I
began election night with exuberance. I was among the many who
forecast a Hillary win. The only disagreement among my circle was
how big the Hillary rout would be. I thought she’d get at
least 300 electoral votes, and hoped that she’d thump Trump by
getting as many as 340, holding him to less than 200 votes. The
tables were turned and Trump was the one doing the thumping, with the
electoral vote count estimated to be 306-232 (at this writing, final
counts were not in). Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote,
garnering around 400,000 more votes than Donald Trump.
White
folks won the day for Trump in an amazing showing of white
solidarity. Trump took 58 percent of the white vote, but did not
get a majority vote from any other racial/ethnic group. Only 8
percent of African Americans voted for trump. He did better among
Asian Americans (29 percent) and Hispanics (30 percent). White
people repudiated Hillary Clinton and embraced Trump, despite his
racist, misogynistic, and jingoistic rhetoric, as one of their own.
Hillary
Clinton counted on white women, especially college-educated white
women, to save the day for her. But Trump won 53 percent of the
white female vote. He won 45 percent of the college-educated white
women’s vote, losing that vote to Hillary Clinton by just 6
percentage points. Sixty-two percent of white women who didn’t
go to college voted for Trump, while just 34 percent voted for
Clinton. College educated white women’s narrow vote for
Clinton did not overcome the overwhelming support other whites gave
him. White women valued culture and class over gender. Many of
them are the mothers, daughters, sisters or wives of the white men
who gave Trump 63 percent of their vote.
Hillary
Clinton failed to energize the base, or transcend the indifference
that too many voters felt for her. Turnout was only 56.8 percent,
just one percent higher than 2012, and lower than the 58.2 percent
turnout in 2008. More than 95 million people who were eligible to
vote failed to vote.
The
Republican vote was similar for Trump and for Mitt Romney, the last
Republican Presidential nominee. Democrats turned out in much lower
numbers for Clinton than they did for Obama. Why? Voter suppression
is part of the answer. There were nearly 900 fewer voting places in
2016 than in 2012. Further, states like Wisconsin, which Hillary
lost by less than a percentage point, introduced new voter ID laws
between 2012 and 2016. Clinton lost by less than 2 percent of the
vote in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Florida.
People
of color were more likely to be affected by voter suppression
measures than whites. In Durham, North Carolina, voting machines
weren’t working, and a judge ruled to keep the polls open
longer to compensate for the broken machines. Clinton lost North
Carolina by less than 4 percent. How many more might have voted but
for broken machines and other chicanery? How many spent hours in
line, and how many had to leave lines because they had to go to work?
Hillary
Clinton ended her campaign with more than $50 million in the bank!
Might some of that money have made a difference in energizing the
base? Could more people have been put on payroll as organizers in
battleground states, especially North Carolina and Pennsylvania?
Should grass-roots organizers have received more resources? Lots of
fingers can be pointed in this post-election analysis, but analysis
notwithstanding, Trump won. It hurts to write that reality down, but
it is a reality we will all have to grapple with for four years.
Part
of the ugly reality is the realization that too many of our fellow
citizens have embraced a racially divisive candidate whose rhetoric
has unleashed hateful speech and attitudes. The Detroit News
reported that students in Oakland, Michigan blocked pathways of
Latino students coming to school, shouting, “build the wall”.
These children are emulating their elders, including the
“President-elect”. The nonpartisan education news
website, the74million.org, has reported that “election-related”
school violence is on the rise in the wake of the Trump victory.
Donald
Trump was able to tap into the angst that too many whites felt during
the Obama presidency, and win the Presidency in the name of white
solidarity and white supremacy. It seems incongruous that a rich,
privileged, urban businessman should become the voice of the working
class disgruntled, the rural neglected (Trump got 62 percent of the
rural vote), and white women. But this is the new reality, the
triumph of white privilege and hate rhetoric.
Whites
are just 40 percent of the population in California, a state that
gave Hillary Clinton 61.5 percent of its vote. And the Census
reports that by 2044 there will be no majority group in our nation.
White
folks might as well enjoy Trump while they can, but time and
demographics are on our side. White supremacy won’t reign
forever.
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