When
the unemployment rate dropped and economic conditions improved under
the leadership of President Barack Obama, 45 derided the gains as
“fake news”. He suggested that the monthly Employment
Situation reports of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
were inaccurate and “made up”. These are the monthly
reports that detail employment statistics, including unemployment
rates. Now that 45 is in charge, he can’t crow often enough
about the statistics that he described as “phony” just 18
months ago.
For
the last week, we have heard 45 and his surrogates crowing that “the
black unemployment rate is lower than it has ever been.” And,
with a Black unemployment rate of 6.8 percent, they are right that
the rate is at its lowest since the Bureau of Labor Statistics
started disaggregating data to report unemployment by race. Is this
something worth crowing about? Does 45 deserve to get credit for it?
The answer to both questions, from my perspective, is a resounding
“no”.
First
of all, the 6.8 percent unemployment rate African Americans
experienced was exactly TWICE the white unemployment rate of 3.4
percent. Suppose that white men had an unemployment rate of 6.8
percent? Would 45 and his minions be celebrating if whites had the
same employment situation as African Americans? I think not. So,
celebrating the 6.8 percent rate without speaking of the inequality
it is based on is like celebrating the inequality.
Secondly,
the unemployment rate is an imperfect measure of the employment
situation. The employment-population ratio is a far more accurate
way of measuring how fully employed a population is. It measures the
percentage of people who are employed. While 69 percent of white men
are employed, just 63 percent of Black men are employed (the numbers
for women are closer, with African American women actually working
MORE than white women, with an employment-population ratio of 59
percent for Black women and 55 percent for white women). The
employment-population ratio and labor force participation rates show
racial disparities among men that are alarming. Differences in the
employment-population ratio suggest that some African Americans have
stopped looking for work because they don't think they can find it.
When the Black unemployment rate is adjusted to reflect these
realities, it is closer to 10 percent than to the 6.8 percent 45 and
his team are crowing out.
Furthermore,
the 45th President inherited an economy that was improving. Falling
unemployment rates are a result of the Obama expansion. Let’s
say it again, the Obama expansion. An economic expansion will
naturally move unemployment rates downward, no matter who is the
President. While 45 can only legitimately claim stock market gains
for the last two months, as his regressive tax bill has handsomely
rewarded corporate interests, stock market gains in the first month
of this year might also be considered a result of the Obama
expansion.
Will
45 take credit for the stagnant wages that plague all workers, but
especially African American workers? While unemployment rates have
dropped, wages have not risen by very much (less than 2 percent last
year). Sure, some workers got tax bill-related bonuses, and Walmart
will raise their wages for some workers to $11 an hour. Most workers
are stuck making the same amount of money they made three years ago.
Does
45 take credit for income and wealth differences between African
Americans and whites? The average white family has a $65,000 income,
compared to just $39,000 for African Americans. And the average
African American household has just $17,000 in wealth, compared to
$171,000 for whites.
When
45 crows about a 6.8 percent unemployment rate for African Americans,
he normalizes the fact that African Americans should have a higher
unemployment rate than whites. And when he takes unemployment out of
context and ignores income and wealth disparities, he is suggesting
that the current conditions of African Americans are something to
celebrate. If this President were really interested in the economic
status of African Americans he would have produced a different tax
bill, ceased his attacks on health care, and directed his secretary
of education to stop attacking public education and HBCUs. But 45
isn’t interested in the economic status of African Americans.
He is interested in bragging about data he once dismissed as “phony”.
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