SPLINTERS
ON 2020 ELECTION ISSUES
Trump
is giving positive strokes to Georgia and Florida Republican
governors, who have been reluctant to mandate guidelines for the
COVID-19 crisis, because he expects their loyalty in suppressing
minority voters on November 3, 2020.
Joel
Payne, a black Democratic strategist and former advisor to the 2016
Hillary Clinton presidential campaign, has warned Joe Biden against
not choosing a female African American vice presidential running
mate.
The
current fact-checking of Donald Trump’s repeated lies and
half-truths during his daily COVID-19 press conferences is useless
since they occur too long after the actual statements, the public
has moved on, and FOX News reinforces them as truths.
Last
week’s column was one of the first in the nation to sound the
alarm on the enormous disparity in unemployment, positive cases, and
deaths between America’s minority and majority populations
caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. That sad occurrence is only now
being recognized by the Trump administration which was warned by its
trade advisor, Peter Navarro, at the end of January 2020. Trump has
denied that he was ever apprised of it.
But
even more troubling is that Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Sens. Elizabeth
Warren and Amy Klobuchar, Congresswoman Ayanna Pressley, and other
Democratic leaders are also just highlighting these facts. In
addition, a number of Democratic-aligned social justice
organizations, such as the Congressional Black and Hispanic Caucuses
and the Lawyers Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, have also been
slow to address this challenge.
We
also noted that Republican legislators and judicial leaders were
exploiting this situation in the State of Wisconsin by their refusal
to delay the April 7th primary and local general elections
via decisions by the Wisconsin and the U.S. Supreme Courts. They
hoped that the coronavirus crisis would depress voter turnout among
the state’s minorities who were the deciding factor in the
Democrat’s narrow defeat of the 2018 Republican gubernatorial
incumbent.
(Results
from April 7th voting in Milwaukee revealed that “…the turnout reported
after the last in-person ballots were cast Tuesday evening is well
below the 140,000 votes forecasted by Milwaukee
Election Commission Executive Director Neil
Albrecht before the pandemic.”)
This
use of COVID-19 as a political strategy served as a trial run for
2020 to test voter suppression tactics that enabled Trump to win
Wisconsin’s electoral votes in 2016. It was also designed to
ensure the reelection of Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice Daniel
Kelly. Trump endorsed him with the hope that he could promote Kelly
to one of the federal courts during his second term.
To
further aid their efforts, the numbers of voting polls in Milwaukee,
which serve the state’s largest concentration of minority
voters, were reduced from 180 to five due to the paucity of poll
workers. Special care was taken to exclude those polls which had
historically recorded the highest minority turnouts. This decrease
resulted in long lines of voters of color crowded together in
contradiction to Wisconsin’s shelter-in-place directive and
social distancing guidelines in one of the nation’s hotspots
for COVID-19 deaths.
If
this tactic is successful, then the Trump presidential campaign will
double-down in other 2020 battleground states to ensure his return to
office. Due to the eleventh hour decision to hold the election, the
final results will not be available until April 13th as
last minute absentee ballots will have to be counted.
Elsewhere,
the coronavirus pandemic is also wreaking havoc. Minority deaths
from the epidemic range from 40 to 80 percent of the total in all the
major U.S. metropolitan areas: Milwaukee, Chicago, Atlanta, Memphis,
Charlotte, New York, Cincinnati, Los Angeles, Nashville, Miami,
Phoenix, and others. People of color are disproportionately victims
of the underlying health conditions most susceptible to the
disease--diabetes, HIV, asthma, etc.
This
new normal is a continuing episode of the Trump COVID-19 show which
he has taken to high ratings (on which he frequently comments) in his
daily briefings. It allows him to lie with abandon in his updates
and to “pimp slap” reporters from MSNBC, CNN, PBS, the
Associated Press, and other news outlets that refuse to kiss his
ring. His daily performance excites his base.
As
this reality series continues, the Democrats have not developed a
plan to counter the Trump show. Joe Biden called Trump allegedly to
commiserate about the coronavirus (according to Trump’s
telling). And Biden’s responses to Trump’s COVID-19
gaffes and obvious falsehoods have been timid and have not resonated
with the Democratic base.
Although
moderate and liberal media pundits routinely assert that Trump has
performed poorly in his handling of the coronavirus, the overwhelming
majority of Republican voters, and a sliver of independents,
moderates, and working-class Democrats do not share that view. They
are still with Trump as they support his xenophobic, anti-immigrant,
and anti-minority stances.
Trump
is leading Biden by a roughly 2:1 margin in comparison to voter
enthusiasm among their respective supporters. With Bernie Sanders’
continuing intra-Party opposition to Biden’s policy
prescriptions, Biden is basically running in place among Democrats
despite his nearly insurmountable delegate lead. Essentially, he is
in the same political position as was Hillary Clinton at this point
in 2016.
Thus,
Biden is currently on track to repeat her failure to win. The Trump
COVID-19 Show is rolling along with no apparent Democratic pushback
as Biden is sheltering-in-place in Delaware contemplating his choice
for a vice presidential running mate. While he has committed to
naming a woman, he is perched to select the wrong one. She needs to
be an African American.
His
white donors and major advisors are urging him to choose from a bevy
of white women ranging from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) to Sens. Amy
Klobuchar (D-MN) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA). Sen. Kamala Harris
(D-CA), Congresswoman Val Demings (D-FL), and 2018 Georgia Democratic
gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams, all black, have been added
largely for diversity.
But
on this list, the only woman who will be a viable and electrifying
asset on the campaign trail is Stacey Abrams. She possesses
exemplary oratorical skills, is extraordinarily savvy about the voter
suppression schemes that Trump operatives are employing now and that
will escalate during the upcoming political war. She will also
generate significant enthusiasm among the Democratic base, especially
among African American women, who will turn out at record levels.
No
other choice for the Biden ticket will come close to being the asset
that Abrams will be. She is a fierce campaigner and is already known
on the national stage due to her advocacy for an equitable voting
process. Even Barack and Michelle Obama cannot deliver the black
vote to Joe Biden. They, despite their Herculean GOTV efforts for
Hillary could not generate an Obama-like black turnout for her on
Election Day.
Barack
was a candidate with singularly unique personal, political, and
ethnic qualities that was not transferrable to another political
contestant. In 2016, seven million fewer African American voters
came out to cast votes in the presidential election. Stacey Abrams,
due to her ground-level credibility and interpersonal skills, is more
likely than the aforementioned females supposedly under consideration
by Biden to get more black voters to turn out.
Neither
Biden nor any of the women on his alleged short list can do that.
But even more important is that he owes black females. Atty. Anita
Hill, whom then Sen. Biden, while serving as chairman of the Senate
Judiciary Committee, allowed to be grossly mistreated during the 1991
Clarence Thomas hearings has given him a pass during this primary
season.
And
African American women as a group purchased Biden’s frontrunner
ticket to lead the Democratic primary field in South Carolina on
February 29th and on Super Tuesday on March 3rd, and he has never had
to look back. If he chooses Stacy Abrams as his vice presidential
partner, he will have the best chance of cancelling the Trump show,
and they will return the Democrats to the White House.
|