Africa
is on the move, with the nations of that continent joining forces to
form a multi-trillion-dollar
trading bloc — the world’s largest free trade zone —
and hoping to elevate Africa’s position and bargaining power in
the global economic system.
With
Zambia as the 22nd
nation to ratify in April, the African Union met the minimum
threshold for approval of the African Continental Free Trade Area
(AfCFTA).
Ultimately, the AfCFTA will encompass a market of $2.5 trillion in
GDP and 1.2 billion people in Africa, creating the largest free trade
zone since the formation of the World Trade Organization 25 years
ago. Although the European Union is larger with a GDP of $22
trillion, that trading bloc does not cover nearly as many people, and
the AfCFTA promises to boast the largest number of member countries.
Of the 55 member states of the African Union, all but Eritrea,
Nigeria and Benin have signed the agreement. These member states have
pending matters such as consultations with local trade
unions
and manufacturers regarding their concerns over the agreement, and
issues over control over industrial policy and fears that individual
nations will become dumping grounds for other nations’
manufactured goods.
The
continental agreement seeks to remove 90 percent of tariffs and
create a 52 percent increase in intra-continental trade by 2022 by
boosting investment and diversification among the participating
nations, growing local business by allowing companies to expand their
markets, and serving as an engine for job creation and
industrialization in a region where manufacturing only accounts for
10 percent of GDP.
The
agreement provides for a single African market for the exchange of
goods and services, and a customs union allowing for the free
movement of business
people
and capital. “Economists believe that tariff-free access to a
huge and unified market will encourage manufacturers and service
providers to leverage economies of scale; an increase in demand will
instigate an increase in production, which in turn will lower unit
costs. Consumers will pay less for products and services as
businesses expand operations and hire additional employees,”
according to the United Nations. “When you look at the African
economies right now, their basic problem is fragmentation. They’re
very small economies in relation to the rest of the world. Investors
find it very difficult to come up with large-scale investments in
those small markets,” said
Albert Muchanga, the African Union trade commissioner. “We’re
moving away from fragmentation, to attract long-term and large-scale
investment.”
Supporters
of the AfCFTA point to the current state of trade in Africa as a
reason why the new agreement is crucial. Due to a morass of tariffs
and regulations, only 17 percent of African nations’ exports
actually go to other African countries. As a result of these
barriers, some African nations find it easier to trade with Europe
and China rather than with countries in their own region. In
contrast, 59 percent of Asian countries send their exports to other
nations within Asia, and 69 percent of European exports are
intra-continental. Further, a united Africa meeting its own needs
could create potential opportunities for trade agreements with
countries outside of the continent. Further, when a common visa-free
AU passport is ratified by at least 15 states, this will further
facilitate the breaking down of borders and free movement of people
that will facilitate economic growth.
According
to Vera Songwe at the Brookings Institution think tank, the AfCFTA
will not be an ordinary free-trade zone if successful. “What is
less known about the AfCFTA is that its scope exceeds that of a
traditional free trade area, which generally focus on trade in goods,
to include trade in services, investment, intellectual property
rights and competition policy, and possibly e-commerce,” Songwe
said.
“The AfCFTA is complemented by other continental initiatives,
including the Protocol on Free Movement of Persons, Right to
Residence and Right to Establishment, and the Single African Air
Transport Market (SAATM).”
Dr.
Arikana Chihombori-Quao, the African
Union Ambassador to the United States,
spoke with Atlanta Black Star about the significance of the AfCFTA.
“If this was in America it would be on the news all over. I did
not get that feeling when I was in Africa. You are talking about the
decision by the 55 African heads of state that we were trying to
accomplish since 1963,”
she said. “This is huge, I
want people to know that. You are talking about undoing the damage
that the Berlin Conference in 1884, when the colonizers met in Berlin
to break up the continent … to make sure that Africa was
forever dominated,” Ambassador Chihombori-Quao added, noting
that even with sovereignty, the African nations could not compete on
the world stage divided.
“The
reality is the disparity needed to be equalized. And how do you level
the playing field?” the ambassador asked. “Since 1963
people have said Africa for the Africans. It means all people of
African descent because we are all Africans.” Of the AfCFTA,
Ambassador Chihombori-Quao said it will form the largest economy in
the world. “This is the fastest ratification in the history of
ratifications. The Western powers did not think this was going to
happen,” she noted. “When there is a will there is a way.
The African leaders spoke loud and clear. … It illustrates how
ready Africa is to take its role on the world stage. The sleeping
giant is waking.”
The
new trade agreement provides opportunities for the African diaspora,
according to the AU Ambassador. “More importantly, I want the
children of Africa, children of African descent to know that Africa
is counting on them to step up. Africa needs capacity,” she
said, adding that if the children of Africa do not come to take the
contracts, other countries will. “Our former colonizers, they
intentionally underdeveloped Africa, they built the Africa they
wanted to forever look to them. Africa has everything the world
needs.”
Ambassador
Chihombori-Quao noted that “this resource-rich continent is
painted as diseased, dying,” and “it was all by design to
see black people the continent is forever dominated. An Africa
speaking with one voice cannot be exploited.”
The
AfCFTA will bring about African unity that was undermined through
colonization and slavery. “The colonizers were downright evil
people because what they did to the continent was unacceptable. They
put together a strategy to destroy a whole race,” the
ambassador said. “In addition to the physical boundaries, they
also set out to make Africans believe everything African was bad and
everything European was more desirable. The same mind game was going
on with slavery. The shackles of the mind are the same. While we gave
up the shackles, the shackles of the mind still exist.”
With
the promise of free movement of people, electricity to millions more
at a savings of billions of dollars, the AfCFTA is a game changer,
with plans such as the high-speed rail from Cairo to Cape Town
bringing the promise of transformation to the continent.
As
with any such agreement, there are challenges, the foremost being in
the implementation of the AfCFTA, including negotiations on details
regarding e-commerce, intellectual property, competition tariff
concessions, and other issues. As Landry Sign� and Colette van
der Ven note in a Brookings paper,
the ability of the AfCFTA to reduce intra-African trade barriers
depends on ongoing negotiations. Another issue is the old colonial
infrastructure of African nations, which impedes trade and is in
great need of an upgrade. While the continent requires $130
billion to $170 billion
in annual infrastructure financing according to the African
Development Bank, they suffer from a $68 billion to $108 billion
shortfall.
Meanwhile,
the AfCFTA has implications for Africa’s relations with Europe,
the U.S., and China. The ambassador said that when Africa negotiates
with China it will do so with equality. “The European Union is
warning Africa about China. They don’t have a leg to stand on,”
the Ambassador said. “France is taking $500 billion out of
Africa year in and year out, Europeans are taking trillions out of
Africa year in and year out. The spotlight is on China but no one is
talking about Europe,” she said. “Until France stops
taking billions out of Africa every year they do not have a leg to
stand on. They’ve been doing it so long it has become normal.
They are refusing to return the skulls they used for medical
experiments,” she added, arguing that “France is nothing
without Africa. France is a developing country without Africa.”
“One
of the biggest threats to peace and security in Africa is France.
France is in 18 African countries (and) 22 African presidents were
assassinated by France,” said the head of the AU mission in
Washington. “We can put China on notice that we need them to
treat us fairly. The reason China was able to get away with it is we
didn’t connect the dots. They dealt with us individually and
now we are connecting the dots,” the AU diplomat said, offering
that the biggest challenge to African economic unity are the former
colonizers. “They did not expect us to have these
ratifications, so this was a curveball for them,” she noted.
“They infiltrate African governments, they will buy some
people. We have been through them for years.”
“The
next challenge is how do we get people to unshackle themselves…The
failure to believe in ourselves the failure to trust each other,”
the ambassador said. “People from China stick together like
super glue. … Our problem is we do not believe we are
Africans. We as Black people must have a serious conversation and
look in the mirror.”
The
nations of the African continent are making moves towards unity and
shared prosperity. Through the African Continental Free Trade Area,
the African Union countries will use trade and investment to leverage
their power on the global stage and bring about sustainable
development for African people throughout the world.
This commentary was originally published by AtlantaBlackStar.com
|