The
2020 presidential election and down ballot races are under urgent
assault. There are nefarious forces underway to suppress and/or
eliminate voters perceived to be against Donald Trump and his
Republican allies on November 3rd. The question is whether these
actions will be successful. Given this reality, Trump is poised to
steal the election.
With
less than 100 days to go, respected national and battleground state
political polls show that Trump is losing to Joe Biden, but he is not
going away quietly. Concurrent with these findings, there are
escalating efforts to reduce Democratic voting access in districts
across the nation: purging minorities from voting rolls, installing
dysfunctional voting machines in minority precincts and reducing the
number of voting precincts, making it more expensive for ex-felons to
have their voting rights restored, and limiting early voting hours
and polling sites in Democratic-leaning, especially minority areas.
And
new voter suppression tactics are being systematically added on an
almost daily basis. One of the more recent and insidious approaches
is the deployment of federal government officers from several
agencies of the Department of Homeland Security - Alcohol, Tobacco,
and Firearms; the U.S. Marshalls Service; and others. This operation
will allegedly protect federal government buildings from protesters
who have been demonstrating against the George Floyd murder for over
50 days.
Trump’s
Attorney General Wingman, William Barr, is busily sending these
individuals into cities headed by Democratic mayors. These untrained
law enforcers, who have no prior training in riot control, subduing
protests, and managing lawful demonstrations, are creating chaos in
Portland, Oregon, their first stop. And their colleagues are now
preparing to descend on Chicago, Philadelphia, and Kansas City.
The
larger aim of generating fear and disorder that will carry over into
the fall election, coupled with the COVID-19 pandemic, parallels what
Trump’s advisors told him about the citizens in the
aforementioned areas: they are not “our
people.” They
are not, as the overwhelming majorities are minorities and
progressives. Thus, Trump’s focus is on maximizing the turnout
of his voters and minimizing the turnout of Democrats.
Whatever
negative views Democrats may hold of Donald Trump, and many of them
are well-deserved, we must acknowledge that he has shown a unique
ability to tap into the base instincts of voters open to his
autocratic, fascist tendencies. This ability was the source of his
come-from-behind victory over Hillary Clinton.
Trump
accomplished this feat by sensing and encouraging the anger and
economic anxiety among working-class and non-college educated whites
at the changing demographics in the U.S. as it transitions to a
majority-minority country. It fueled their unprecedented turnout in
2016 to support Trump. He gave them a potpourri of persons to blame:
immigrants of color, minorities, the LGBTQ community, liberals, and
all individuals he classified as the other. Trump is relying on this
xenophobic strategy to achieve another win.
Added
to the dictatorial policy targeting Democratically-controlled cities
and in defiance of the Constitution, Trump is attempting to have
undocumented citizens not to be counted in the 2020 census for
political reapportionment purposes. He has no difficulty, however,
including prisoners (who are unable to vote), a majority of whom are
minorities incarcerated in rural white areas, where their added
numbers help maintain white representation in the House of
Representatives and in state legislatures.
As
soon as one voter reduction/suppression plan is exposed, Trump
quickly moves on to another. Biden has announced that he has hired
attorneys to monitor elections in all 50 states, but his campaign has
no comprehensive method for anticipating additional voter deceptions
that are surely forthcoming. Therefore, Biden needs to be exceedingly
vigilant as he moves into the final stages of the presidential race.
The
polls showing Biden with a lead over Trump are likely to narrow
substantially in the final weeks of the campaign. This requires that
Biden select a strong, female VP running mate to augment his last
laps to the finish line. Seven days from now, he has stated that he
will make his choice. Despite what some have said, she may well
decide the outcome of the race.
Democrats
urgently need a woman who can stoke enthusiasm within the Democratic
base as the overall gusto for the Biden candidacy is tepid among base
Democrats. As we have recommended in previous columns, she should be
African American and a galvanizing speaker. The two cops, Sen. Kamala
Harris (D-CA) and Rep. Val Demings (D-FL), are non-starters due to
their questionable criminal justice history. This is a problem for
progressives who are advocating for criminal justice and police
reform.
Irrespective
of the fact that some view Harris as the frontrunner to be chosen,
she did not appeal to the base during her performance in the
Democratic presidential primary debates and on the campaign trail,
even to Black voters where she never cracked double digits in the
polls. She also ranked fourth in her home state (California) poll
before dropping out.
Similarly,
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) did not connect to Democratic voters,
even those in her own state where she came in third, and her age is
also a factor.. Obama’s former U.N. Ambassador, Susan Rice, is
virtually unknown among the Democratic masses and would not be a
campaign asset. The other so-called finalists, Keisha Lance Bottoms,
Democratic Mayor of Atlanta; Sens. Tammy Duckworth (D-IL), and Tammy
Baldwin (D-WI) would not have positive impacts on the Biden campaign.
Of
all the aspirants for the position, Stacey Abrams, the 2018 Georgia
Democratic gubernatorial candidate is the only one who possesses the
necessary skill set - oratorical excellence, quick political
reflexes, a comprehensive understanding of and response to voter
suppression, and the ability to increase turnout across the
Democratic base.
The
VP on the ticket in the Biden-Trump race will have an enormous role
in stoking voter enthusiasm and generating voter turnout among voters
of color who will be consequential to a Biden victory. Hillary’s
inability to motivate them in that regard ensured her defeat. A three
to four percent increase in their turnout in 2016 would have sent her
to the White House.
This
decision could put Biden over the top or be his Waterloo. His
trajectory should be more apparent by the end of next week when he
makes his VP announcement. Since Trump is so disliked by the larger
electorate due to his mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic and its
negative impact on the economy and his use of racist campaign tropes,
many Democrats believe that Biden can win with any one of the VP
finalists. This
exaggerated confidence could lead the Democrats down another path to
defeat.
The
Trump campaign is waiting for Biden’s VP choice as anxiously as
are Democrats because they know a weak selection will empower their
efforts to steal the elections. At this moment, with all the
electoral shenanigans of Trump’s Republican acolytes in the
battleground states, Trump is on track to win again in spite of what
the polls indicate and to carry enough down ballot candidates to
retain his Senate majority. Democrats have to respond!
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