Desperate
for a policy win, Republicans have proposed “tax reform”,
which is really an attempt to reward their base at the expense of the
rest of us. Whether you look at the 429 page (really? Who reads all
of that) House of Representatives version (which reduces the number
of tax brackets, raises the standard deduction, eliminates the
personal deduction), or the equally long Senate version that does
some of the same (the Senate keeps the seven tax brackets, as is
presently the case), the consistency between the two versions is that
the corporate tax rate will be cut from 35 percent to 20 percent).
Cutting
the corporate tax rate will cost more than $1.5 trillion, an
astounding sum from the so-called “deficit hawks” who
have previously said that adding to the deficit is bad news. Now,
because they can’t “repeal or replace” the
Affordable Care Act, and have kept none of their other promises,
their goal is to get a tax bill passed, no matter what the cost.
Ordinarily, significant changes in the tax code would be the subject
of hearings and debate. This time around, Republicans would rush
this thing through “by Thanksgiving”. That’s
hardly enough time to read the whole bill, much less react to it.
I
call it tax deform, not tax reform, because many of the proposals are
just deforming outcomes for people in the middle and at the bottom.
For example, eliminating the personal deduction works against
families who have three or more children. Eliminating some
deductions hurts, for example, teachers who spend about $500 a year
from their pockets to buy school supplies. Increasing the amount of
the childcare deduction works against low-income families if what is
now a credit is changed to a deduction. With a credit you get money
back if the credit is more than the tax you owe. With the deduction
you get no money back.
All
of these changes are designed to make up for the revenue that will be
lost by cutting the corporate tax rate. State and local tax
exemptions are on the chopping block, which will hurt people who live
in high-tax states like New York and California (incidentally, states
that voted against 45). The ability to deduct mortgage interest will
be curtailed for people whose homes cost more than $500,000.
In some places, like Manhattan, parts of Washington, DC and San
Francisco, $500,000 may not buy much. But Republicans need a win,
and they are willing to do almost anything to get it.
So
they are willing to tax university endowments, even though those
endowments generate much needed-operating funds and scholarship
dollars for colleges and universities. On the other hand, they have
proposed changing the 539 (the funds that parents can use to set
aside money for their children’s education) so that these funds
can also be used to fund private education. Meanwhile, through the
budget, public education is being cut. And though deductions are
being eliminated for individuals, corporate loopholes remain.
The
good news is that the House and Senate have different versions of tax
cuts (let’s cut the nonsense and stop calling it reform), and
they will have to negotiate some compromises to get a bill through.
The bad news is that both houses agree that the corporate tax rate
should be cut, no matter what kind of deficit it causes. We’ve
walked down this “trickle down” path before. The theory
is that if you cut corporate taxes, corporations will have more money
to pump into the economy, and that will generate jobs and more
economic growth, which will generate more tax dollars. There is no
evidence whatsoever that such a theory works. Indeed, it didn’t
work when Ronald Reagan was President, and most recently, bailing the
banks out in 2008 didn’t pump more money into the economy as
the theorists hoped. Instead, banks held onto the money many hoped
they would invest, and tightened credit requirements making it more
difficult for individuals and businesses to borrow, and impeding
growth.
Why
are Republicans so intent on rewarding corporations at the expense of
individuals, especially those with incomes below $100,000? Because
too many of them have been bought and paid for by their corporate
interests. And we know the millionaires and billionaires in Congress
and the White House will benefit from these changes. We just don’t
know by how much, since 45 has still not released his tax returns.
The
man who said he’d stand for the working class is standing
beside the tax reform that will hurt them. But they voted for him,
believing he hype. When will they figure that they got played?
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