Issue 
          Number 17 - November 21, 2002
         
          
           
           
           
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        African 
          Americans remain in remarkable, consistent agreement on political issues, 
          a shared commonality of views that holds strongly across lines of income, 
          gender and age. The Black Commentator's analysis of biannual data from 
          the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies confirms the vitality 
          of a broad Black Consensus. Most importantly, the data show that Black 
          political behavior has not deviated from recent historical patterns, 
          nor is any significant Black demographic group likely to diverge from 
          these patterns in the immediate future.
        In newspaper terms, 
          there is no "split" among African Americans on core political 
          issues. In those cases in which questions posed to the 850 Blacks surveyed 
          by the JCPES produced divergent answers - notably, a hypothetical query 
          on school vouchers and expressions of increased "independence" 
          from political parties among young Blacks - the survey indicated that 
          the actual political behavior of the responders remained generally consistent 
          with that of other Blacks.
        Despite blatant 
          misuse and distortions of the JCPES survey by the Right and corporate 
          media, the survey reveals very little political space for conservative 
          inroads among the ranks of African Americans. However, the JCPES survey, 
          based on comparisons of white and Black answers to the same questions, 
          and about issues and personalities given daily weight in the corporate 
          media, has built-in limitations, of which the center's researchers are 
          aware. 
        The dramatic similarities 
          among Blacks, made even more compelling when compared to the general 
          views of whites, hide the textures and sophistication of African American 
          thought and perceptions. Within these clear areas of broad agreement, 
          Blacks do disagree on many things - but not necessarily in ways that 
          are useful to voucher advocates or Republicans, nor in ways that the 
          JCPES poll was designed to detect.
        What polls reveal, 
          and what they do not
        African Americans 
          are and have always been, in fact, clumped together on the left side 
          of the conventional American political spectrum. An objective reading 
          of the JCPES survey confirms some of the underlying basis for Blacks' 
          liberal voting patterns - which is long term bad news for the Right 
          and self-styled Black conservatives. Still, this is not good enough 
          news for Black progressives, since the task of organizing people for 
          political action requires an understanding of how they actually feel 
          about issues as they relate to their own lives and in the context 
          of their group's particular world view, rather than within the framework 
          presented by American corporate media.
        For these kinds 
          of insights, other types of tools are needed.
        "When it comes 
          to mainstream electoral politics, it appears that we agree about quite 
          a lot," says Harvard professor of Government and Afro-American 
          Studies Dr. Michael C. Dawson. "However, there are several things 
          that are 'masked' by that. For example, we [Blacks] could all look like 
          liberal Democrats compared to the rest of them [whites], but among each 
          other, some Blacks look like Mondale Democrats, some of them look like 
          Clinton Democrats, and some of them look like Swedish Social Democrats 
          - more of them look like that."
        To the extent that 
          researchers can penetrate the apples-and-oranges distortions of white-Black 
          surveys - which inevitably produce "masking" - they can elicit 
          responses that more usefully reveal deeply held opinions, and are predictive 
          of Black political behavior, such as voting.
        Dr. Dawson is author 
          of Black Visions: The Roots of Contemporary African-American Political 
          Ideologies and former director of the University of Chicago's Center 
          for the Study of Race, Politics and Culture. "Part of the problem," 
          he says, "is that, given the truncated political space we are given 
          in the United States, there's not a lot of space where we can voice 
          our true preference."
        The JCPES poll, 
          objectively reviewed, refutes the corporate media myth of creeping 
          conservatism among Blacks, provides little basis for a groundswell of 
          school voucher sentiment, and reveals no evidence that Black youth are 
          lurching into nontraditional political allegiances. These are claims 
          made by partisans of the Right, not by JCPES's Dr. David Bositis, a 
          careful and conscientious researcher. 
         's 
          analysis is limited to confronting the interpretations given to the 
          JCPES poll by corporate media and others who are attempting to declare 
          the Black Consensus dead or dying. We understand that JCPES is compelled 
          to raise questions about false issues like vouchers, because powerful 
          forces demand that they be raised, and because news-producers bow to 
          these forces. Corporate media shapes the dialogue and the JCPES, like 
          all of the rest of us, cannot escape the howling conversation.
's 
          analysis is limited to confronting the interpretations given to the 
          JCPES poll by corporate media and others who are attempting to declare 
          the Black Consensus dead or dying. We understand that JCPES is compelled 
          to raise questions about false issues like vouchers, because powerful 
          forces demand that they be raised, and because news-producers bow to 
          these forces. Corporate media shapes the dialogue and the JCPES, like 
          all of the rest of us, cannot escape the howling conversation. 
        But on closer inspection, 
          we see nothing morbid is going on. The Black Consensus is alive and 
          kicking. It's just complicated.
        Hollow Headlines
        The political tone 
          and agenda of the nation is set by partisan advertisements posing as 
          news headlines. The anxiously anticipated JCPES poll of Black opinion 
          gave the corporate media a chance to spin their own wishful reality.
         
          Washington 
            Post
            Poll: Young Blacks More Independent
          Newsday 
            
            Survey Finds Black Voters Less Solidly Democratic
        
        As mid-term elections 
          approached, innocent readers, television viewers and radio listeners 
          were offered the headline-driven conclusion that Democrats were losing 
          their grip on the Black vote. The evidence from the JCPES survey of 
          850 Blacks and a slightly smaller number of whites, showed that African 
          American identification with the Democratic Party had slipped 11 points, 
          from 74 percent in 2000 to 63 percent in 2002 - a down slope that could 
          only help the GOP or, at the least, seriously depress the Black Democrat 
          vote. Or so went the wishful, conventional wisdom
        Mostly unmentioned 
          were the results of the JCPES 1999 survey, which had found 68 percent 
          of African Americans identifying themselves as Democrats. One year later, 
          during the heat of a presidential campaign, the figure rose six points 
          to 74 percent, then fell 11 points over two years of the Bush presidency 
          to the announced 63 percent level - a net loss of only 5 points since 
          1999. 
        What looked like 
          a very serious downward trend could as easily be interpreted as something 
          much less significant: the trough of a very gentle wave moving up and 
          down through periods of very different events. 1999 was a non-election 
          year, 2000 a presidential year, and 2002 a congressional year. 
        What we are much 
          more likely seeing is a deepening disappointment with the Democratic 
          Party among Blacks. Often, such emotional feelings are all that 
          polling questions that call for self-description can evoke. The survey 
          asked, "Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or an 
          independent?" The question actually allows the responder to choose 
          among a wide range of options, not just three. 
        This is not a country 
          of political card-carriers. Identification with a political party is 
          not voting - it is not, necessarily, even preference. The JCPES question 
          allows people who have always voted Democrat to call themselves independents. 
          It's also OK for self-described Republicans who have been unwilling 
          to vote for that party's particular nominees to retain the identification. 
          And of course, non-voters have the easy option of calling themselves 
          "independents," or anything else they feel like saying. 
        We are emphatically 
          not arguing that the JCPES employed a meaningless question. However, 
          as an indicator of voting behavior in the short term, the question is 
          of little utility, as proven by subsequent election returns. The big 
          scare that the media tried to put into the Democrats was baseless on 
          its face, as have been all the apocalyptic headlines that warned of 
          imminent Black desertion of the party. These headlines are inspired 
          by wishful thinking from the Right.
        The ebbs and flows 
          of Black political self-description are worth watching in the context 
          of where the bulk of Black voters and potential voters actually sit 
          in the political spectrum. "Soft" data based on feelings, 
          such as the Do you consider yourself question, must be evaluated 
          against hard, known data, like voting patterns. 
        When this context 
          is introduced, the slow erosion of Black self-identification with the 
          Democratic Party makes perfect sense. We know from decades of 
          elections data that Blacks generally vote for the most "left" 
          Democratic candidate available. We know that Black America, based 
          on voting patterns, supports candidates to the left of national Democratic 
          Party leadership (their own congressional representatives, for example.) 
          And we know from both election information and every established 
          poll taken in the last 40 years that African Americans endorse in 
          principle government programs associated with the left wing of the 
          Democratic Party. (This includes "welfare," broadly described. 
          Black complaints against welfare primarily involve cheating and abuse, 
          rather than maintenance of people in need.)
        What can we make 
          of the slippage in Black identification with the Democrats in 2002? 
          Nothing that favors Republicans or conservatives of any stripe. Enough 
          Blacks were disappointed with the party this mid-term election season 
          to eliminate the word Democrat from their personal self-description. 
          But they voted for the party, anyway, in the usual numbers, because 
          their disappointment was from the Left, and because the Right - the 
          Republican Party - was no alternative at all. 
        It is at this point 
          that Dr. Michael Dawson's Swedish Social Democrat-type Blacks become 
          relevant. Black voters are not simply darker American "liberals." 
          As Dr. Dawson maintains, African Americans express themselves in the 
          same way as do white American liberals at the polls, because that is 
          the only option available. When that option appears to collapse, as 
          the Democrats did in fear of George Bush, substantial numbers of African 
          Americans recoil in despair and disgust - as would any good, Swedish 
          Social Democrat. In the end, however, they have continued to show up 
          to vote against the GOP.
        A proper headline 
          to announce the results from the JCPES survey might have read:
        
           Poll: 
            Blacks Disappointed at 
            Democrats, But Reject GOP
        
        Professionals in 
          both parties know perfectly well that the growing softness of Black 
          identification with Democrats represents Left discontent. Real news 
          people understand this, as well. Yet the fiction of a growing body of 
          political conservatism among Blacks has become media dogma, despite 
          the absence of supporting evidence. Corporations create their own version 
          of reality, and call it news.
        When it came to 
          the hard question, "Who would you vote for?" in the 
          looming congressional elections, the ambiguities of self-identification 
          partially disappeared, as the conservatives among Blacks made themselves 
          known. 10.9 percent of the Blacks surveyed said they planned to vote 
          Republican. As it turned out, one of every ten Black votes is near the 
          outer limits of what Republicans actually received, nationally, November 
          5.
        70.6 percent of 
          Blacks declared their intention to vote Democratic, while 18.5 said 
          they "don't know." The Don't-Knows either didn't vote at all 
          or, in much larger proportion, cast Democrat ballots. 
        We are not engaged 
          in second-guessing of the JCPES poll, but showing that even the 18.5 
          percent that remained reluctant to commit themselves to a Democratic 
          choice for the benefit of a pollster, never represented a potential 
          reservoir of Republican-leaning Black voters. In all probability, a 
          healthy slice of them were decidedly leftish, Swedish Social Democrat 
          types who needed time to overcome their disgust with the drift of the 
          Democratic Party. This is supported by JCPES numbers showing that the 
          51-64 age group, the cohort in which Republicans are all but non-existent 
          at 3.1%, contained the highest proportion of Don't-Knows: 22.1%. (This 
          is the Civil Rights - Black Power generation.)
        In the real world, 
          90%-plus Blacks voted for congressional Democrats. Many would have preferred 
          voting for Swedish Social Democrats.
          
          Black GOP: Gold-Oriented Politics 
        A few more notes 
          on Black Republicans: the numbers involved are so small that a tripling 
          of Blacks identifying themselves as Republicans may amount to a minor 
          event in the larger Black body politic, although it is liable to be 
          accompanied by a great deal of noise in rather small circles. It may 
          also be an ephemeral and tactically opportunistic phenomenon. 
        Between 2000 and 
          2002, African Americans among the 26-35 and 36-50 groups who called 
          themselves Republicans, went from 5 and 4 percent to 15 and 12 percent, 
          respectively. What happened? A change in power. Presumably, two out 
          of three of this year's age 26-50 Black Republicans called themselves 
          Democrats or independents two years ago, when an incumbent Democratic 
          regime was fighting to stay in power. When the Democrats lost, this 
          small group of previously non-Republicans switched to the new party 
          in power, creating a population explosion in their cohort's self-described 
          GOP ranks, although not much change in the age group as a whole. 
        It is apparent from 
          the JCPES data that what we are tracking is a tiny hustler class of 
          Blacks, ready to go with the flow of power in an instant. As such, they 
          are unreliable to whomever they ally with - only the party that has 
          already won can count on their support. What a worthless crew. Yet it 
          is from these sleazy, New Jack corners that we hear the most bombastic, 
          self-serving nonsense masquerading as insights into the "new Black 
          politics."
        The Youth factor
        
        Something important 
          is happening among Black youth; there is no doubt about it. Alarming 
          numbers of young African Americans are clearly becoming estranged from 
          conventional political life. It is not coincidental that a horrific 
          proportion of the young Black male population is also totally estranged 
          from civic life of any kind, existing instead in conditions of 
          incarceration or criminal justice system supervision. These statistics 
          dwarf the incremental movements between the columns of the JCPES poll, 
          and have vast ramifications for young Blacks' connectedness to social 
          and political institutions, including political parties.
        Do Black youth blame 
          the Democrats for the worsening quality of their lives? It would be 
          reasonable if they did, since Democrats have colluded with Republicans 
          to, among other crimes, create an American Gulag peopled largely by 
          young Blacks. More than any other cohort, youth are motivated by the 
          promise of change, rather than assurances of security. During the entire 
          conscious lifetimes of Black youth, Democrats have promised them nothing 
          but more of the same.
        So it is no surprise 
          that the JCPES poll found that the proportion of young Blacks describing 
          themselves as "independent" stood at 34 percent in 2002 - 
          the most subjectively unaffiliated cohort. (By "subjectively unaffiliated," 
          we mean that the responder does not feel a personal attachment to a 
          party, although he/she may vote for it.) These youngest adults logged 
          in at 36 percent "independent" during the presidential election 
          year 2000, and 30 percent in 1999. They have been very, very disappointed 
          for quite some time.
        We have already 
          described the actual political nature of the trend away from Black personal 
          identification with the Democratic Party, even more noteworthy in the 
          26-35 group, which moved five points, from 24 to 29 percent "independent," 
          between 2000 and 2002. The figures for the 18-25 age group have singular 
          meaning because, unlike the next two older cohorts, the youngsters do 
          not move even marginally to the Republican column, which remains 
          flat at 9%. These disappointed young Blacks are... out there, somewhere, 
          unattached to important civic institutions.
        This is yet another 
          sign of deep social crisis, a situation that is trivialized by linkage 
          to the transient fortunes of any year's Democrat candidates, as attempted 
          by Republicans and corporate media. A more appropriate headline might 
          read:
         
           Poll: Black 
            Youth Increasingly Despair 
            of Change Through Electoral Process
        
        Under the "independent" 
          column to which about one-third of young, Black potential voters retreat 
          lurks one important indicator of voting behavior - a negative one. "Strong 
          political partisans vote, while weak partisans don't," cautions 
          JCPES senior researcher David Bositis. "That means that younger 
          blacks vote much less than older blacks, and that is something to be 
          concerned about."
        Youthful Black "independents" 
          are probably among the most undependable voters of all. Their continued 
          estrangement is reaching structural proportions. When combined with 
          ever-escalating incarceration and felony conviction rates resulting 
          in permanent legal disenfranchisement, we are faced with a future in 
          which great chunks of Black America will no longer be counted among 
          even "potential" voters. 
        This is not a Democratic 
          Party problem. It is a catastrophe for African Americans as a people.
        21st Century Republicans 
          carry on in the tradition of their Ku Klux Klan and Dixiecrat political 
          ancestors, suppressing the overwhelmingly Democratic Black vote through 
          the complementary strategies of fraud and intimidation, on the one hand, 
          and blandishments to join the GOP feast, on the other. 
        Republican strategists 
          know exactly what the JCPES figures reveal: the prospect of a long term 
          sapping of Black electoral political vitality under uninspiring national 
          Democratic leadership. It is for this reason that Republican and conservative 
          TV pundits were most anxious to discourage Democrats from "going 
          back" to the days of leftist activism. Enthusiastic Democrats are 
          their worst nightmare. Apathetic, estranged Black youth portend extended 
          decades of Republican rule, not Black Republican voters.
        When African American 
          voices are heard applauding the growing numbers of Black youth gathered 
          under the "independent" column of the JCPES poll, they are 
          unknowingly celebrating a symptom of the cohort's deeper, societal 
          disconnection. 
        Nevertheless, when 
          young Blacks vote, they vote Democrat. They are solidly inside the Black 
          Consensus, which is located on the left of the American political spectrum.
        Vouchers: Hypothetical 
          numbers for a phony issue
        There is virtually 
          nothing to be learned from the responses to the JCPES question, "Would 
          you support a voucher system where parents would get money from the 
          government to send their children to the public, private or parochial 
          school of their choice?"
        This is a purely 
          hypothetical question. Only the tiniest fraction of the public in a 
          few scattered cities have observed the workings of the limited, recently 
          established and barely researched school voucher programs that exist 
          in the United States. These hastily inaugurated schemes are quite dissimilar 
          to one another. The value of vouchers varies, as does the availability, 
          stewardship and quality of alternative classrooms. In short, there is 
          no familiar model for school vouchers on which to develop an informed 
          opinion. There is only the language of the question.
        The voucher issue 
          has been imposed on Black America - almost as much an imposition 
          on the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies as on the rest 
          of us. The voucher "movement" is an invention of rightwing 
          think tanks, and has been sustained by corporate dollars. (And now, 
          by federal funding from the Bush Administration. See Trojan Horse Watch, 
          November 14 issue.) Corporate media transformed a corporate demand into 
          a Black community issue, in the absence of a demand from the Black community, 
          itself. 
        Through relentless 
          coverage of the activities of Right-funded voucher organizations, corporate 
          media thrust the non-issue into the faces of the public, and kept it 
          there. Black people have raised many issues over the past 40 years, 
          along with corresponding demands. Millions of person-hours have been 
          invested to organize demonstrations intended to bring media attention 
          to bear on grievances that resonate near-universally among Blacks on 
          issues of jobs, racial justice and, yes, educational opportunity. Sometimes 
          the media show up; just as often, they do not. Never, and nowhere, over 
          the course of decades, did vouchers for private schools emerge as a 
          cause with any observable Black following. 
        Yet, in the space 
          of only a few years, corporate media have designated vouchers a "Black" 
          concern, and elevated this non-issue to a newsworthiness far above demands 
          for economic and racial justice or - a more closely related issue of 
          deep concern to African Americans - equitable funding for urban schools. 
          
        No demonstrations 
          were necessary to push vouchers to the front pages. Corporate media 
          accedes to corporate demands.
        The JCPES poll is 
          designed to follow the headlines. We at the Black Commentator believe 
          we understand the survey's mission: to gauge Black opinion on issues 
          and personalities that are given prominence in the general media, and 
          to compare those opinions with those of whites.
        The net effect of 
          the poll, and others that preceded it, has been to create the perception 
          of a Black constituency for a cause that previously had none. 
        Blacks answered 
          57.4% affirmatively to the JCPES vouchers question, while 42.6% said 
          "No" to the broadly worded proposal - unchanged from the 2000 
          survey. The Black response was more positive than among whites, who 
          backed the general voucher idea 51.7 - 48.3%.
        What does the response 
          mean? We can only speculate about the response to a hypothetical question 
          regarding programs that exist in only a very few places. First, we must 
          state what the question and the answers emphatically do not provide: 
          indicators of behavior. 
        There is no reason 
          to believe that the respondents to the JCPES poll would vote in corresponding 
          proportions in a referendum for an actual school voucher program, put 
          forward by real politicians, paid for through an explicit formula, providing 
          specific amounts of money to send a set number of children to actually 
          existing schools offering a known curricula. There is a great difference 
          between hypothetical questions and those based on understood facts.
        We already know 
          how Blacks voted in Detroit, two years ago, in a referendum for an actual 
          vouchers program. Exit polls showed African Americans rejected vouchers 
          three to one, despite the fact that Detroit accounted for 181 of Michigan's 
          1,513 most poorly performing schools. Black Detroiters were more opposed 
          to vouchers than whites. The measure failed statewide, 69 - 31%.
        In the past 10 years, 
          California has defeated two vouchers proposals by wide margins, with 
          strong Black majorities on the "No" side both times. This 
          is the actual Black behavior that could not have been predicted 
          by the question in the JCPES poll.
        Black voters are 
          adept at determining who their enemies are. In real elections, voters 
          observe who is lining up behind what candidates and issues. In the polls 
          that truly counted, African Americans took note of their historic opponents 
          arrayed in support of vouchers, and understood. Parents and community 
          activists who had spent decades seeking help for their public schools, 
          only to see their demands ignored by the media and rejected by conservatives, 
          witnessed these same forces prescribing vouchers as a boon to them and 
          their children. The scams failed.
        The Right learned 
          from these defeats, and now presents vouchers in blackface, to lull 
          African American defenses. And, of course, it claims phantom constituencies 
          based on hypothetical questions such as asked in the JCPES poll. 
        "Choice" 
          in polling
        Given urban realities, 
          in which communities and their schools are in need of everything, 
          it is remarkable that Black voters have so staunchly resisted vouchers, 
          and that hypothetical questions on vouchers have not garnered even larger 
          majorities. The up-down JCPES question gave every advantage to voucher 
          boosters. Responders could, hypothetically speaking, either take the 
          "government money," or leave things as they are.
        When choices 
          are added to polling questions, voucher support shrivels. A 2001 Opinion 
          Research poll found that 61% of blacks and 59% of Latinos would rather 
          see more funding "go toward public schools than go to a voucher 
          program." The same year, Black responders to a Zogby International 
          survey placed vouchers fifth among options they would choose to improve 
          schools. The more choices, the less the appeal of vouchers.
        The JCPES poll effectively 
          presented vouchers as the only alternative to the status quo. As such, 
          it is not a useful barometer of opinion, and certainly no indicator 
          of behavior. It is, however, useful to the Right. 
        Hypothetical questions 
          can produce some interesting results. Imagine the Black response to 
          the question, "Would you support efforts to tax the rich at rates 
          much higher than for working people earning average wages?" In 
          truth, the question is far less hypothetical than the JCPES voucher 
          query, since George Bush and his Republicans have been busy doing everything 
          possible to eliminate progressive taxation, a concept well within most 
          people's range of understanding and experience. Would the JCPES feel 
          compelled to include such a question in its biannual poll? No, because 
          the corporate media is not demanding a national debate on the matter, 
          much less a Black debate. Power invades and subdues the mechanisms of 
          public opinion-making and opinion research. 
        Hypothetical questions 
          often leave lots of room for interpretation. The JCPES's David Bositis 
          reports that Blacks under 50 are much more likely to support school 
          vouchers than their elders. Why did they respond in this manner?
        In his own research, 
          Harvard's Professor Michael Dawson was struck by the intensity of what 
          he describes as "Black nationalist" opinions among young African 
          American males. "Young Black men are by far the strongest supporters 
          of Black nationalism," says Dawson. "These generational differences 
          tend to maintain even after you control for economic status."
        Now, take another 
          look at the JCPES question, this time with our italics added:
        "Would you 
          support a voucher system where parents would get money from the government 
          to send their children to the public, private or parochial school of 
          their choice?"
        The question can 
          easily be read as an appeal to feelings of entitlement, prevalent among 
          people who believe they are owed some forms of redress from the state 
          and society. The words "choice" plus "money" can 
          effectively tap into reservoirs of nationalism, reparations feelings, 
          and other Black-held political beliefs and tendencies that are antithetical 
          to conventional conservative politics. Support for vouchers, even if 
          accurately measured, does not necessarily equal a political conservatism 
          recognizable to white America.
        Finally, it is strange, 
          indeed, to assume that any level of Black support for vouchers 
          is a valid indicator of emerging Republican leanings or conservatism. 
          African Americans have long been found to hold education among their 
          highest priorities. Vouchers are firmly associated with the Republican 
          Party and political conservatives. Yet Blacks overwhelmingly resist 
          Republicans and conservatives. If pro-voucher sentiment is so strong 
          among Blacks, concrete signs of pro-Republican political behavior should 
          be expected. There is no evidence of that. David Bositis has also concluded 
          that his poll data on vouchers "does not translate into any sign 
          of support for Republicans."
        The JCPES voucher 
          question generated misleading headlines for the Right, but it fails 
          to put a credible dent in the Black Consensus. Voucher opinion is murky 
          at best, and does not represent a conservative or Republican groundswell. 
          
        Definitive on 
          War
        Nothing in human 
          experience is more dramatic than war. The JCPES poll confirms that only 
          one out of five African Americans (19.2%) support this government's 
          war preparations. The finding is consistent with Black political opinion 
          as measured over the decades since the Vietnam War. Anti-war opinion 
          is a core element of the Black Consensus, unbroken over two generations 
          and indicating a much deeper distrust of the motives of those in power.
        In an interview 
          with the Nation of Islam's newspaper, The Final Call, Dr. David Bositis 
          gave the strongest weight to these figures. "From my perspective, 
          the most important issue was war with Iraq, which was repudiated by 
          African Americans." 
        Almost half of Blacks 
          directly opposed war with Iraq (45.3) at the time of the survey, with 
          the remainder in the Uncertain and Don't Know categories. Despite the 
          unprecedented fury of Bush war propaganda, anti-war sentiments can be 
          expected to solidify and remain dominant among African Americans. History 
          tells us so.
        In every practical 
          sense, this measurement places the bulk of African Americans firmly 
          on the left side of the American political spectrum. Indeed, the consistency 
          of Black anti-war opinion over time strongly indicates a radical 
          perspective at the heart of the Black Consensus.
        Black Right begins 
          near white Center
        The survey's categorization 
          of Blacks under the heading "Ideology" confirms the failure 
          of conventional American political language to make sense of African 
          American politics. This is not the fault of the JCPES, which has to 
          work with the vocabulary of the general (white American) political discourse, 
          as transmitted through the corporate media. Black Americans use the 
          same political language as whites, but the survey shows that the labels 
          they attach to themselves mean very different things than the same labels 
          when used by whites. 
        The self-descriptions 
          Democrat, Independent, Republican, and Liberal, Moderate, Secular Conservative, 
          Christian Conservative simply do not match across the perceptual divide 
          between Blacks and whites. 
        White Christian 
          Conservatives are overwhelmingly political conservatives as well, 
          voting roughly as Republican as white Secular Conservatives. Conversely, 
          only about one-sixth of Black Christian Conservatives anticipated voting 
          Republican at the time of the poll.
        Only 70% of Black 
          self-described Republicans, who make up about 10% of African 
          Americans surveyed, thought they would vote with the party November 
          5. To bring the Black GOP total to 10%, which is also an approximation 
          of the actual Black Republican vote on November 5, the GOP attracted 
          the missing 3% from a tenth of the Independents and a miniscule number 
          of Democrats.
        That leaves 90% 
          of Blacks voting for the same party that only a little over 40% of whites 
          will ultimately support at the polls. The Democratic Party is a minority 
          party in national white voting terms.
        When the minor shuffling 
          is done, and as was confirmed by the election results, the vast bulk 
          of self-described Black Christian Conservatives, Secular Conservatives 
          and Moderates and, of course, Black Liberals will wind up voting for 
          the same candidates. Only white Christian and Social Conservatives - 
          who vote almost identically - come close to achieving the similarity 
          of voting behavior that is exhibited by all categories of Blacks. 
          
        Put another way, 
          a Black Secular Conservative is about as likely to vote Republican as 
          a white Secular Conservative is to vote Democrat: about one out of five. 
          The two groups describe themselves by the same words, but are really 
          mirror-image opposites. The Black Secular Conservatives vote more Democratic 
          than white Moderates, and only slightly less Democratic than white Liberals. 
          Twice as many White Liberals will vote Republican as will Black Moderates.
        In fact, the great 
          bulk of Blacks are clearly Liberal to Radical, by white American standards, 
          despite the fact that only 39% described themselves as Liberal to the 
          JCPES pollsters. This 39% - the largest of the four Black groups - is 
          mostly well to the political left of the 31% of whites who call themselves 
          Liberal. The terms are relative to members of the same racial group. 
          Most Blacks who consider themselves Liberal compared to other Blacks 
          are actually Radical when compared to Liberal whites. This is the clear 
          conclusion based on the manner in which Blacks describe themselves relative 
          to other Blacks.
        The Joint Center 
          survey, based on information furnished by white and Black respondents, 
          provides enough data to construct a rough outline of comparative racial-political 
          realities in the United States. Black conservatism, as understood by 
          Blacks who believe themselves to be conservative, actually begins somewhere 
          near the "moderate" center of white American politics. (Hired 
          guns like Clarence Thomas and Armstrong Williams are individual professional 
          operatives who do not represent significant enough numbers of Blacks 
          to constitute a political grouping - possibly 2 - 3%.)
        This conservative 
          Black ten percent, mostly moderate by white standards, is itself very 
          soft, leaking quickly into political behavior that would be liberal 
          on the white side of the spectrum. The rest of Black America stretches 
          leftward, its numbers growing as the political curve moves in that direction. 
          Its largest group is mildly radical, by U.S. standards.
        They are Dr. Michael 
          Dawson's "Swedish Social Democrats" - and significant numbers 
          of Blacks are to the left of European Social Democracy. What is common 
          in Black America is considered fringe politics in white America, a very 
          conservative social place.
        Speaking in different 
          tongues
        The Black political 
          dialogue occurs almost entirely on the Left, the space where the Black 
          Consensus is formed. This space is constantly disrupted by the general 
          society's institutions, most destructively by the corporate press, which 
          tirelessly attempts to define The Consensus out of existence. 
        The Joint Center 
          for Political and Economic Studies must work within parameters shaped 
          by the corporate media. Black people themselves demand, collectively, 
          that it do so. Historically, we have asked to be treated on the same 
          terms as everyone else, to be asked our opinion about the burning issues 
          of the day, just like other Americans. The JCPES fulfills that function 
          honorably. We can trust the Joint Center to evaluate data honestly, 
          and to be consistent in its application of standards. 
        However, Black people 
          do not choose the events, movements, ideas, and personalities that the 
          corporate media deem as news. When we are finally asked to speak, but 
          only to speak about what others say is important through their media, 
          the "masking" of our true concerns begins.
        Dr. Dawson, the 
          grand nephew of Chicago's legendary Congressman William Dawson (D-IL, 
          1942 - 70), has divided Black politics into its own frames of reference 
          comprised of six ideologies and subgroups: Black Nationalism, Black 
          Conservatism, Black Marxism, Radical Egalitarianism, Black Feminism, 
          and Black Liberalism. Dialogues incorporating elements of this range 
          of ideologies go on in barbershops and beauty parlors every day, and 
          make perfect sense on their own terms. 
        Dr. Dawson gives 
          an example of how superimposing one group's assumptions on another's, 
          as automatically occurs when Blacks and whites are asked the same questions, 
          creates distortions:
         
           In 1971, University 
            of Michigan researchers asked Blacks and whites what they thought 
            about the phrase, Black Power. Whites hated the term Black 
            Power. Blacks were split over the term. Why? Whites thought that Black 
            Power meant Blacks on top. Blacks thought Black Power meant, "equal 
            shares" or "Black pride." We're all speaking English, 
            here, but even the meanings of the terms were different.
          When you ask Black 
            people about the meaning of "equality" - what did Rev. King 
            mean by equality? George Bush's father used Dr. King in a University 
            of Michigan speech, in which Bush talked about why we need a "color 
            blind society." King said, What I mean by equality is equal representation 
            at all levels. He was calling for quotas for jobs. So, even when we 
            think of words such as "equality" or words such as "Black 
            Power," we may think we have shared meaning, but we don't.
          Most people who 
            do survey research in the areas of race assume, essentially, that 
            Blacks and whites are the same and share the same values. I could 
            argue that the evidence is pretty clear that there are many important 
            political questions in which we don't share the same meaning; we don't 
            even share the same language.
        
        At present, the 
          corporate media is attempting to find or invent a definable group of 
          conservative, middle class Blacks on which to base a "new Black 
          politics," divorced from "civil rights-type" leadership. 
          Dr. Dawson has looked for them, as well. "They would show up in 
          my data," said the Harvard political scientist. "They would 
          show up in the polls of the Republican National Committee. They would 
          show up as socially conservative Blacks or as middle class Blacks - 
          Republicans would be happy with either one. They can't find them."
        Black conservatives 
          do exist, said Dawson, within an African American spectrum that 
          is not recognizable to white Americans. These groups are not necessarily 
          understood to be conservative by Blacks, either. "In terms of social 
          conservatism, yes, there is a significant socially conservative segment 
          of the Black community. The Nation of Islam is socially conservative 
          on issues of gender, sexuality, views of the state, real politics, in 
          terms of whether we should be involved in politics or in economic life."
          
        Likewise, Black 
          Christian Conservatives, who often behave politically like the self-described 
          Black Liberals in the JCPES survey, are more consistent than contradictory 
          when viewed through the prism of the Black experience. "There is 
          a socially conservative aspect to evangelism," said Dawson. 
        In the Eighties 
          and early Nineties, Dawson "expected to find an economically-based 
          conservative wing of the Black community," just as corporate media 
          claim exists in politically significant numbers, today. "There 
          is some evidence, I'm not sure how good it is yet, that the younger 
          Black middle class is more conservative on economic issues, in particular." 
          Still, he has yet to observe them behaving as a separate, independent 
          political entity. 
        As for serious generational 
          splits in the Black body politic: "I'm not uniformly dismissing 
          it. I am saying that there's not compelling and dramatic evidence yet."
        Splits and even 
          chasms may emerge among African Americans, over time. However, we will 
          not find the evidence in the corporate media. Blacks will find divisions 
          in the same ways we find unity: on our own terms, and within the Black 
          Political Consensus.
        Joint Center for 
          Political and Economic Studies Survey pdf
          http://www.jointcenter.org/whatsnew/2002_NOP_text&tables.pdf
          
         
        