Last
week’s government shutdown and the women’s marches
throughout the nation have set the stage for the 2018 showdown
between Democrats and Republicans for the soul of Democracy. These
mid-term elections may eclipse 1992 as the year of the political
woman when more women were elected to the U.S. House and Senate than
at any time in American political history unless Democrats blink on
the opportunity. On a recent Time Magazine cover, The
Avengers, women who are running for office - U.S. House and
Senate, state legislative, county, school board, and mayoral races
and fighting for racial, economic, and social equality - have
been profiled. These females were inspired by the 2017 Women’s
March which was a response to “… the bitter
defeat of the first major female presidential candidate at the hands
of a self-described pussy grabber,” and they launched an
even larger protest on January 20th of this year, the
anniversary of Donald J. Trump’s election as president.
Since 2017, four times as many Democratic women have filed to run for
office as have Republican women.
They
are the point of the spear for 2018 as they were for Patty
Schachtner, a Democrat in St. Croix County, who upset Rep. Adam
Jarchow for the open seat in Wisconsin’s rural 34th
District that Trump carried by 17 points in 2016 and that had been in
Republican hands for 17 years. It is a shot across the bow for the
state’s Republican Gov. Scott Walker who is up for re-election
in November and who is also an enthusiastic Trump supporter. As
noted in earlier columns, this victory may be a precursor of an
impending blue wave (or not). But the larger issue is: can Democrats
focus like a laser beam on the issues of greatest appeal to voters in
every region and at every level in America?
While
pursuing a degree in health behavior, I learned from field experience
that change strategies that piggybacked existing concerns and views
in communities were most successful and enduring. The Democratic
Party’s leadership, to date, has tried to dictate perspectives
on issues for the party faithful rather than to listen and respond to
their most pressing interests. Trump’s political genius was to
appeal to the vile, moderate, and elite elements of the Republican
Party to squeeze out narrow victories in traditional
Democratic-voting states, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (by a
combined 68,000 votes) to win the Presidency. Democrats have
generally overlooked their mistakes in allowing this to occur.
However,
last Friday’s government shutdown was an indication that
Democratic party leaders and strategists had finally heeded the
messages being sent by their core supporters: African American and
Hispanic women; increasing numbers of white women; millennials;
LGBTs; Native Americans in red states (North Dakota and Montana) won
by Democratic Senators; and many Asian ethnic groups that had
rewarded this attentiveness in Wisconsin, Alabama, New Jersey, and
Virginia, in succession, with extraordinarily high percentages of
their votes and turnout. Those present at the Women’s March,
including tens of thousands of men, and numerous other members of the
Democratic base were in sync with the shutdown as they have tired of
Democratic leaders and strategists who have continuously allowed
Trump to “pimp them out” and then to go out and brag
about it.
If
they had stood fast in opposing Trump and the Republicans on
immigration, Deferred Action on Childhood Arrivals (DACA), Children’s
Health Insurance Program (CHIP), and other policies that their main
supporters favor, they would almost assuredly prevail in the 2018
midterms. Trump adroitly beckoned Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), the
Senate’s Minority Leader, to the White House to supposedly
agree to a deal on these matters, patted him on the head like a
child, and then quickly retracted the compact they had negotiated
after Schumer left. Democrats are once again positioning themselves
to snatch defeat in the 2018 mid-terms from the jaws of victory as
they did in 2016.
In
spite of this double cross, Trump and the Republicans were able to
hoodwink the Democrats into supplying the votes to reopen the
government until February 8th by having Senate’s Majority
Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) provide them a meaningless, carefully
worded promise on DACA and immigration policy and giving a wink and a
nod to House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) to pass the bill in the House
to ensure Democratic capitulation. Congressman Luis Gutierrez (D-IL)
resolved that “Democrats are good at articulating values but
weak at defending them. Democrats caved.” Immediately
after the Democratic surrender, a fundraising email was sent under
Trump’s name reiterating that point and promising a “…
deal on immigration only if it was good for the country,”
which is reminiscent of language he used in his betrayal of Sen.
Schumer last week on the DACA agreement which led to the shutdown in
the first place. Using this slick approach, Trump was able to peel
off thirty-three Democratic Senators to join Republicans in closing
the deal, causing turmoil among Democrats. The sixteen Democrats who
voted nay included five who are vying for the 2020 Democratic
presidential nomination: Sens. Kamala Harris (D-CA), Kirsten
Gillibrand (D-NY), Cory Booker (D-NJ), Bernie Sanders (D-VT), and
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA),who did so to solicit support from the
Democrat’s progressive base.
And
during the halt of government operations, Trump’s Presidential
Committee (PAC) released an ad demonizing undocumented immigrants as
murderers (and Democrats as being complicit) that was more racist
than the infamous Willie Horton commercials aired by the George H.W.
Bush campaign during his successful 1988 bid for President.
Nonetheless, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) led
three-quarters of her caucus to vote against this pact, demonstrating
that she has more cojones than her Senate counterpart, Sen. Schumer.
When the Democrats are likely re-stabbed in the back on February 8th
by Trump, McConnell, and Ryan, their key enthusiasts as noted
above will be disheartened, as many already are, and splinter off as
they did in 2016 unless Senate Democrats get some backbone and are
willing to finally get it on.
What
the Democrats have to recognize is that the “Women are Coming”
for their rightful places in local, county, state, and national
offices! Being more than fifty percent of the electorate, they no
longer wish to be politically patronized and/or misguided by their
male peers, which was part of the problem that Hillary Clinton faced
in being led by Robby Mook and John Podesta to not campaign in
Michigan and Wisconsin and to “mis-campaign” in
Pennsylvania. She followed their leads because she, like many women
historically, had been socialized into believing that men know best
about politics, which resulted in women being officially denied the
right to vote for 132 years until they launched the suffrage protests
in the nineteenth century which led to their being granted the
franchise in 1920. Prior to that time, they were mostly reduced to
functioning like the maids in the “The Handmaid’s
Tale.” Now American women are rebelling against this
status and taking charge of their political lives.
With
the Democratic National Committee (DNC) is being led by two males as
well as males dominating leadership posts in the U.S. House and
Senate, it is time for them to listen, learn, and take direction from
a contemporary racial and gender diverse generation of female
leaders. The continuing attacks on House Minority Leader Nancy
Pelosi, who led Democrats out of the wilderness in 2008, especially
by Congressman Tim Ryan (D-OH), who has no other plan than to peel
off Trump voters, is ridiculous on its face. Ryan naively believes
he can concentrate his efforts on recruiting Trump voters and take
his Democratic constituency for granted because they have nowhere
else to go - a mistake that has generated low Democratic turnout
when it has been implemented. Democrats can only seize the momentum
if their male leaders follow current female organizers who have their
ear to the ground and who have responded to the yearnings of
rank-and-file Democrats looking for a new direction for themselves
and the Party.
Male
Democratic bosses getting past their arrogance and chauvinism will
determine whether Democrats or Republicans will prevail in the 2018
midterms. In the meantime, Trump and his Republican posse are
sticking to their venomous and diabolical guns - anti women,
anti-immigrant, anti-minority, anti-LGBT, anti-public education and
teachers, and anti-children - that has served them well so far.
Their view is that “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix
it.” Hence, Democrats need to break Trump’s
political back during the midterms.
If
the Democrats do not stand up on February 8th after Trump
and Leader McConnell are likely to bend them to their will once
again, they may lose the fervor of the Democrats’ progressive
wing which could tank their prospects for taking over the House or
Senate in the 2018 mid-terms.
Finally,
the slow roll toward Apartheid and the Democratic Party’s’
political and strategic incompetence are the elephants in the room.
First, Trump has seized upon white nationalism, homophobia, racial
gerrymandering, racism, and anti-immigrant backlash to bring the long
smoldering anxieties of a mostly white third of the electorate to
center stage. Trump has allied himself with the most noxious
representatives of these societal outlooks: David Duke, Judge Roy
Moore, Richard Spencer, Congressmen Steve King (D-IA), Mark Meadows
(R-NC), etc. whose views he has directly and subtly endorsed in
executive orders, speeches, and tweets, drafted by himself and his
former and present white nationalist advisors, Steve Bannon and
Stephen Miller, respectively. They believe that by firing up their
rabid, xenophobic followers, they can maintain and expand their power
since they rightly (so far) determined that a sizeable percentage of
the remaining citizenry would not publicly object, and that many
would cast their vote for Trump and his cronies as they did in 2016.
Second, the Democrats
disregarded impartial research, The One Percent (2017) by
Gordon Laffer; Democracy In Chains (2017) by Nancy MacLean;
Dark Money (2016) by Jane Mayer (along with a series of
articles in the New Yorker over the last decade); Sons of
Wichita (2014) by Daniel Shulman; Big Money (2014) by
Kenneth P. Vogel, and a host of other articles and blogs that have
articulated the actions, funders, and outcomes of the aforementioned
perspectives. Trump is attempting to codify these viewpoints into
existing political institutions. After initial victories, he has
been lately beaten back in Wisconsin, Alabama, New Jersey, and
Virginia as the silent majority is beginning to demonstrate that
Trump’s version of American is not one they embrace and that it
does not wish to become pre-1990 South Africa. Yet Democrats
abandoned their values and stood on the sidelines pointing their
fingers at Trump, as a racist, misogynist, and elite white
nationalist, to no avail. They neglected to organize against him
until Democratic (and some Republican) women and their progressive
and moderate partners started doing so on their own.
The
battle lines have been drawn. The only remaining question is whether
the males who dominate national Democratic governance have the
political guts and cojones to engage in the political war for the
soul of democracy. It’s time!
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