 there was no pandemic, yet that year witnessed the
greatest loss of American lives in the Vietnam War. Like today,
millions demonstrated and marched in the streets in ’68 as
they’ve been marching in 2020 since the murder of George Floyd.
In ’68, a wave of civil disturbances disrupted cities across
the nation following the assassination of Martin Luther King and
Bobby Kennedy. The 2020 Democratic National Convention was
violence-free, unlike the 1968 Democratic National Convention, but
the 2020 vote count, unlike the 1968 vote count, was not
violence-free. This week, we’re seeing security forces brought
in to protect vote counters.
To be sure,
both 1968 and 2020 were turbulent years. But the similarities pale
when one considers how 1968 ended and how 2020 could end.
To provide a
more meaningful explanation, let me share an excerpt of a recent Ted
Talk
delivered by former Obama Administration official and CNN political
commentator Van Jones.
Jones
immediately grabbed my attention when he said, “A presidential
candidate can lose the popular vote, fail to get a majority in the
Electoral College, refuse to concede, manipulate hidden mechanisms in
our government and still get sworn in as the president of the United
States.”
I thought to
myself, “What kind of madness is this?” We know that
Trump isn’t the only president to lose the popular vote yet
still win the election. That has happened at least five other times,
but I had no idea it was possible to lose both the popular and the
electoral vote and still get sworn in. I had to hear more.
Jones went on
to explain that one of the main safeguards of US democracy is the
tradition of conceding. It’s not a law, not enshrined in the
Constitution. It is a simple courtesy that began when William
Jennings Bryan sent a telegram conceding to his opponent, William
McKinley, two days after the election in 1896. But, according to
Jones, this voluntary gesture is one of the main reasons that we
almost never have riots or bloodshed after a US election.
Since 1896,
the concession speech is the tradition that marks the beginning of
the peaceful transition of power that concludes on Inauguration Day.
In the days and weeks following the concession speech, a series of
Constitutionally required events provide several opportunities for a
recalcitrant refuser to concede rather than wreck havoc.
Jones posits,
what could happen if instead of conceding, a losing candidate
launches an attempt to hold onto power and stay in office anyway,
using the courts as well as state houses, the Electoral College, even
Congress.
Here is the
picture he paints:
The
recalcitrant loser could file, for instance, dozens of lawsuits
attempting to block the counting of millions mail-in ballots, saying
they should all be thrown out, they’re all fraudulent. Then,
they could demand that the states refuse to certify the election
because of all this alleged fraud, or interference from a foreign
power. Or the loser’s party could send a rival slate of
electors to the Electoral College or to Congress, and say, “We’re
the real electors,” and create a whole situation with that. Any
of this stuff could create such a mess in the Electoral College and
the Congress that the whole matter just winds up in front of the
House of Representatives for the first time since the 1800s.
Now,
here’s where it gets totally crazy. If the presidential
election winds up in the House of Representatives, they don’t
have to pay any attention at all to the popular vote or the electoral
vote. It’s like the election never happened. And then it gets
even crazier. The final tally in the House is taken not by delegates
but by delegation. In other words, individual Congresspeople don’t
get to vote. It’s done by states.
Now,
get your head wrapped around this. In 2020, the majority of Americans
live in blue states, but there are more red states. So, there’s
a possibility that the Republicans in the House of Representatives
could just anoint their candidate to be president, even without the
popular vote, or a majority in Electoral College. That could happen.
Obviously,
this is a hypothetical - for now. But we all know that as soon as #45
is no longer in office, he’s got a date with a sista in New
York. New York’s Attorney General, the Honorable Leticia James
and others have been patiently waiting. It doesn’t take much
imagination to see that #45 is highly incentivized to remain in
office - legitimately or otherwise.
So, what can
we do? Understanding what goes on behind the scenes after the general
election is a good first step. Below you’ll find a timeline of
those events and just below the timeline is a list of organizations
that are taking action. Your engagement with these organizations
could be just what we need to thwart a coup, should it.
A 2020 Presidential Election Timeline
November
3, 2020 –
The General Election. The last day for citizens to cast a vote. This
vote is actually cast for the electors not for the president. Shortly
after the polls close, media outlets begin to post the counts and
forecast the winner but the final counts and subsequent
certifications can take weeks. The losing candidate generally
concedes long before the Electoral College vote and within days after
the general election. The deadline to finish the counting and certify
the popular vote is December 14, 2020 - but before the 14th, there is
a safe harbor day.
December
8, 2020
– The Safe Harbor Deadline. Each state has until midnight on
the 8th to resolve any count disputes in order to be able to finalize
the count and certify the election results. If a state’s
internal election results are still in dispute when midnight arrives
on Dec 8th, the Federal Safe Harbor Clause kicks in. Congress then
has the authority to intervene and resolve the dispute. (Note: In the
2000 presidential election, this date fell on Dec 12th which is the
date the U.S. Supreme Court handed down a decision in Bush
v. Gore
giving the presidency to George W. Bush just before Dec 12th
deadline).
December
14, 2020
– The Electoral College Election. Members of the Electoral
College are slated to meet in each of their respective state capitals
and the District of Columbia to elect the president. The electors
traditionally elect the candidate elected by the citizens of their
respective states and the District of Columbia in the general
election. However, there are electors, known as “faithless
electors” who buck the system and disregard the decision made
in the general election. The electors count the results, prepare and
sign six certificates. This occurs on the Monday after the second
Wednesday in December of the presidential election.
December
23, 2020 – The
certificates must be delivered as follows: (1) one certificate to the
President of the U.S. Senate (the Vice President); (2) two
certificates to the secretary of state (or equivalent officer) of the
state in which the electors met; (3) two certificates to the
archivist; and (4) one certificate to the judge of the U.S. district
court of the district in which the electors met.
January
6, 2021 – Joint
Session of Congress to Count Electoral votes and Declare election
Results. Both houses of Congress meet in a joint session to count the
results submitted by the Electoral College, the Vice President
presides as President of the Senate. The Vice President opens the
certificates and presents them to tellers who then read the list. At
this point, members may object which would then require that a
senator and a congressperson sign a written dispute. The joint
session recesses and the two houses separate and debate.
January
20, 2021
– The presidential inauguration. This date was established in
the 20th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution beginning in 1937.
For over 200
years, this series of events were merely a formality, mostly unknown
to the general public. Not until 2020 has it been particularly
important to understand what goes on behind the scenes.
Clearly,
voting is not enough. It never was. If we want to have a democracy,
we’ve got to engage. You could join and support with your money
and your volunteerism existing organizations like the
These groups
are going to be fighting in the courts, fighting in Congress, to try
to make sure that we have a fair outcome. They could use your help
and your donations.
I’ve
read that 1968 was a helluva year - I was around but I was a child,
unconcerned with the problems of the adult world. Too bad I can’t
say the same for 2020.
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