Looking
at the results of the Super Tuesday races in the Democratic, allow me
to cut to the chase and say that if Joe Biden is the nominee, he will
most certainly lose. While I do not know this for a fact, this script
has been written before. Donald Trump will serve up Biden for brunch
like a plate of shrimp and grits from the South Carolina Low country.
South Carolina resuscitated Biden’s flailing, lackluster and
milquetoast campaign built on a pledge to keep things just as they
are, and not make any sudden moves.
What
we are witnessing—and nobody said this would be easy—is a
fight for the future of the Democratic Party. In an era of Trumpian
fascism, there is a struggle between the neoliberal establishment
Dems—of which Biden is the standard bearer-- and the
progressives—of which Sanders is the leader. The corporate
lobbyists who own the party—the oil industry, Big Pharma, Wall
Street and the insurance companies—decided they had to act and
stop Bernie. The Democrats are faced with choices— save the
people from capitalism, save capitalism from itself, or save
capitalists and neoliberals from social democracy and an economic
transformation in America. Establishment Dems have selected the third
option, so as to keep their checks coming in.
And
I am convinced they would rather have another four years of Trump,
and possibly the end of democracy, than to have a successful
progressive president, presumably in the person of Bernie Sanders.
Their warnings of the need to stop Trump notwithstanding, the
establishment trembles far more over a democratic socialist president
who will tax them heavily than a fascist president who is kidnapping
brown babies—not their children—hauling them into
concentration camps, locking them in cages and wrapping them in
aluminum foil.
This
is a contest between the past and the future. Biden represents the
white moderates who told Dr. King to slow it down and stay away from
all that direct action, movement building and social change stuff.
Biden would return us to normalcy, which means the usual assortment
of normalized racial discrimination and economic inequality, but
without the stormtroopers, pogroms and outright lynching. On the
other hand, Sanders represents the challenge to the status quo, an
effort to seek a potentially radical redistribution of wealth and a
reordering of society. Sanders attracts Latinos--an emerging key
demographic--and young people--the future of the country, those who
are experiencing the effects of the college debt bubble, and who will
suffer the impact of climate change.
If
the Democratic Party brass salvaged Biden, Black voters almost
certainly did as well. This was not in any a reflection of love for
Biden, but perhaps a love for Obama. Obama reminds us of a better
time and place, for all of the hurt the Black community experienced
during those years, with historic losses of wealth from the Great
Recession, and no bailout like the banks or the auto industry. In
addition, Black voters are attempting to save their lives, which are
under direct threat under Trump. Apparently, they cannot place their
hopes in white America to do the right thing and go for the
progressive candidate.
Super
Tuesday also provided some other lessons. For example, the failure of
Michael Bloomberg and Tom Steyer demonstrated that money is a
corrupting influence in politics, but billionaires are unable to buy
a presidency in the absence of retail politics, campaigning and
shaking hands with the people. Citizens United still must be
overturned, and the legalized corruption of unlimited money in
campaigns must give way to public financing of elections. Moreover,
the failure of Elizabeth Warren to make her case is confounding, and
can be chalked up to sexism and missteps on the part of her campaign.
As
they have said in the movement, don’t mourn, organize. The
progressive wing of the Democratic Party still has a chance to win
this thing, but it will require strategic thinking and action. The
Sanders campaign must take a hard look at why they are not engaging
older Black voters, including older Black women, and must boost
turnout from millennials. Further, it is insufficient to preach to
the choir, as Bernie must reach beyond the usual suspects and spread
his message of democratic socialism and social democracy, but in
language that resonates with people.
A
final note: Biden said the following about young people, those whose
votes he would need to win: "The younger generation now tells
me how tough things are. Give me a break. No, no, I have no empathy
for it. Give me a break." - Joe Biden. It ain't over, and
Sanders and the progressives can turn things around, but I'm dying to
see how Dems would plan to energize young people and convince them to
board the Malarkey Express.
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