Polls
show Joe Biden with a double-digit national lead and a 6-11 point
edge in key battleground states, including Michigan, Pennsylvania,
and Wisconsin where Trump squeezed out his Electoral College victory
in 2016. Yet Trump’s supposed political demise remains in
question. Given the fickle state of politics during this coronavirus
pandemic, the 2020 outcome is far from over.
Trump
is now like a caged rabies-infected dog that refuses to take
direction from anyone. Despite his current flailing about, however,
he still holds several aces in the hole - the awesome powers of
incumbency, an Attorney General and U.S. Justice Department that
bends to his political will on any issue, and a level of control over
the United States Postal Service (USPS) that no previous President
has ever held.
Likewise,
Trump has assumed dictatorial power over our nation’s political
parties, forcing Republicans into public and private genuflection and
bullying Democrats into deference by ignoring their constitutional
powers of oversight even though they hold the House majority. While
directing his staff to disregard subpoenas, Trump has stacked the
Federal District, Appellate, and U.S. Supreme courts with over 250
young, right-wing judges, many of whom publicly flout Constitutional
mandates.
He
has exceeded the tenets of the imperial presidency and is modeling
his office after Russian President Vladimir Putin and China’s
President Xi
Jinping, while employing the hardball tactics of Philippines’s
President Rodrigo Duterte and Turkey’s President Recep
Tayyip Erdoğan, strongmen who have brutalized their citizens.
Trump has also directed a small group of his advisors
to devise a scheme to enable him to serve a third term, or more.
Those
Democrats, who are predicting Trump’s November defeat because
of his current standing in the polls, seem unaware of the plan he is
implementing to dominate Democrats during the last months of the
campaign. Sadly, they have not developed a counter-strategy to
compete with Trump’s political onslaught. He is leading them in
Party enthusiasm and unification as rank-and-file Republicans endorse
his implacable hold over the electorate.
Republican
officeholders fear Trump’s political retribution if they buck
him on any portion of his agenda. His vicious public flagellation and
defeat of the few dissidents brave enough to oppose him have resulted
in his minions marching behind him in lockstep. Even when the
candidates he has backed lose an election, other Republicans remain
under his thrall.
Trump’s
evolving and metastasizing voter suppression tactics are rapidly
emerging in traditional blue and battleground states. The
tried-and-true strategies of precinct closures, lengthy lines at the
polls, voting machine malfunction, elimination and/or shortening of
early voting, and increasing difficulties in voter registration have
escalated and are now being embellished by arbitrary voter purges and
targeted harassment of unsuspecting voters who arrive at the polls.
True
the Vote, a conservative Republican-leaning, national vote-monitoring
organization whose stated objective is stopping voter fraud, which
has been found to be virtually non-existent, is also in play. The
Republicans have set-aside tens of millions of dollars to implement
this initiative in all the battleground and blue states in an effort
to reduce Democratic turnout.
They
have also allocated another $60 million to undo Section 2 of the 1965
Voting Rights Act (which prohibits
voting practices or procedures that discriminate based on race,
color, or membership in one of the identified language minority
groups). These maneuvers are designed to surround Democratic voters
with a variety of barriers that inhibit their ability to vote.
Republicans have appropriated $20 million for litigation to contest
voting access in any manner as well.
By
far, the most damaging approach is Republican interference with the
timely response to absentee ballot requests and the judicious
processing of ballots upon receipt. In the past six months, there
have already been trial runs of these schemes in Wisconsin, Georgia,
and Kentucky primaries. COVID-19 has further facilitated these
actions as it has reduced the number of workers available to staff
voting precincts.
Trump’s
takeover of the USPS has provided him with additional leverage in
controlling the distribution and counting of mail-in ballots. Given
his already documented interference in government departments, we
must ask: will he direct his handpicked U.S. Postmaster General to
influence timely ballot collection and distribution on his behalf?
What
are the Democrats doing to effectively respond to this incipient
political crisis? The answer so far is that they are doing little or
nothing. Many Biden supporters believe that he can continue floating
above the political fray and proceed to victory unencumbered by the
politics on the ground. This kind of thinking is what sank Hillary’s
2016 campaign, which assumed that Trump would defeat himself because
of his misogyny, crassness, and political inexperience.
To
our knowledge, Democrats do not have legal teams in the traditionally
blue states or battleground cities where their voters are being
challenged. Their Republican adversaries, conversely, are vigorously
and systematically deploying multiple lines of attack on a
significant segment of the Democratic voting franchise.
To
date, only one Democrat has a grip on and an active response to these
encounters, Stacey Abrams, an erstwhile candidate to become Biden’s
VP. After having her Georgia race for governor stolen in 2018, she
has turned her firsthand experience with the nefarious subterfuges of
voter suppression into action, and she and her Fair Fight Action
organization have been busy in the battleground states, filing
lawsuits to push back against the recent Georgia primary debacle
which showcased many of Trump’s voter suppression procedures.
If
he is to prevail in November, Biden and the Democratic National
Committee need to direct massive financial resources toward this
political work. We have seen this movie before, and it is clear how
Trump’s surrogates are gearing up to defeat Biden with their
no-holds barred ground assaults. The time has come for the Biden
campaign to engage the Trump subversives.
In
2000, Al Gore sat idly by while Florida Gov. Jeb Bush surreptitiously
manipulated the state’s final vote through voter harassment and
voter roll purges in majority-minority voting districts to deliver
the state to his brother, George, by 537 votes out of millions cast.
Similarly, John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic presidential candidate,
watched Ohio’s Secretary of State oversee voting machine
breakdowns and long lines at the polls while offering no legal
opposition even though he had the cash on hand to contest these
actions.
After
observing these failures, Barack Obama fielded an army of lawyers to
protect his political flanks in 2008 and 2012, ensuring his
victories. Hopefully, Obama will persuade his former VP to take
comparable actions before it is too late.
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