The
results are in. The Democrats have swept the 2017 gubernatorial
elections in New Jersey and Virginia, much needed victories to push
back against the Trump takeover of the national government and
twenty-six governorships and state legislatures. New Jersey and
Virginia were the first proxies in this battle royal to prevent the
corporate Cartel from the mass privatization of public-sector
institutions. However, a closer analysis of the aforementioned
victories reveals remaining problems of political decision making and
organizing that Democrats must address in these states if they are to
have success in the future.
In
New Jersey, Phil Murphy, the Democratic standard bearer, soundly
defeated Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno, his Republican opponent, by thirteen
points (56 percent to 43 percent). Guadagno was crippled by having
served under departing Gov. Chris Christie whose bombastic
personality, political scandals, and close ties to President Trump
caused his approval numbers to tumble to fourteen percent, the lowest
in history for a governor leaving office. But an interesting
sideshow of the election season was the New Jersey Education
Association’s (NJEA) targeting of State Sen. Steve Sweeney (D),
the powerful President of the New Jersey State Senate, for defeat,
while endorsing and funding a Republican challenger, Fran Grenier, a
Trump-supporter. Although NJEA had endorsed and contributed to
Sweeney’s campaign in all his previous elections, the union was
angered by his refusal to support a constitutional amendment that
would have required the state to fully fund teacher pensions which
are currently running a deficit.
This
state senate race turned out to be the most expensive in New Jersey’s
history with NJEA spending approximately $5 million. But Sweeney was
able to more than counter these expenditures with the backing of his
political mentor, George Norcross, a multimillionaire businessman,
who is the most powerful Democrat in the state, and “dark
money” donations from the corporate Cartel. In addition,
Democratic legislators gave Sweeney their total support. But the
most curious aspect of this political episode was that the NJEA
endorsed Phil Murphy for Governor, who also endorsed and campaigned
with Sen. Sweeney during the final week of the campaign.
Additionally,
Sweeny had the backing of the American Federation of Teachers (AFT)
splitting the major education unions; the AFT President, Randi
Weingarten, came to New Jersey to campaign with him. Likewise, forty
percent of NJEA members who live in Sweeney’s South Jersey
senate district voted for him, left that ballot line blank, or did
not show up at the polls. But the coup de grace was
Norcross’s standing get-out-the-vote (GOTV) army of thousands
in South Jersey that ensured the victories of numerous State
Assemblypersons, Senators, Mayors, County Freeholders, City
Councilpersons, and the newly elected governor. His political might
was on full display with Sweeney beating Grenier like a drum,
fifty-nine percent to forty-one percent. In effect, although NJEA
and its allies expended more money than ever in their failed
overthrow of a King, they had no field troops to turn out the vote.
TV ads, phone banks, mailings, and yard signs are not enough to win
an election against a powerhouse.
Norcross
and Sweeney solidified their power in the legislature, and let
Gov.-Elect Murphy see their influence before he takes office. Murphy
will be unable to get anything done without their support. But the
burning question is: what retribution, if any, will Sweeney seek
against NJEA for their political challenge, which he termed a
double-cross?
Down
the road, Virginia retained control of the statewide offices—Governor
(Ralph Northam), Lt. Governor (electing the second African American,
Justin Fairfax), and Attorney General (Mark Herring) by seven to nine
percentage points—all of whom run on separate ballot lines.
And the Democrats erased thirty-two seats in the
Republican-controlled House which should result in a Democratic
overthrow of the Republican legislature after the runoff votes are
counted. Advocates for Lesbian, Gay, Bi-sexual and Transgender
(LGBT) rights were able to reach out across the electorate and speak
to broad interests. As a consequence, Danica Roem became the first
transgender candidate elected to a state House in history.
Virginia’s
Democratic Progressives were heavily involved in all the races and
had an abundance of boots on the ground via Mobilize America, Higher
Ground Labs, and Planned Parenthood. The latter organized against
draconian anti-choice legislation developed by arch-conservative
Republican legislators. Millennials were a major focus of this
outreach as their turnout was low during the 2016 presidential
election. The Progressives perfected a GOTV tactic that could bear
fruit in 2018 U.S. House and Senate, and state legislative races. It
will be imperative that these initiatives be successful if the
corporate Cartel is to be held at bay.
Public education may be
in deep trouble in New Jersey in the aftermath of the New Jersey
elections despite the Democratic victories. Coupled with the
impending Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) Janus
decision, scheduled to be heard in January 2018, the collection
of agency fees, the life blood of many unions, will most assuredly be
eliminated. And corporate charter schools will be put on an even
more aggressive fast track, reducing the ranks of public school
teachers and the budgets for public schools. But Virginia appears to
have dodged a bullet to the heart of public education and equality by
defeating the most rabid advocates of public-sector privatization.
The
Democrats, unions, and the general citizenry must get their acts
together if they are to stave off an overthrow of democracy.
|