The
most significant challenges facing Democrats in the upcoming 2018
elections are currently not at the top of their political agenda. In
addition to the continuing Russian interference in our electoral
process, Republicans and the Trump administration are also conducting
a campaign to undermine Democratic possibilities for victories in
state and national elections. Despite growing public concerns about
Russian meddling, the real threats are hidden in plain sight—purging
of voter rolls, the relocation and downsizing of voting precincts,
gerrymandering of state legislative and Congressional political
districts, and the under utilization of key constituencies of the
Democratic base.
As
revealed in the contentious 2000 election between Gov. George W. Bush
(R) and Vice President Al Gore (D), the purging of voter rolls was
central to Bush carrying the state of Florida by 537 votes, out of
almost six million cast, enabling him to win in the Electoral College
and the Presidency by five votes, 271 to 266, exceeding the minimum
number needed by one. To achieve this outcome, Florida’s state
government, headed by Gov. Jeb Bush (the President’s brother),
hundreds of thousands of African American and Hispanic voters were
disenfranchised by either classifying them as felons, making them
ineligible to vote, or simply cancelling their voter registrations.
Similar voter removal practices have been replicated in Ohio and
Kansas by their former Secretaries of State. Moreover, Trump
designated Kansas’ Secretary of State, Kris Kobach, to chair
his Advisory Commission on Election Integrity after Trump alleged
that the popular vote disparity between him and Hillary Clinton was a
result of voter fraud. After several states refused to participate
in this charade by providing private data on their registered voters,
the Commission was quietly disbanded.
Even
more insidious is the relocation and downsizing of voting precincts
in states where Democrats have prevailed in close statewide and
presidential elections and in areas predominated by members of the
Democratic base: minorities, millennials, women, and citizens of a
different sexual orientation. Ohio, North Carolina, Florida,
Michigan, and Wisconsin are key states where these events have
occurred. Precincts have been moved out of majority-minority areas,
reduced in number, removed from college campuses, and voting machines
have had suspicious breakdowns in the aforementioned sites. These
actions have generated intermittent controversy, but have been
consistently implemented.
The
gerrymandering of state legislative and Congressional districts has
been the cornerstone of the Republican scheme to take control of
government at every level. As explained by David
Daley in his 2016 book, Ratf**ked: The True Story Behind the Secret Plan to Steal America's Democracy,
the Republicans began distorting
the nation’s political process in earnest in 2009 via “…
a dirty deed done on the cheap.”
With an initial political campaign budget of $30 million, the
Republican Cartel of the private-sector elite was able to gain a
majority in more than two dozen state legislatures in 2010 by funding
the election of their preferred candidates to office. This allowed
them to control the redistricting process which permitted Republicans
to regain control of the U.S. House of Representatives and to gain
seats in the U.S. Senate, culminating in control of all three
branches of government with the election of Donald Trump as President
in 2016.
Only
after the fact did Democrats spring into action by launching a number
of lawsuits against states that had intentionally drawn legislative
districts to disadvantage Democratic voters. To date, they have been
successful in Delaware, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and
North Carolina in having the courts overturn these political
manipulations. Republicans have prevailed in some instances by
delaying their applications while dragging their feet in the revision
process, appealing to the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS)
for relief, and rallying their base in opposition, often by appealing
to racial hatred. However, most disconcerting is the fact that this
has kept the Democrats dispersing their financial resources while the
Republican Cartel seemingly has a bottomless pit of money from which
it can draw.
Nevertheless,
the Democrats’ underutilization of their key constituencies
persists in being a significant barrier to their political success.
Teachers, women, minorities, and millennials, with notable recent
exceptions in Alabama, Connecticut, Oklahoma, Kansas, Kentucky, New
Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin, have not been fully
incorporated as peers in Democratic messaging and strategy for the
2018 midterms despite their demonstrated successes in the
above-mentioned states. The Democratic National Committee (DNC) and
national Democratic leaders remain aloof to the realities on the
ground and are often out of sync with the candidates that they
purport to back.
For example, Connor
Lamb (D), who is running for Congress in a special election in
Pennsylvania’s 18th District, that Trump won by
twenty points, has designed his campaign to appeal to teachers,
unions, blue-collar workers and progressives. And he has made it
clear that he will not support the House’s Democratic Minority
Leader, Nancy Pelosi, if he is elected. Long considered a safe
Republican seat, the Cook Political Report, after initially placing
the election in the Republican column, has now labeled the race a
toss-up. This is another illustration of the Democrats’
internal conflicts and contradictions. Unless they can reconcile
these issues, Democrats will not be able to make the necessary gains
to re-take the House or Senate. They are at political as well as a
philosophical crossroads as to a way forward. But Democrats will not
be able to succeed unless they get on the same political page.
Meanwhile,
the Republicans ‘political skullduggery’ goes on because
they are united in their positions. Will Democrats be able to
finally preempt it?
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