Back
in December, when it was obvious that the economy was in bad shape
and before we knew how precarious it could get, Fareed Zakaria,
editor of Newsweek International and columnist for Newsweek
and the Washington Post, wrote, “For Obama to be remembered
as a great president, he has to do nothing less than rescue capitalism.”
When I first read those words my first thought was: that’s a lot
of weight to put on a brother. I suppose Zakaria has had second
thoughts about this as it is becoming increasingly obvious that
in either the medium or the long term, it will take a lot more than
the President to rescue the system. Set aside for the moment the
question of the possibility or even desirability of saving capitalism;
right now, most people are entrusting the President to do something
about the present catastrophe.
The
fact is, capitalism is bankrupt. It’s run out of capital. “I think
we just have to admit we’re broke,” says House Minority Leader John
A. Boehner. A system that is supposed to be self-perpetuating -
albeit with ups and downs - has come up short. It’s not that the
banks are just stubborn about lending out money. It will soon become
clear that many of their vaults are stuffed with near worthless
paper. And so to keep going, the system must turn to the public.
Funds collected through taxation to “protect the general welfare”
of the country are being siphoned off into the tanks of banks, financial
speculation operations and insurance companies. The government is
propping them up by buying up their assets. Regrettably, the Feds
are not acquiring much control over how the injected funds are used.
But
it’s not just the banks that have run out of capital. The bigger
crisis is in the core of the “real economy.” “The destructive global
power of the financial crisis became clear last year,” The Economist
said in an editorial last month. “The immensity of the manufacturing
crisis is still sinking in, largely because it is seen in national
terms - indeed, often nationalistic ones. In fact manufacturing
is also caught up in a global whirlwind. Having bailed out the financial
system, governments are now being called on to save industry, too.
Next to scheming bankers, factory workers look positively deserving.
Manufacturing is still a big employer and it tends to be a very
visible one, concentrated in places like Detroit,
Stuttgart and Guangzhou. The failure of a famous manufacturer like General Motors
(GM) would be a severe blow to people’s faith in their own prospects
when a lack of confidence is already dragging down the economy.
So surely it is right to give industry special support?”
The
magazine went on to argue against bailing out individual sectors
or industries. But that doesn’t mean it won’t happen. Although some
influential voices in the world of capital are for allowing the
auto industry to go quickly into bankruptcy, the likelihood is that
more public funds will start pouring in to prop up GM, Chrysler
and Ford just as Japan,
Canada, Germany,
Italy and France pour public funds into the coffers of their
local car and truck manufactories. And as things stand now there
is no reason to believe the assistance will be limited to a single
industry. Here too the government will be buying up assets and doling
out guaranteed loans. Here too, the Feds are unlikely to demand
much control over how the injected funds are used.
Last
Sunday, in a CNN discussion with the Canadian Prime Minister, Zakaria
opined, “We don’t have to reinvent capitalism.” Perhaps not. But
clearly there is going to have to be some reconfiguration. Without
some structural changes in the way the system operates worldwide,
things could easily go from the current bad to worse.
“It
would be fairly easy to dismiss the gleeful boast by President Nicolas
Sarkozy of France that American-style capitalism is over, to file
it with French critiques of fast food and American pop culture,
the New York Times said editorially back in October, before
the election. “Except that the United States government now owns stakes in the
nation’s biggest banks. It controls one of the biggest insurance
companies in the world. It guarantees more than half the mortgages
in the country. Finance - the lifeblood of capitalism - has to a
substantial degree been taken over by the state. Yet much more will
be needed than just putting the bridle back on American banks,”
said the paper.
“The
question is what new direction capitalism should take,” said the
Times. “In a globally interconnected world, the United States cannot simply march back to the
gray flannel capitalism of the 1950s and 1960s when regulations
were tough and coddled monopolies dominated the corporate world.
Still,
the next president will have a chance, not to be missed, to re-evaluate
some tenets of the freewheeling, deregulated version of a market
economy that has dominated America since the
Reagan administration.”
“The
next government must re-establish some notion of equity of opportunity,”
said the Times. “Investment is desperately needed in health
care, education, infrastructure. The social contract and the government’s
role in it should be examined anew. Addressing these challenges
will be an enormous task - especially amid the bitter recession
that most economists expect over the next year or so. But they must
be faced. Fixing finance is merely the start.”
If
that is indeed the case, imagine where we would be if Obama had
lost the election. Can you imagine John McCain even admitted the
existence of a “social contract”? And keep that in mind next time
you hear mention of Governor Bobby Jindel.
A
few weeks ago I made the suggestion here that the government simply
acquire the sinking auto companies, run them and reorient them toward
“green” production of high speed rail cars, wind turbines and implements
needed for the massive infrastructure projects now contemplated.
I used the dreaded “n” word (nationalization) and drew some negative
responses. Some argued for new public-private enterprises with partial
worker ownership and voting power. Sounds good to me as long as
public funds are used for public good and the objective is socially
useful and ecologically sound production.
There
are a lot of useful things that we can begin now that would not
require funneling taxpayer money through the near-comatose banking
system and would stave off ghastly rising unemployment. The government
could simply set up shop and start building things we need and providing
needed services. As with the eventual nationalization of the banks
- now an almost a foregone conclusion - the people in Washington
could pledge to return the new facility assets to private enterprise
as soon as they become going concerns. That way they could avoid
being tagged with the “s” word (socialism) which some people consider
a bad thing. Of course, along the way we just might decide democratically
that an only-marginally profitable enterprise serving a public need
well might just as well stay in public hands.
While
not all would agree with assigning Obama the responsibility for
saving capitalism, few observers shrink from asserting that what
his administration is able to accomplish amid this crisis will affect
the entire world. Neanderthal Russ Limbaugh and the screaming meanies
might hope Obama fails, but most of the rest of the planet seems
to be praying he does not.
“Pity
President Barack Obama,” wrote Martin Wolf, associate editor and
chief economics commentator at the Financial Times as the
year began. “He won power partly because of the global economic
crisis. He
himself, most of his fellow citizens and much of the rest of the
world agree that the US broke the world
economy and now has the duty to fix it. Unhappily, this consensus
is false. The crisis is a product of the global economy. It cannot
be cured by the US
alone.”
“Happily,
Mr. Obama has the authority needed to lead the world towards a resolution:
his hands are clean, and his lack of desire to exculpate his country
is evident,” Wolf continued. “It is also in the interest of his
country and the world that the world economy be put on a sounder
footing. Should this effort fail, I fear a resurgence of protectionism
will be the outcome.”
“Now
think what will happen if, after two or more years of monstrous
fiscal deficits, the US is still mired
in unemployment and slow growth,” Wolf continued. “People will ask
why the country is exporting so much of its demand to sustain jobs
abroad. They will want their demand back. The last time this sort
of thing happened - in the 1930s - the outcome was a devastating
round of beggar-my-neighbor devaluations, plus protectionism. Can
we be confident we can avoid such dangers? On the contrary, the
danger is extreme. Once the integration of the world economy starts
to reverse and unemployment soars, the demons of our past - above
all, nationalism - will return. Achievements of decades may collapse
almost overnight.
“…Welcome
to 2009. This is a year in which the fate of the world economy will
be determined, maybe for generations. Some entertain hopes that
we can restore the globally unbalanced economic growth of the middle
years of this decade. They are wrong. Our choice is only over what
will replace it. It is between a better balanced world economy and
disintegration. That choice cannot be postponed. It must be made
this year.”
When
people in the business and financial media rue the possibility of
“protectionism” - which they do with increased frequency and shrillness
these days - they mean something quite specific.
“Let
us be clear about what is at stake,” writes Wolf. “It is essential
to clean up the huge current mess. But it is also evident that an
open world economy will be unsustainable if it remains dependent
on bubbles. Collapse of globalization is now no small risk.”
Well,
there’s globalization and then there’s globalization. The transnational
capitalists may want to keep it going but much of the planet recognizes
that the neo-liberal policies global capitalism has fostered have
resulted to gross inequities and are partly responsible for the
current crisis.
There
are many indications that the world economic situation is a lot
worse than we’re being told. It’s probably enough to note that billionaire
Warren Buffett says the U.S.
economy is in “shambles” and will remain so for a least the rest
of this year. “The crisis today is spreading even faster (than the
Great Depression) and affects more countries at the same time,”
Pascal Lamy, the head of the World Trade Organization (WTO) said
recently.
The
current situation is what German Chancellor Angela Merkel calls
terms an “extraordinary international crisis.” As the Financial
Times put it last week, “All of Europe is heading towards its
worst economic crisis since the 1930s.” On Sunday The Independent
(UK) said editorially,
“Collapsing global demand has hammered the exports of the emerging
economies of Central and Eastern Europe. Investors
are frantically pulling out their money, pushing down the value
of national currencies. Almost all of these former darlings of global
capitalism are likely to see their economies contract sharply in
2009. The quicker you rise the harder you can fall, and these former
Soviet satellites are falling hard indeed. Unemployment is rising
and borrowers are being cruelly squeezed.” The Japanese economy
is in a tailspin. Industrial collapse is driving millions of Chinese
workers back into rural poverty.
One
government change is worth noticing, The Central Intelligence Agency
now gives the President daily briefing on the world economic situation
and its implications for international security.
British
Prime Minister Gordon Brown is in Washington this week where he
says he and President Obama will discuss “a global new deal” the
impact of which “can stretch from the villages of Africa to reforming
the financial institutions of London and New York – and giving security
to the hard-working families in every country.”
“I
see this global new deal as an agreement that every continent injects
resources into its economy,” says Brown. “I believe that central
to this new investment is that every country backs a green recovery
for the future, that every country that wishes to participate in
the international financial system agrees common principles for
financial regulation, coordinated internationally, and changes to
their own banking system that will bring us shared prosperity once
again. And that, together, we must agree to reform the mandate and
governance of global institutions to recognize the changing shape
of the world economy and the emergence of new players.”
That’s
a tall order. Assuming it’s possible, it won’t be accomplished by
the “special relationship” between Washington
and London. It will require the collaboration of the nations of the European
Union (the governments of which Brown is at frequent loggerheads)
and the Chinese, the Russians, and the Brazilians, and the South
Africans and others. The problem is that capitalism as it currently
operates is an impediment to such international cooperation - just
as it is to dealing with climate change, AIDs, and world hunger.
“Mr.
Obama is present at the re-creation of the global economic system.”
writes Wolf of the Financial Times. “It is a challenge he
has to take up,” Like I said, that’s a lot of weight.
BlackCommentator.com
Editorial
Board member Carl Bloice is a writer in San
Francisco, a member of the National Coordinating Committee of
the Committees of Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism
and formerly worked for a healthcare union. Click here
to contact Mr. Bloice. |