My
colleague, James Williams, an Atlanta, Georgia political junkie, made
an astute observation. He posits that Biden could squeeze out a win
if he could generate a Black male turnout equivalent to that of Black
females in the key battleground states in 2020. Had that occurred in
2016, we would have avoided the political devastation of the blonde
bomber, Donald Trump.
With
an equal turnout in Miami, Florida; Detroit and Lansing, Michigan;
Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Milwaukee, Wisconsin
in 2016, Hillary Clinton would have comfortably won the race. This
population remains lukewarm towards Biden as we approach the last
laps of the 2020 election. Despite his genuine expressions of empathy
for unarmed Black men killed by the police, he is not resonating with
them to the required degree.
Thus,
Sen. Bernie Sanders, Democratic donors, and other Democratic
activists are right in their criticisms of Biden’s outreach to
the base and his need to respond to and press Trump on every issue
that he raises. Biden needs to continually exploit Trump’s
continued mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic, especially in the
aftermath of Bob Woodward’s tapes of Trump’s admitted
miscues.
As
the Biden campaign comes down the final stretch of the race, it is
imperative that they monitor and anticipate Trump’s
increasingly erratic and desperate political actions and maintain a
daily update on voter mobilization efforts in all the contested
states. Then they will be able to determine whether the campaign is
in the necessary position for the desired voter turnout via mail,
early voting, and Election Day activity.
Although
current polls show that Trump’s scare tactics of increasing
violence, Biden’s purported call for defunding the police, and
the lack of law and order in the nation’s
Democratically-controlled cities are not working, Biden and Harris
must counter these lies aggressively. The print and broadcast media
are fact-checking these lies, but the candidates need to address them
directly.
Trump’s
advantage is that he continually reinforces his lies in his political
ads and daily press messaging irrespective of the stated occasion.
With free media that he regularly bends to his political will, Trump
is reaching his base and those who are sitting on the fence this time
around while considering whether they will vote for him again. The
repeated lies are having an impact.
To
close the deal, Biden and Harris must frequently be physically
present in the battleground states. I am reminded of the late Black
Harlem Congressman, Adam Clayton Powell, Jr., a revered politician,
who lost his last race because he did not visit his constituents
during the last weeks of his campaign. Biden and Harris need more
face time with their supporters.
The
Biden campaign must also prepare for Trump’s finishing
onslaught of campaign disinformation, which is giving some of its
less enthusiastic backers pause. For example, a TV ad showing a
retired Black male police officer who states that his daughter was
killed by a violent street gang because her father was a cop is
attracting suburbanites.
As
the race tightens in Florida, we hope that the Biden campaign’s
continued employment of old-line political tactics will not squander
former Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s recent $100 million
contribution to engage the Latinx community.
It
also needs to make peace with young progressives of every race,
gender, religious, and sexual orientation who have yet to commit to
voting for the Biden-Harris ticket in large numbers.
This
enduring omission could prove critical in the contested states as it
did in 2016. Bernie Sanders has sounded the alarm, but it is not at
all clear that the Biden campaign is listening. Again, there needs to
be a focus on face-to-face contact and digital, print, and broadcast
ads. On-the-ground initiatives need to be central in the finishing
stages of the race.
Meanwhile,
Biden needs to be well-prepared for the upcoming presidential debate
on September 29th. His performance could dispel or affirm the wild
accusations that Trump has lodged against him. The outcome could
possibly determine the results of the election as the first
Carter-Reagan debate derailed Carter’s reelection in 1980.
Those who do not acknowledge history are doomed to repeat it.
Therefore,
it is vital that the Biden-Harris campaign make the necessary
adjustments as it turns the final corner. Biden must also make time
for the ABC News’ offer to host a town hall meeting with
undecided voters which he has rejected so far. Trump participated
last Tuesday night and fumbled and lied so badly that the host,
George Stephanopoulos, stopped him in mid-sentence to fact-check
several of his misstatements.
Biden
needs to be prepared to do the same when they debate at the end of
the month. Trump easily lies so often and with such conviction that
he comes across as convincing to many voters, especially those who
are not paying close attention. Biden will have ample opportunity to
correct him forcefully in prime time. He must remain poised to seize
the moment and powerfully condemn and chastise Trump when the
occasion presents itself, which it surely will.
The
question remains, however, as to whether Biden can close the deal. He
and his VP running mate must make their case compellingly to assure
their base and the electorate that they are best to lead this nation.
Despite the rosy polls that have been in their favor, they still have
to make their case. It is up to them to do that.
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