Trump
is at it again as he attempts to lead Democrats down a rabbit hole
during the 2018 midterms. With his continuing war on women,
minorities, millennials, and American democracy, Trump is poised to,
perhaps, prevail by employing the following strategies: promoting the
recently passed tax bill which is growing in popularity; blaming the
Democrats for not providing a single vote for the bill and shutting
down the government; pointing out the lack of uniformity in the
Democratic message; and launching a campaign to denounce House
Minority Leader, Nancy Pelosi, who is underwater in 69 House
districts targeted by the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC
dedicated to preserving the Republican majority. He is at his best
when he appears to be cornered, and like a martial arts fighter, uses
the Democrats’ eagerness and assurance of winning to his
advantage in squeezing out a victory as he did in 2016.
However,
America’s teachers, the majority of whom are women and most of
whom are Democrats, can serve as the last line of defense against
another Trump flimflam. Hopeful signs have emerged in Oklahoma,
Wisconsin, Alabama, Virginia, Florida, and in Kentucky’s 49th
state district where Democrat Linda Belcher, who lost the seat in a
72 percent landslide to a Trump supporter, Dan Johnson, in 2016 (who
killed himself after being accused of sexual assault of a minor and
was replaced by his wife, Rebecca). Belcher bested the widow by a
68-32 percent margin last Wednesday, making this the 37th
pick up of a state Republican seat since Trump’s election.
Nevertheless, these victories are not an assurance of an upcoming
Democratic wave election in November 2018. Yet a constant across
these wins is the strong participation and turnout of teachers and
women.
Teachers
and women make up the majority of the electorate at every level of
government. Although, a majority of white women went for Trump in
2016, he has steadily lost their support in the aftermath of #MeToo
and the nineteen women who have accused him of sexual harassment and
assault. One of his accusers, Rachel Crooks, a former receptionist
in New York’s Trump Tower, who was recently profiled on the
front page of the Washington Post, is currently running for a
seat in the Ohio state legislature, prompting Trump to attack her in
a tweet. Crooks has assembled a female brigade to support her
candidacy, and says “… she was inspired to run by the
momentum of Democratic activism in response to Trump’s election
and the Me Too movement that has felled powerful men in many
industries.” In addition, two of Trump’s porn star
and playboy bunny, consensual sex partners were paid approximately
$300,000 shortly before the presidential election allegedly to keep
quiet about the affairs.
The
#MeToo crusade itself is a comprehensive organizing tool for women in
every region of the country. Women in general and women in female
dominant organizations and professions (e.g., teachers) are
coalescing to push for equality and equity in every facet of their
lives. In West Virginia, where teachers are among the lowest paid in
the nation, the National Education Association (NEA) and the American
Federation of Teachers (AFT) are collaborating on a teacher walkout
over this issue and the increasing cost of health benefits. Students
in Kiefer and Tulsa, Oklahoma staged a class walk out over their
teachers’ low pay which had not been raised in a decade.
Pittsburgh teachers voted to authorize a strike over class size and
the lack of support for early childhood education. Unfortunately,
public educators have suffered under both Democratic and Republican
administrations and are now beginning to turn a critical eye toward
both.
New
polling has revealed that Democrats are mistaken in believing that
Hillary Clinton’s gender was the major factor in her losing
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which caused Trump to triumph
in 2016. Tracy Sefl, a Clinton surrogate, observed that voters
looked beyond gender in making their decision. Clinton’s lack
of aggressive and sustained campaigning in those states was also a
key reason for her loss.
Going
forward, Democrats have to harness the support of their core
constituents—women, minorities, labor, young Americans, and
people of different sexual orientations—while reaching out to
other groups with appealing, non-contradictory messages and policies
that mesh with their concerns. They must not squander the
opportunity to soberly respond to the Parkland, Florida massacre last
week by engaging in knee-jerk actions that will not go anywhere.
Democrats must strategically back the NRA into a corner with policies
that have broad bipartisan support. And most importantly, they
should dispense with any efforts to impeach President Trump unless
Special Counsel Robert Mueller comes up with overwhelming criminal
evidence that would compel Republican senators to join with Democrats
in a bipartisan vote to remove him from office. Democrats, even if
they take back control of the U.S. Senate, will not have the votes to
do it alone, and the general public (including most Democrats) is not
interested going down that rabbit hole. Democrats are becoming much
too confident about the likelihood of their return to power at the
national level in 2018.
It is imperative that
they reach down to the state, county, and city levels to solicit
support and feedback from Democrats and other citizens at the ground
level to ensure that they are in sync with the majority of the body
politic. If they blow this opportunity, they may well be in the
political wilderness for some time to come. Finally, Democrats must
solve the DACA problem before the midterms as they are beginning to
be blamed for the failure to resolve it thus far. Otherwise, they
could see Latinos and millennials becoming less enthusiastic about
voting. As politically and morally damaged as he is, Trump is not
yet down for the count.
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