The
U.S. two party system is entering a period of major realignment. This
observation is based on the anti-elitist movement within both
parties reflected in the rise of Donald Trump on the Republican
side,and Bernie Saunders on the Democratic side. Working-class anger,
and
predominantly White, is propelling Trump to a possible nomination as
the Republican Party presidential nominee. And while Sanders is
still trailing Hillary Clinton (mostly due to the endorsement of her
candidacy by ‘super delegates’), the swirl of economic
justice that has propelled his candidacy for the Democratic Party
nomination is significant and growing to a point where the writer and
activist Van Jones has referred to a ‘civil war’ within the Party.
Although these two developments are different in terms of
a range of domestic issues and foreign policy world views, they
nevertheless share a rejection of the status of elites in both
Parties. There are also differences between the elites of both parties
on a range of issues. But both sets of elites are bulwarked
by massive corporate wealth which has become rapidly more concentrated
over the decades regardless of the Party in power.
Both
parties are in a political thicket that could very well spell major
party transformations. For the Republicans: the more the elites in
this Party and their allies suggest Trump represents the most dangerous
campaign ever facing America, the more support he seems to
garner among working-class and angered Whites (and a few others). If
Trump is denied the nomination it is not clear that his supporters
will simply resign themselves to whomever might be the nominee. This
could mean that many Trump supporters may sit out the election. And
if Trump does win the nomination there is much talk among Republicans
about not supporting him due to his divisive and bullying style.
Interestingly, the threat of non-support on the part of some Republican
leaders is not due to the policies Trump is advocating but
rather electoral style and openly divisive language. In fact, there are
many policy similarities among the Republican candidates.
The
growing support for Bernie Sanders is also a major problem for Hillary
Clinton if she were to get the Democratic Party nomination. Sanders
offers a fundamental class critique of the U.S. economy and espouses
strongly the need to hold accountable a wanton free market
that continually employs its resources to weaken any attempts to
regulate its excesses. His candidacy is highlighting some potential
limitations to a Clinton victory in the general election. One is that
she has moved considerably towards the left to adopt some of the
positions advocated by Sanders. On the one hand this is logical if
Sanders is garnering so much support within the Democratic Party. But,
ironically, this very move to the left can be viewed as opportunistic
and thereby increase the lack of trust with Clinton on
the part of many voters whether they are progressive or not. If
mistrust is a factor in electoral turnout, then it could spell big
problems for Clinton as a presidential candidate.
There
is another potential limitation to a successful Clinton race for
President of the United States: while it has been African American
and Latino/a voters who have saved her in some Southern states, for the
most part these particular supporters represent sectors that have
been long linked to the fate of the Democratic Party. They include
many, but not all, elected officials and traditional Democratic
voters who happen to be African American or Latino. But as I argued
in The Politics of Black Empowerment: The Transformation of Black Activism in Urban America (African American Life Series)
(Wayne
State University
Press, 1992), the two Jesse Jackson presidential campaigns clearly
showed that the Black electorate is not monolithic in terms of class
or loyalty to the Democratic Party. In addition to the more traditional
voters, there is a sector that I called at the time, a
community activist one, and another sector that is disconnected,
or“politically divorced” from politics. That traditional
Democratic Party African-American voters supported Hillary Clinton
during this primary season may speak little about support or lack
thereof, among these two other sectors that tend to be more critical of
both Parties. High Black electoral turnout in local and national
races occur when these intra Black community sectors all turnout in
relatively high numbers. This has yet to happen during the current
primary season and it may not happen in the general election if Clinton
relies solely on her loyal Black supporters.
Disillusionment
leading to political disengagement on the part of potential voters that
are needed by Clinton to win can also come from the ‘math’
used to earn the presidential nomination. If it is perceived that
Clinton wins the nomination based essentially on the support of super
delegates representing the elites of the Democratic Party (these
include elected officials and dignitaries), then this could backfire
on her. So far, basic arithmetic shows that if these super delegates
were not included, in fact, the race for the nomination is extremely
close between Saunders and Clinton. Only in the conservative South does
Clinton beat Sanders in a lopsided way (and due, in large part,
to the African American voters who turned out in these
primaries);outside the South the Clinton wins are based on very close
races with
Sanders. If ‘math’ trumps basic arithmetic it could serve to minimize
that millions of Americans and states were won by Sanders
in the primary season and possibly lead to a lower turnout among
potential Democratic Party supporters.
These
concerns and potential imitations is precisely why the Democratic Party
mainstream (and others) are highlighting the danger of Trump as
presidential candidate. Whatever you may think of Hillary Clinton, in
other words, nothing can be worse than a President Donald Trump,
so the argument goes. Again, this suggests that the other Republican
candidates would be a better alternative even if they hold similar
right-wing positions!
People
who see themselves as progressive should put the sincerity of this
Democratic Party argument to the test. In other words, if Clinton
wins the nomination and we all must do whatever is necessary to stop
Trump, then what is Clinton and the Democratic Party willing to do to
help ensure this, beyond the call that Trump has to be stopped? This is
where an independent front steps in, with a concrete set of
progressive policies that have to be endorsed and supported by Clinton
in order to maintain a coalition to defeat Trump, or any of
the Republican Party presidential candidates.
Twenty-two
years ago I claimed that neither the Republican nor the Democratic
Party will pursue a decisive agenda of economic democracy unless they
are politically forced to, through a progressive third party or a third
party-like front. I stated: “Americans interested in
seeing the major parties adopt more progressive stances in eliminating
racial and class divisions, including poverty, should
seek to support an independent front, or third party, that could at
least influence the policies adopted by the Democrats and
Republicans.” Further, “A third party”…[or a third front built around
progressive issues]…that mobilizes
voters effectively, and runs independents for electoral office can be,
in effect, an important bargaining chip for poor and working
class people, as well as people of color.” (“The Need for a Third Party
in U.S. Politics” was published in the New
Political Science
journal in 1994). I am emphasizing here that
such a front, or coalition could assert significant impact in pushing
national candidates towards stronger policies reflecting social
justice and economic democracy over the interests of corporate wealth
and power.
There
are differences between the two national parties in spite of how both
are supported by massive corporate wealth and greed. And, which
party will be able to facilitate its choice to the U.S. Supreme Court
is a major concern, of course. But a way to emphasize the
progressive positions of one party over the other cannot be through
a‘lesser of the devil’ approach. This actually limits
debate and discourse, but worse, it neutralizes mobilization for a
progressive agenda. Fighting a Trump presidential candidacy has to
be on the basis of challenging racial and class inequality
throughconcrete public policies, and increasing the capacity to
mobilize
masses of Americans around these issues, not on whether or not Trump
happens to be the scariest.
The
need to continuing building an independent front is not a new idea,of
course. As one example, the model of the Workers Families Party
should be expanded beyond the 2016 presidential election. This is an
independent party that gradually has been building its base and
membership in New York and other states. It utilizes an independent
front to endorse or work on behalf of Democratic Party candidates who
are perceived as progressive (in this case, Bernie Saunders). I am not
necessarily advocating on behalf of this particular party, but
only suggesting that similarly there should be local efforts to build
electoral independent fronts that can continue putting progressive
pressure on the Democratic Party by supporting or withholding support.
In
a recent Huffington Post
commentary (March 25, 2016) Miles
Mogulescu discussed the timeliness of mobilizing inside and outside the
2 party box: “There has rarely been a better opportunity to
create and build a permanent, national progressive organization than
has been afforded by the Sanders campaign. The historical moment is
right, with Bernie winning millions of supporters' votes for his
campaign against a rigged economic and political system, against
institutional racism and a broken criminal justice system, and for
aggressive action to combat climate change.”
Reflecting
this last sentiment, it is more critical than ever to consider how
progressive interests and coalitions can advance electorally both
within the 2 party system, but also outside of it. No longer should the
debate about strategies and tactics associated with progressive
agendas be confined by the boundaries of the current 2 party system,or
what political scientist
E.E.
Schattschneider described a long time ago (1960) as the
“Republican-Democratic electoral lock.” What might be
the most effective local and national mechanisms for making this
happen, given the enormous presence of concentrated wealth in both
Parties? This is a question that we have to confront and answer
regardless of what happens in the current primary season, or the next
general election.
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