As I write this, our federal
government has been shut down for 27 days. At first, it seemed like
a gamesmanship joke, like who was going to blink first. House
Speaker Nancy Pelosi and (CA) Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer
(NY) didn't look like they were blinking when 45 said he would "own"
the shutdown to get his wall. He's not owning it now – he
didn't go to Mar-a-Largo to golf, and he indicated how acutely he
felt the shutdown by serving Clemson football players cold fast food.
Furloughed
federal workers will be paid, thanks to legislation 45 signed on
January 16. The fact that people will get paid when the shutdown is
over (which 45 says may take "months" or "years")
is reassuring, but it helps few with their day-to-day obligations.
A 2018 study from the Federal Reserve Bank says that 40 percent of
all Americans can't absorb a $400 emergency without going into
(further) debt, borrowing or selling something to meet a minor
expense like a faulty car engine, a busted heating system, an
emergency room copay, or some other ordinary challenge. So for many,
delaying even one paycheck is likely to cause a seismic shock in
family finances.
Many
will piece it together, but they may miss credit card, mortgage, rent
or other payments. In a month or so they'll be caught up, but what
about their credit rating? Catching up may mean getting current on
bills, but it does not mean overcoming the ding that will inevitably
appear on one's credit score. It may take months, even years, for
some to transcend that, especially if their credit was shaky to begin
with.
Our
nation runs on debt, our economic growth is dependent on folks going
into debt, but economic growth is also dependent on people being able
to pay their debt. People who live paycheck to paycheck won't pay
debt back until they get paid. And hundreds of thousands aren't
being paid because a deranged adult is having a tantrum about a wall.
Four
in five Americans live in debt, mostly because of mortgages and
student loans ($1.5 trillion total) that strangle people's ability to
live in financial freedom. While mortgage and student loan debts are
the most significant contributions to our nation's debt crisis,
medical debt is the most frequently cited cause for personal
bankruptcy in our country. The fact that so many have medical debt
reflects the crisis in our national health care system.
Bottom
line – the shutdown not only affects people's ability to manage
their day to day finances but will also affect their long-term credit
score and have consequences for those at the margins. From the data
on emergencies, nearly half of all Americans are living at the
margins. These are the folks who Trump and his minions say should
"make arrangements" during the shutdown. They should, some
say, have contingency plans. What is your contingency when you live
paycheck to paycheck?
Furloughed
workers will get back pay and, though impaired, will manage. What
about those who work for government contractors? Nobody has their
back. Many are high-rolling, highly-paid contractors who will take a
hit but won't be knocked out. Then, there are the women of color
(mostly) who clean federal office buildings at night. They won't get
back pay. They won't be compensated for their services. They will
take it in the shins, and taking it means managing to live without
pay for weeks. Even those who are sensitive to the economic impact
of this shutdown have not spoken up for the contract workers who have
been disadvantaged.
A
government shutdown also means a benefit shutdown for people who
receive government benefits – food or housing assistance, or
more. While many are optimistic that things will be adjusted, the
fact is that people's expectations are not being met and people are
scrambling! The scrambling is not restricted to any race, to any
party. The man who calls himself President seems to be under the
mistaken impression that most government workers are Democrats. The
fact, according to the Government Business Council, is that there is
a pretty even split, with 44 percent of government workers being
identified as Democrats or Democratic-leaning, 40 percent identified
as Republican or Republican-leaning, and the remainder undecided,
with a significant number of these identifying themselves as
"conservative." All of these government workers are
collateral damage, thanks to 45!
Our
entire social and economic fabric is frayed thanks to this petulant
government shutdown. Democrats, Republicans, and everyone else will
pay for this thoughtless absurd public tantrum. This shutdown is
nothing more than a disturbing public outburst. Where do we go from
here?
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