It's
become a cliché that each faction within each party believes
that victory would be assured if only the party would follow their
preferred policy approach. Democrats in the Congressional Progressive
Caucus, which has been becoming increasingly involved in primaries
across the country in a way it hasn’t before, now has polling
to back up its claim.
The
data, crunched by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, comes from a
survey of 600 likely 2018 voters over the phone in 30 targeted swing
districts, and an additional over sample of 300 Democratic-leaning
surge voters. (Those are people who don’t have a history of
voting and are less certain to vote in 2018.)
Swing
districts often have a roughly equal balance of Democrats and
Republicans, leading political strategists to advise moderation as
the path to victory. But, Lake’s poll found, that’s not
what voters in those districts actually want.
Almost
three-quarters of the voters surveyed, for instance, supported
“Medicare for All.” Policies dealing with cheaper
prescription drugs, infrastructure, protecting Social Security and
Medicare, and cracking down on Wall Street, are exceedingly popular
with swing and surge voters alike, the survey found.
Lake’s
memo claims, “These policies not only motivate the progressive
base, but make voters more likely to support Democrats. A majority of
voters (52 percent) said they would be more likely to vote for a
candidate talking about the progressive policies we mentioned, while
only 26 percent would be less likely.”
Rep.
Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., said that that the poll shows
Democrats “can have that blue tsunami,” not just a blue
wave, if they lean into progressive policies and messaging. The
results show enthusiastic support for progressive policies in 30
swing districts, mostly held by Republican incumbents. “Our
polling shows running as a bold progressive is a political winner,”
Jayapal, vice chair of CPC, said on a press call.
Progressive
legislative priorities ranked high across districts, but the memo
also found progressive messaging resonates with voters. Jayapal noted
that even though Democrats want to generate turnout among surge
voters without alienating swing voters, the data shows the same
messaging works with both groups of people.
A
majority of the voters surveyed preferred a bold economic vision, as
opposed to an incremental approach. When asked, 52 percent said they
prefer “a bold and comprehensive agenda to rewrite the rules of
the economy,” compared to the 36 percent of voters who would
choose to “make our economy work for everyone by building on
the success of the past.”
Another
takeaway from the memo, Jayapal said, is that talking about race is
not something Democrats “should shy away from.” Support
for a policy to “improve opportunity for working and low-income
families - white, black, and brown - by investing $2
trillion in rebuilding our roads, bridges, schools, and communities,
while creating millions of good-paying jobs” had more support
among likely voters than the phrasing of the policy that did not
include race.
Progressive
candidates that win elections are seen as a niche group that “somehow
managed to beat the odds,” despite polls showing that
progressive policies are actually mainstream values to voters across
the country, Rep. Raúl Grijalva, D-Ariz., said.
The
CPC memo comes in the wake of an upset victory by Democrat Conor Lamb
in deeply conservative western Pennsylvania. Lamb has been
caricatured as a conservative, because of his embrace of gun culture
and personal opposition to abortion. But politically he was
pro-choice, supporting the legal right to an abortion, and ran
against corruption in Washington. He
pushed for
more investment in infrastructure, a robust response to the heroin
epidemic that includes legal moves against “drug company
boardrooms,” as well as action to lower health care costs,
protect Social Security and Medicare, and lessen the burden of
student loans.
This commentary was originally published by The Intercept
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